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AL/MI & TX/WA Discussion
#751292 12/04/23 06:29 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 255,361
Time to play the Game
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Time to play the Game
Well here we are the final four of the last 4 team playoff. Don't you think even if there were 12 teams this year there would've been some type of controversy.

Michigan opened as -2 over Alabama and is now at -1.5 The outlier is Bookmaker sitting at MI -2.5
Texas opened at -4.5 over Washington and sits at -4 to -4.5 depending on where you shop

First thoughts on this whole ball of wax is they talk about how Georgia played a weak schedule. Sagarin ranks it 46th.

Michigan came in at 56th, Texas 4th, Alabama 12th and Washington 5th. What hurt Florida St and they have a convenient excuse is they are using a third string QB, however their schedule came in at 61st. Other notables Oregon 25, Ohio St 36.

I know you're wondering who played the toughest schedule? Stanford #1 Arizona St #2

I point his out merely because of where Washington stands along with Texas.

The line for the Texas game is close and pretty spot on, I like Washington plus the points here!

The Michigan line to me is way off. I have them anywhere from 5 to 6 points so to see a line opener of 1.5 and the move to 2 shows a lot of value on Michigan. I wouldn't be too surprised if this line isn't -3 or more by game time. With that said, I like Alabama here.

However I'm going to wait for this one until I get a clearer indication of where the money goes and what the bookmakers decide to do. I think they side with Alabama here and are trying to get Michigan money because if they opened the line at MI -3, Bama money rolls in heavy early. Note most limits are going to be smaller now and as we move towards game day the limits rise and that's where the real action takes place.

What's your thoughts?


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Re: AL/MI & TX/WA Discussion
FREAK #758871 01/02/24 06:26 AM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 255,361
Time to play the Game
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Great discussion here. Feedback was spot on.

Late money came in on WA and it proved to be right. The sharp money came in on MI and the public was on AL. Sharps hit this one.

MI opened as 4 pt favorites over WA and that line likely moves up.

Maybe I'll get some GL posts, just teasing, but seriously let's have a discussion on the title game !!

Who you rooting for, who you betting on, what do you see the final score being?


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Re: AL/MI & TX/WA Discussion
FREAK #759941 01/06/24 07:15 PM
Joined: Sep 2023
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Michigans defensive front handled Bama with ease. Washington should have some answers for their pressure after seeing that. Look for Penix to get rid ball quickly and move the pocket to help. If Huskies can handle the pressure from Michigan, I look for them to move ball and score. I’m taking the points with Washington.


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