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Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign - Wikipedia

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Trump 2020 Talk
#492496 09/25/20 03:23 AM
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I did a post back in 2016 called Trump 2016 and it was well before he was elected as the Republican Nominee. Trump 2016 thread I went back and read a lot of that thread and was just amazed at how accurate I was except the VP choice (glad I was wrong) A lot of smack from others that were in a nutshell proven wrong.

Promises Made, Promises Kept

So here we are less than 6 weeks away from the general election and this go round I am looking to make even more money than I did in 2016. I can't find the thread where I posted states to bet on and I won all of them.

Now before I get into this, I strongly urge you to shop around for the best odds because the odds are wildly different everywhere. I am going to highlight what I am looking to do and where I am going to do it. The lines are all from moments ago.

These wagers are either listed as Trump vs Biden or Republican Candidate vs Democrat Candidate

First one and this is my absolute LOCK like it was back in 2016

Trump to win Arizona. You can get an unheard of +150 At Bovada right now. Most everywhere else it's about +120, so you are getting a pretty big premium here. They list it as Republican Candidate vs Democrat Candidate. So the play is Republican Candidate +150.

Why this play again? A D hasn't won in AZ since 1972 and yes Trump didn't win in a blow out in 2016 but won by 5% points. Arizona is a changing state due to liberals moving in from CA and other liberal states. There has been a big push by the Biden campaign here as they think they have a chance to win. I won't lie, they do and the polling is close but Republicans here in this state are going to come out in full force and carry the state for Trump. At +150 you have not only the huge premium but exceptional value.

Florida Trump -125 you can get this at Bovada as described above and Betonline at this price.
Georgia -230 at Bovada
North Carolina -130 at Betonline
Pennsylvania +145 at Bovada

Two states that have big plus odds that I think he has a chance

Michigan +210 at Betonline
Minnesota +240 at Betonline

Obviously Florida and North Carolina along with Arizona are battleground states but if you have watched any of the rallies from any of these three states, they are HUGE, they are energetic and people are going to get out and vote for him. This scenario rings loud in my ears because of what took place in 2016. You remember "The Silent Majority" they are going to be out in full force and the likes of Don Lemon, Chris Cuomo and the other libtards at CNN, MSNBC and all the major networks are going to be crying again as they did in 2016.

These prices are super cheap and as I stated AZ has a huge premium added to it. Thing is, you can't wait and bet these because as we get closer to the election, the polls are going to tighten and after the first debate next Tuesday if Trump makes Biden look like the lost bumbling sleepy Joe he has looked like so far, it all changes.

Pennsylvania and Michigan are plays in my book once again because like 2016 they aren't expected, but watch and see. Minnesota is a true long shot and I am hoping that Democrats vote for Trump here over what took place in Minneapolis and the dislike for Omar throughout the rest of the state that she doesn't represent.

Biden's whole campaign has been centered around the coronavirus, that's going to be thumped once Pfizer comes out with a vaccine before election day. Law and Order along with the Second Amendment will crush that. Not to mention everything he has achieved in such a short period of time.

Be sure to bet on Trump to win the General Election at + $$$ as well.


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #492719 09/26/20 01:58 AM
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MAGA!!!!

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #492813 09/26/20 06:03 AM
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If you want to watch any of his rallies and they show them all live you can watch via https://rsbnetwork.com/ which is Right Side Broadcasting Network. They show the rallies from beginning to end without interruption. commercials or any form of disruption. They will pan the audience and you won't see this on any network including Fox.

They are a small media company out of Auburn, AL that I got to know quite well back in 2016. They are funded by donations and if you watch any part of any of their coverage, they work hard and they do a damn good job at what they do. They aren't political people, they are all young men/woman that care about the country and obviously Republican.

The rally tonight in Virginia was totally amazing with the crowd once again and he is making some inroads there. Can he pull it off is another question. I believe Wednesday he is heading to Minnesota to do a couple rallies as well in a state he isn't expected to win but as I said in the opener he has a shot if all falls the right way.

Tomorrow a rally in Middletown, PA a state he has visited a few times this week.

Whether you like the man or not, his schedule is running circles around Biden. I simply can't see how Biden can win this way. There has to be some kind of bombshell they are going to throw out there and hope it sticks. No candidate has ever had a campaign this way ever..............


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #493265 09/27/20 08:26 PM
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Wow awesome! Thank you for the link.

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #493727 09/30/20 09:50 PM
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What are everyone’s thoughts on the debate? Question going after Biden’s kids is a good strategy for Trump. Biden could’ve won over the undecided by fully supporting his children and averting attention to his message to America.

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #493742 10/01/20 12:18 AM
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I don't know if your reply is a troll or serious. His message to America is simple......... Law and Order !!!!!!!!!! This and his economy message are his strongest points. Going after Hunter Biden and mentioning the Logan Act, Joe sat there stunned and had no reply. He knows he's been caught in the complicity on spying on the campaign and trying to short circuit what should have been a peaceful transition of power. None of which was done.

