Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar Clearing the Zone game 7 trends

NHL LONG SHEET


Friday, June 12

PITTSBURGH (60-35-0-10, 130 pts.) at DETROIT (66-26-0-12, 144 pts.) - 6/12/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 91-36 ATS (+2.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
DETROIT is 40-12 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 121-86 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 82-50 ATS (+18.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-6 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
PITTSBURGH is 68-53 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 30-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-6 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 9-6-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)

NHL SHORT SHEET


Friday, June 12th

Stanley Cup Finals
Game Seven
Series Tied, 3-3
Pittsburgh at Detroit, 8:05 ET

Pittsburgh:
15-6 SU playing with two days rest
9-2 SU off BB non-conf games

Detroit:
8-0 Over revenging a loss where team scored 1 goal or less
15-3 Over off BB Unders

NHL WRITE-UP

Friday, June 12

NHL Finals

Home team is 6-0 in this series, with Penguins scoring two goals total in three games in this building; including LY's Finals, Pittsburgh lost five of six in Motor City, winning only in OT in Game 5 LY, when they staved off elimination- Red Wings outscored them 21-6 in those six games. Last game, Detroit had only 12 shots on goal in first two periods, in a clean game where only four penalties were called. Anything can happen in one game, but Penguins haven't come close yet in this arena.

Trend Report

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. DETROIT
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games

What Bettors Need to Know: Stanley Cup finals Game 7

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings (-180, 5.5)

Home ice is nice

The home team has won every game this series and Pittsburgh must try to break that trend in order to win its first Stanley Cup since 1992. The Wings have only lost once at home (11-1) in this year’s playoffs.

The Wings will have last change at home, and will have the matchup advantages against Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. Detroit has done an excellent job containing Pittsburgh’s two young superstars at home. Malkin has two assists in three games in Detroit while Crosby has yet to register a point.

Goaltending

Detroit’s Chris Osgood and Pittsburgh’s Marc-Andre Fleury have played well this postseason, but both have been much better at home than on the road.

Osgood is sporting a 1.40 goals against average at the Joe Louis Arena compared to a GAA of almost a goal and a half higher on the road.

Fleury made several spectacular stops in the third period of Game 6 to keep the Penguins in front. In Detroit, however, he has not been as fortunate. Fleury’s performance in Game 5 was not awful, but he did let in five goals. The young netminder also allowed some questionable goals in Games 1 and 2 at Detroit.

Secondary scoring

Typically this section would be about Detroit’s depth, but several Wings players have gone missing this series, most notably Marian Hossa. The All-Star forward, a perennial point-per-game player, has gone relatively unnoticed throughout the series. Jiri Hudler, Tomas Holmstrom and Daniel Cleary have all been playing below their capabilities as well.

Jordan Staal has emerged as a secondary scoring option for the Pens. Staal had a game-changing, short-handed goal in Game 4 and was responsible for the opening goal in Tuesday’s tilt. Crosby and Malkin have not registered a point in the Pens’ last two games but Pittsburgh has managed to stay alive in the series.

Overcoming the odds

Detroit is currently -180 to win Game 7, the most either team has been favored this series. Home teams are 12-2 in Game 7s of Stanley Cup finals, and a road team has only won the Stanley Cup once after trailing 3-2 in the final series (1-21).

However, in sports, any team can win on any given day. Good luck, bad bounces and turnovers 180 feet from the net can be the difference between a Stanley Cup win and a summer of regret.

Other notes

- Penguins are 5-2 in their last seven games following a win.

- Red Wings are 5-1 in their last six after scoring two goals or less in their previous game.

- The under is 4-0 in Pittsburgh’s last four road games.

- The over is 8-2-2 when Pittsburgh is a road underdog of +151 to +200

- The under is 5-0 in Detroit’s last five games.

NHL Hot Betting Trends

Stanley Cup finals: Hot betting trends

We’re down to the last hockey game of the season for bettors to cash in. With that in mind we thought we’d try and dig up some saucy stats and trends to help our readers with their wagers for Friday’s Game 7.

Please feel free to add any other numbers you think worthy in the comments below:

-Friday’s game marks the 15th Game 7 in the history of the Stanley Cup finals. The home team has won 12 of the previous 14 cases. The only teams to lose on their home ice in the finals were the ’71 Blackhawks and the ’45 Red Wings.

-The home side has also won every game in this series and, outside of Game 6, covered the puckline as well.

-There are a handful of Detroit players who have a shot at lifting the Cup for a fifth time, but the club hasn’t been tested to this degree in any of its past four championship seasons. The Wings swept the Flyers and Capitals (1997 and 1998), polished off the Hurricanes in five games (2002) and shut the door on the Pens in six last season.

-While Chris Osgood has been the starting goalie on more than one championship team, but he hasn’t always played well in tough spots. His solid rookie campaign was tarnished after the top seeded Wings were eliminated by the eight seeded San Jose Sharks in 1994.San Jose finished off Detroit on a goal setup by Osgood’s poor clearing attempt. The veteran netminder is also 1-3 in his last four elimination games with a goals against average of 3.75.

-The under has been a good bet in this Cup finals and a lot of that may have to do with the fewer amount of penalties being called. In last year’s finals, the two clubs amassed 22 minor penalties in the series’ first two games. In the first two games of this year's rematch there was only seven penalties called and most of those came in the final minute of Game 2. Pittsburgh and Detroit each had two power play chances in Tuesday’s contest with both sides finishing without a special teams marker.

A couple other quick ones:

-The Pens are 38-14 in their last 52 games playing on two days’ rest.

-Red Wings are 5-1 in their last six after scoring two or less in their previous game.

-The under is 5-0 in Detroit’s last five home games and 9-3-2 in the club’s last 14 Stanley Cup finals games.