A couple of nasty pick-flips due to closing lines cost the model a winning week, but that kind of thing usually evens out by the end. Since Week 5, the model has gone 48.3% ATS and 67.2% SU, which is nothing to write home about, but does show improvement when using 2018 data only. Clearly 2017 numbers were no bases on which to make 2018 projections – at least for this projection model, and I will need to make a change for 2019. Either start the model up after Week 4, or – do something else?
A reminder: Some sites don’t allow the editing of posts, or limit the amount of time allowed to make changes. In such a situation, this means that as changes occur during the week, they will need to be posted as “replies”, so you’ll need to scroll down to see the latest projections.