Joe sat there and called the President a racist, perhaps Joe should look at his own history...........

The truth is Joe is the ultimate racist who is out of touch with what America is today.

In 1975 when then-Senator Joe Biden praised racist Alabama Governor George Wallace. He told the Philadelphia Enquirer, “I think the Democratic Party could stand a liberal George Wallace – someone who’s not afraid to stand up and offend people, someone who wouldn’t pander but would say what the American people know in their gut is right.” And in his 1988 presidential race, he told people that George Wallace had given him an award and called him “one of the outstanding young politicians of America.”

In 1977, Joe Biden stated that he didn’t want his kids to grow up among other races and that the thought made him worry about the future. In fact, he said, “Unless we do something about this, my children are going to grow up in a jungle, the jungle being a racial jungle.”
2003 Biden delivering eulogies for segregationist Strom Thurmond and in 2010 former Ku Klux Klan Exalted Cyclops Robert Byrd

2020

“Unlike the African American community, with notable exceptions, the Latino community is an incredibly diverse community with incredibly different attitudes about different things,”
A Black reporter asked Joe Biden whether he has taken a cognitive test.
This was Biden’s response: “No, I haven’t taken a test. Why the hell would I take a test? Come on, man! That’s like saying you, before you got in this program, you’re taking a test whether you’re taking cocaine or not. What do you think, huh? Are you a junkie?”

When the popular black radio host Charlamagne tha God told Joe Biden at the end of a spirited but friendly interview that he needed to come back on his show because “We got more questions,” Biden shot back:
“You got more questions. If you have a problem figuring out if you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t black.”

If President Trump had said any of this, it will be played in a loop 24/7 non stop ad nausea-um.

#Trump2020 #MAGA #MAGA2020 #truth #Trump #TrumpTrain2020


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #494560 10/04/20 04:33 PM
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Obliviously things have changed with President Trump in the hospital. A new NBC poll came out today showing Biden up 14% after the debate. What they don't say is how many were polled and where from.

It's not going to be easy now, but it will be gratifying when he wins.


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #496357 10/12/20 08:44 PM
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The president hits the campaign trail today in Sanford FL, you can watch live on Right Side Broadcast Network via Youtube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H13ov-O3ld4&feature=youtu.be


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #496525 10/14/20 01:14 AM
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Another big rally tonight in Johnstown,PA and yet another rally tomorrow in Des Moines, IA !


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #496526 10/14/20 01:18 AM
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Lines are constantly changing and here's an update of where I am at. All of these odds are at Bovada and by far they are offering the best prices of any sportsbook. I've looked and notated quite a bit of places.

Arizona +140 I got in at +150
Florida +110
Georgia -160
Iowa -150
North Carolina +110 I bet this one already as I did AZ
Texas -300 <------- this is an absolute steal, every where I looked was way higher.

To win the Election +160 however you can get +180 at Betonline and Bookmaker as of this post.

One thing is going to happen, I am either going to win big or I am going to get my ass handed to me. It won't be the first nor the last for either, but I really love not like my chances at these odds.


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #496929 10/16/20 06:05 AM
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Massive line moves took place as I thought they would.

These are all Bovada

Arizona +125
Florida -105
Georgia -165
Iowa -185
North Carolina +100
Texas -350

I am expecting these to change drastically as well over the next several days.


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #497118 10/17/20 01:46 PM
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MAGA!!

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #497662 10/19/20 01:01 AM
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Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +125 +120 +125
Florida -115 -105 +100
Georgia -160 -130 -165
Iowa -175 -170 -170
North Carolina -110 +100 +105
Texas -300 -350 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +125 +150

As of today!


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #497895 10/21/20 12:13 PM
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Doesn’t look very good for Trump, mate.

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
Matthew #497897 10/21/20 01:01 PM
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Originally Posted by Matthew
Doesn’t look very good for Trump, mate.

The same thing was said in 2016, how did that work out?


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #497898 10/21/20 01:06 PM
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Here's how President Trump gets re-elected

Pennsylvania Voter Registration

American presidential elections are decided by the Electoral College as President Trump and Joe Biden both know.

In 2016, Pennsylvania and its 20 Electoral College votes were key to President Trump’s victory. He won Pennsylvania by a slim 44,292 votes out of nearly 6 million. That November, the Democrats had nearly a 900,000 voter registration advantage over the Republicans. That number is now down to a 700,000 registration advantage and has narrowed by 100,000 in the last year.

No one can logically say that improves the Democrats' chances to win Pennsylvania in 2020.

Florida

In 2008, Democrats held nearly a 700,000 voter registration advantage and Barack Obama carried the state by 236,148 votes. By 2012 that advantage slipped to 558,272 registrations and Obama won there by 74,309 votes.

In 2016, Democrats had a 327,483 registration advantage and Trump carried the state by 112,991 votes.
Byron York on the presidential race with 15 days until election: Trump going ‘full tilt,’ Biden ‘going dark’Video

Now the Democrats' voter registration advantage is down nearly 200,000 to just a 134,242 lead, which Politico called a “historic low.”

