Wednesday MLB Sharp Action
3:40 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (62-40) at Seattle Mariners (55-47)
This is the rubber game of this three game division series. The Mariners took the opener 11-8 as big + 155 home dogs and the Astros roared back with an 8-6 win last night as -165 road favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, Houston hands the ball to veteran righty Jake Odorizzi (3-5, 4.23 ERA) and Seattle counters with lefty Yusei Kikuchi (6-5, 3.95 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a modest -130 road favorite and the Mariners a + 120 home dog. The public is backing the road favorite with a better record, yet we've seen Houston tumble from -130 to -120. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the home dog Mariners (+ 120 to + 110). Seattle has value as a home dog (243-281, 46.4% this season, + 26 units). Seattle is also a divisional dog with a high total, a historically profitable spot. Pros seem to be leaning on a higher scoring game as the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115. The over is 2-0 so far this series. Seattle is 44-35 as a dog this season and 33-21 at home.
7:05 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (46-54) at Philadelphia Phillies (50-50)
These two NL East rivals have split the first two games of this division series. The Phillies won the opener 6-5 as -125 home favorite and the Nats bounced back with a 6-4 win Tuesday night as + 115 road dogs. In tonight's rematch, Washington hands the ball to lefty Patrick Corbin (6-9, 5.71 ERA) and Philadelphia counters with ace righty Zack Wheeler (8-5, 2.37 ERA). This line opened with the Phillies listed as a hefty -175 home favorite and the Nats a + 160 road dog. Sharps see a big starting pitching advantage for the home team and aren't scared off by this big number. Wiseguys have steamed the Phillies up from -175 to -200. Home favorites have gone 591-385 (60.6%) this season, winning roughly + 13 units overall. Philadelphia is 30-20 at home this season. Washington is just 19-29 on the road. The Nats could be missing star shortstop Trea Turner, who left last night's game due to COVID protocols. There also appears to be some over liability. The total is 8 with the over juiced to -115.
7:10 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (52-47) at Tampa Bay Rays (60-41)
The Yankees came up big for sharps last night, stealing the series opener 4-3 as + 125 road dogs. In tonight's rematch, New York sends out lefty Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.95 ERA) and Tampa Bay hands the ball to righty Michael Wacha (2-2, 5.16 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a -140 home favorite and the Yankees a + 130 road dog. The public is all over the Rays to bounce back at home, but wiseguys are riding the Yankees again at a plus money payout, steaming New York down from + 130 to + 115. New York has value as a road divisional dog, a contrarian dog off a win and a dog with sharp reverse line movement in their favor. Also, teams receiving 15-cents of steam or more off a win (164-115, 58.8%) this season. New York is getting healthier, returning Aaron Judge and Gio Urshela to the lineup last night.