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Re: 10/22 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #498023 10/22/20 02:57 AM
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Appalachian State News & Notes
The Mountaineers are willing to run, and when they do, they like to run it with Daetrich Harrington.
The junior back already has 301 yards and six scores on the season, and when he gets rolling,
App State is tough to stop. He didn’t get rolling in the loss to Marshall, however, and the Mountaineers were only able to muster a touchdown against the Thundering Herd.

The way that you beat the Mountaineers is by stopping them at the line of scrimmage, and that’s a significant issue for the Red Wolves, who have barely stood up to anybody on the ground in 2020.
Arkansas State has put up some awful numbers this season in terms of run defense, as the Red Wolves give up 175 yards a game on the ground.
In fact, Arkansas State hasn’t held any FBS opponents under 30 points this season, and if the Red Wolves can’t pick up their defensive play, that isn’t going to change in this game.
The Mountaineers average just 201 yards a game through the air, so if the Red Wolves can force Zac Thomas to beat them, they’ll have a major advantage.
But there’s little evidence to suggest that the Red Wolves will be able to get the Mountaineers out of their preferred offense, which could make it difficult for them to get their own offense on the field.

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Re: 10/22 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #498024 10/22/20 02:58 AM
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Betting Trends
These teams tend to put up a lot of points against each other, and Appalachian State has undoubtedly done its fair share, scoring no fewer than 27 points against the Red Wolves in three meetings.
Given that Arkansas State’s big weakness appears to match up very well with Appalachian State’s biggest strength,
Expect the Mountaineers to more than do their share of the scoring. The current number has Appalachian State scoring roughly 38 points, and I think there’s an excellent chance that they do exactly that.

However, covering this number might be a little tough. Appalachian State tends to get too many points because of its sterling reputation, and the Mountaineers have really struggled to cover their number in recent games.
Appalachian State has failed to cover in four straight games, and in their past five games at home, they’ve managed to cover just once.
On the other hand, Arkansas State has had no trouble hitting its number as of late, as the Red Wolves have covered in five of their past six contests.
The one exception was the Coastal Carolina game, and that one got an asterisk because the Red Wolves were coming off multiple weeks off because of COVID.
When they’ve been able to get into their flow, Arkansas State’s been very difficult to beat.

Re: 10/22 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #498025 10/22/20 02:59 AM
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Weather Report
This should be an excellent evening for football, with temperatures at 69 degrees and partly cloudy skies at kickoff.

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