Obviously, the movement towards Republicans bodes well for the president.

Latinos for Trump.

Trump could well receive a historic level of support from Latino Voters in 2020. In Florida, a NBC/Marist poll had Trump leading among Latinos 50% to 46% over Biden, whereas, in 2016, Hillary won among Latinos in Florida 62% to 35%. That would be a 15% swing toward Trump if it held up on Election Day.

After the first debate between Biden and Trump, a Telemundo poll showed Trump winning the debate overwhelmingly 66% to 34%. Snap media polls tend to reflect the sentiment of their viewers. Thus, it is no surprise that CNN viewers said Biden won the debate. The fact that Telemundo viewers decisively picked Trump as the winner, along with polls like those cited above in Florida, portend Trump getting the highest ever Latino support of any Republican presidential candidate.

African Americans For Trump.

In September, according to polling done by Rasmussen, Trump’s approval rating among African Americans reached 45%. Keep in mind that President Trump only received 8% of the Black vote in 2016. If Trump received just 16% of the Black vote this November, let alone an even higher number, that would all but secure states like Michigan for Trump.

Biden the Tax Increaser.


Candidates who promise tax increases, or have a history of supporting tax increases, tend to lose versus those pushing for tax cuts.

President Jimmy Carter lost to challenger Ronald Reagan, Walter Mondale lost to President Reagan, Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush 41 and then 41 lost his reelection after his tax increase became a reality. George W. Bush beat Al Gore and then John Kerry.
More from Opinion

Barack Obama promised to reduce taxes and he beat John McCain who was not a tax cutter. Obviously, President Trump offered tax cuts while running against, and beating, Hillary Clinton.

Joe Biden, on the other hand, is pushing for the largest tax increase in history.

Advantage Trump.

American Voters Are More Satisfied in 2020 than they were in 2016.

A new Gallup poll shows that 56% of Americans say they are better off now than they were four years ago. That could well be the telling in this case given that just four years ago marked the end of the Biden vice presidency. Why would voters return to Biden if they are happier now than when he was in office?Enthusiasm Matters.

As the New York Post has reported, “just 46 percent of Biden voters in a recent Pew poll said that they strongly support him, compared to 66 percent of Trump’s base.”

That is a 20 point gap. In 2016, Trump had only a 13 point gap over Hillary. That increase of 7% bodes well for Trump, not Biden.

Early Voting in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio.

National polling from Pew Research indicates that “55% of voters who plan to cast their ballot in person before Election Day support Biden, compared to 40% who support President Trump.”

However, in the key battleground states of Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin the early voting indicates that “registered Republicans are returning ballots at about the same rate as registered Democrats.” The parties are even in Michigan, Democrats up 2% in Wisconsin and the Republicans up 2% in Ohio.

Party Identification.

According to Gallup, by the end of September, when the polling firm asked voters this question, “In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent?” the answer came back as follows: 28% said Republican, 27% said Democrat and 42% said independent.

That is meaningful because many of the polls giving Biden the lead appear to be sampling more Democrats than Republicans – sometimes by a wide margin. Also, in 2016, Gallup had Democrats up 32% to 27% but, as we know, Trump still won.

Voters Think Trump Will Win.

In the Trump era, there has been a lot of talk about whether Trump supporters feel free to tell pollsters that they are supporting the president's reelection. Some experts point to polls asking voters who they believe will win the election to be a truer indication of candidate support.

Once again this bodes well for President Trump as a “Gallup poll shows only 40% of Americans think Biden will win the election; 56% predict a Trump victory.”


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Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #498074 10/22/20 04:32 PM
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Hey, you’re not wrong. I’m just saying that pre covid he was definitely going to win (obviously). But since he contracted the virus his chances have taken a hit. Regardless of who you’re voting for this Hunter Biden nonsense is so disgusting. The NYT is pathetic.

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #498241 10/23/20 02:46 PM
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Curious to here your thoughts about last night, Freak. I thought Trump crushed it and found it hilarious that the media thought otherwise.

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #498242 10/23/20 02:49 PM
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Also, for hilarity, a few exact quotes from CNN:

“Biden crushed him”.
“He put Trump in his place”.
“Trump lied about the NATO contributions. It was $400B commitments in the future, not per year”.
“It’s a fine line. Biden just can’t articulate his position on fracking to meet that exact point on the needle.”

Re: Trump 2020 Talk
FREAK #498273 10/23/20 06:58 PM
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Originally Posted by FREAK
Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +125 +120 +125
Florida -115 -105 +100
Georgia -160 -130 -165
Iowa -175 -170 -170
North Carolina -110 +100 +105
Texas -300 -350 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +125 +150

As of today!


23-Oct Sportsbook Bovada Betonline

Arizona +100 +105 +105
Florida -140 -135 -115
Georgia -165 -175 -165
Iowa -175 -180 -170
North Carolina -115 -110 +105
Texas -425 -370 -350
Trump to Win Election +150 +135 +175
Ohio -225 -230 -210
Pennsylvania +175 +165 +170


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