Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks
Finger Lakes - Race #2
#2 Passion Police Stiff class dropper was not only in way too tough last time but was going long too, and the run two-back was against eons better as well, so at this reduced level, and a nice price too, she make wake up; upset special.
#4 Grassmiss The gal to beat looked good wiring in her return and a repeat will make her tough right back, but this is a better group, and there's quality speed to her inside as well, so she may not have an easy time up front; second-best.
#3 I'm a Good Looker Aforementioned quality speed drops and cuts back after a decent 3rd last time, and the win two-back makes her a big threat here, but the fact she's drawn inside the chalk won't make this an easy trip; may come unglued late.
Race Summary The price, drop in class, and race flow may all work for the 2, while potentially hurting the two favorites as well, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk4 as well, as budget players might not be able to get to her, which means a win in the 6-1 range would add plenty of value to the sequence.
Finger Lakes - Race #4
#3 Gold Cross Class riser blasted N4L foes last time, while stretching out too, and while this is a solid group of allowance foes, there's also no one to fear here, and he should be a decent price too; look out.
#5 Paddy All Day Underlay has a stalking gear that will come in handy in a race with some speed, and her last two make him a threat, but they also don't overwhelm, and he'll be overbet as well; trying to beat.
#1 Desert Lights ML favorite and deep closer was a distant 3rd at the level last time, and a repeat wouldn't give her any edge here, so sure, he's a player, but at 9-5 you have to look elsewhere; not seeing it.
Race Summary That 4-1 ML seems like plenty of value and well worth the risk-reward on the 3, who does rise in class but catches a group that is definitely there for the taking, so play him to win and place, while getting some added value by using him to end the early Pk4, and kick off the Pk5 as well, since he ran huge last time, and won't have to run much faster, if at all, to double up here.
Finger Lakes - Race #6
#6 J Fich Intriguing sort has run decent in two sprints, is bred for the added ground/turn he gets, will be a square price too, and should be right on what looks like a modest pace; upset special.
#1 Themsfightinwords The chalk has been 2nd in his last two, the last time at this trip, and this post works too, but at 2-1, with form that doesn't overwhelm, you're allowed to try to beat him; siding against.
#8 Lightning Rob Underlay was well behind the 1 last time off the Clarke claim, for a barn that is really struggling at the meet (2-for-39), so from a bad post he's tough to endorse; using underneath only.
Race Summary The 6 looks primed for a breakthrough after two sprint tighteners to begin his career, and if it's the 1 he's got to beat then he's in with a chance, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win would spice up both sequences, and he's got plenty of upside and a pedigree that says he can pull it off.