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Keeping track of the winners of the game and seeing if they covered the spread. Theory is if you can just pick the winner of the game then the spread means nothing. The hard part is to just pick the winner of the game.

Favorite Line Underdog
Carolina -3 At Denver ( Denver Win and Cover)
At Atlanta -2.5 Tampa Bay ( TB Win and Cover )
Minnesota -2.5 At Tennessee ( Min Win and Cover )
At Philadelphia -3.5 Cleveland ( Phil Win and Cover )
Cincinnati -1 At NY Jets ( Cincy Win and Push )
At New Orleans -3 Oakland ( Oak Win and Cover )
At Kansas City -6.5 San Diego ( KC Win and Don't Cover )
At Baltimore -3 Buffalo ( Balt Win and Cover )
At Houston -5.5 Chicago ( Hous Win and Cover )
Green Bay -3.5 At Jacksonville ( GB Win and Don't Cover )
At Seattle -10.5 Miami ( Sea Win and Don't Cover )
NY Giants -1 At Dallas ( NYG Win and Push )
At Indianapolis -2.5 Detroit ( Det Win and Cover )
At Arizona -8.5 New England ( NE Win and Cover )
Pittsburgh -2.5 At Washington ( Pit Win and Cover )
Los Angeles -2.5 At San Francisco ( SF Win and Cover )

Week 1 Totals 11 Covers-3 Don't covers-2 Pushes

Now who can just pick the winner of all the games because if you do that you will cover the spread most of the time. Week 1 comes in at a 78% cover rate.

Week 2 Results

Favorite Line Underdog
At Buffalo PK NY Jets ( Jets Win and Cover)
At Detroit -6 Tennessee ( Tenn Win and Cover)
At Houston -1 Kansas City ( Hous Win and Cover)
At New England -5.5 Miami ( N.E. Win and Cover)
Baltimore -4.5 At Cleveland( Balt Win and Cover)
At Pittsburgh -3 Cincinnati( Pit Win and Cover)
At Washington -3 Dallas( Dallas Win and Cover)
At NY Giants -4 New Orleans( NYG Win and Don't Cover)
At Carolina -12.5 San Francisco( Carolina Win and Cover)
At Arizona -7 Tampa Bay( Arizona Win and Cover)
Seattle -5.5 At Los Angeles( LA Rams Win and Cover)
At Denver -6 Indianapolis( Denver Win and Cover)
At Oakland -4 Atlanta( Atl Win and Cover)
At San Diego -3 Jacksonville( SD Win and Cover)
Green Bay -2 At Minnesota( Min Win and Cover)
At Chicago -3 Philadelphia( Phily Win and Cover)

Week 2 Totals 15 Covers - 1 Don't cover

If you could just picked the winner of the game in week 2 your would have been 15-1 ATS. This proves that the spread of the game means nothing in most cases.

2 week totals is 26-4-2 ATS if you could just pick the winner of the game.

I know, easier said than done but it is eye opening to see these results.

Week 3 Results



Favorite Line Underdog
At New England -1 Houston ( NE Win and Cover)
At Cincinnati -3.5 Denver ( Den Win and Cover)
Oakland -1.5 At Tennessee( Oak Win and Cover)
Arizona -5 At Buffalo ( Buff Win and Cover)
Baltimore -2 At Jacksonville ( Balt Win and Push)
At Miami -10 Cleveland( Mia Win and Don't Cover)
At NY Giants -3.5 Washington( Wash Win and Cover)
At Green Bay -6.5 Detroit ( GB Win and Cover)
At Carolina -6.5 Minnesota( Min Win and Cover)
At Seattle -10.5 San Francisco ( Sea Win and Cover)
At Tampa Bay -3.5 Los Angeles ( LA Win and Cover)
Pittsburgh -4 At Philadelphia ( Phil Win and Cover)
At Kansas City -3 NY Jets ( KC Win and Cover)
At Indianapolis -1.5 San Diego( Indy Win and Cover)
At Dallas -6.5 Chicago( Dal Win and Cover)
At New Orleans -3 Atlanta ( ATL Win and Cover)

Week 3 Totals 14 Covers - 1 Don't Cover and 1 Push

YTD 40-5-3

Just curious as to why this awesome thread came to a halt after week 3.

Sorry Freak, I have had no time at all these past few months. Working 10 to 12 hour days has really cut into my football time. I didn't think anyone was looking at this anyway, but I guess you were. I will try to update it to show the results.

No worries, I understand. No need to update if it's too much work.

Favorite Line Underdog Total
At Cincinnati -7.5 Miami (Cincy Win and Cover)
Indianapolis -1 Jacksonville (Jax Win and Cover)
At Washington -7.5 Cleveland ( Wash Win and Cover)
At New England -3.5 Buffalo ( Buff Win and Cover)
Carolina -3 At Atlanta ( Atl Win and Cover)
Detroit -3.5 At Chicago ( Chi Win and Cover)
At Houston -4 Tennessee ( Hous Win and Cover)
At Baltimore -3.5 Oakland ( Oak Win and Cover)
Denver -3.5 At Tampa Bay ( Den Win and Cover)
Dallas -1.5 At San Francisco ( Dall Win and Cover)
At San Diego -4 New Orleans ( NO Win and Cover)
At Arizona -9.5 Los Angeles ( LA Win and Cover)
At Pittsburgh -3.5 Kansas City ( Pit Win and Cover)
At Minnesota -4 NY Giants ( Min Win and Cover)

Week 4 14-0