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1/17 Statistical Advantages
#465845 01/13/20 06:06 AM
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Re: 1/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #466634 01/17/20 06:58 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 254,849
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CHICAGO (15 - 27) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 16) - 1/17/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 94-60 ATS (+28.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WASHINGTON (13 - 27) at TORONTO (26 - 14) - 1/17/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 165-217 ATS (-73.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 40-71 ATS (-38.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
TORONTO is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (15 - 25) at INDIANA (26 - 15) - 1/17/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI (28 - 12) at OKLAHOMA CITY (23 - 18) - 1/17/2020, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND (12 - 29) at MEMPHIS (19 - 22) - 1/17/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 223-272 ATS (-76.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 56-76 ATS (-27.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 178-131 ATS (+33.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ATLANTA (9 - 32) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 22) - 1/17/2020, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ATLANTA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 868-749 ATS (+44.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 97-64 ATS (+26.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 374-298 ATS (+46.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 372-308 ATS (+33.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-15 ATS (+21.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 446-371 ATS (+37.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PORTLAND (18 - 24) at DALLAS (26 - 15) - 1/17/2020, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Re: 1/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #466635 01/17/20 07:02 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 254,849
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SIENA (7 - 7) at CANISIUS (6 - 10) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 4-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

FAIRFIELD (7 - 9) at IONA (3 - 8) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
IONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 88-117 ATS (-40.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IONA is 88-117 ATS (-40.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
IONA is 70-101 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 3-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

RIDER (9 - 6) at NIAGARA (4 - 11) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 60-32 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
NIAGARA is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
NIAGARA is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-0 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-0 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DAYTON (15 - 2) at SAINT LOUIS (14 - 3) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 4-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 3-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

FURMAN (15 - 4) at WOFFORD (11 - 7) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WOFFORD is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 2-2 against the spread versus FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 3-1 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WISCONSIN (11 - 6) at MICHIGAN ST (13 - 4) - 1/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 43-13 ATS (+28.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 5-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BROWN (7 - 6) at YALE (11 - 4) - 1/17/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
YALE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
YALE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
YALE is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
YALE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROWN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 2-2 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 3-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MICHIGAN (11 - 5) at IOWA (12 - 5) - 1/17/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
IOWA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all home games this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 4-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 5-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Re: 1/17 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #466638 01/17/20 07:05 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 254,849
Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Titans at Chiefs: This line opened with Kansas City listed as 7.5-point home favorites. The public is all over the Chiefs with two-thirds of bets laying the points. All week, this line has remained frozen at 7.5. The fact that oddsmakers refused to raise it to 8 despite the lopsided Chiefs betting signaled sharp liability on the road dog Titans. Yesterday we saw sharps make their move on Tennessee, hitting the Titans plus the hook (+ 7.5), moving the line down to 7. We now have a true sharp reverse line move on Tennessee plus the points.

Playoff dogs that see the line stay the same or move in their direction (think + 7.5 to + 7) are 3-1 ATS this postseason and 59-42 ATS (58%) since 2003 according to Bet Labs Sports. Big playoff dogs of + 7 or more are 37-26 ATS (59%), including 6-2 ATS in conference title games. Jimmy Vaccaro took a $44,000 bet on the Titans + 7.5 at the South Point yesterday.

Packers at 49ers: The NFC Championship game line opened San Francisco -7, quickly moved to -7.5 and hasn't budged since. However, the over has taken in sharp money over the last 24 hours, rising from 45 to 46.5. AFC and NFC Championship overs are 18-11 (62%) since 2003. The weather looks perfect for Sunday with temperatures in the high 50s, overcast with little-to-no wind.


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