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Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
#768156 02/07/24 11:03 PM
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Underdogs as a whole have performed well in the Super Bowl as well, covering in three straight games (winning two outright) and posting a 9-7 W-L and 11-5 ATS record since 2007.

And then there's the piece de resistance: Andy Reid is elite coming off a bye. He's 23-15 ATS in his career with at least 12 days to prepare for a game and 31-7 outright in those games. The Reid-Mahomes duo is 11-2 straight up with an extra week off (and yes, they do have an above average record overall, but this is a better win pct than they have on regular rest).

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768157 02/07/24 11:03 PM
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With two-thirds of American adults living in jurisdictions with legal sports betting, more than $20 billion is expected to be at stake when the Super Bowl kicks off in Las Vegas for the first time.

Approximately 67.8 million adults -- 26% of the adult population of the United States -- could combine to bet $23.1 billion on Super Bowl LVIII between the San Francisco 49ersand Kansas City Chiefs, according to survey results released Tuesday by the American Gaming Association (AGA). Both figures -- the number of bettors and the amount wagered -- are up significantly from last year's survey.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768158 02/07/24 11:04 PM
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No quarterback in the Super Bowl era has been better as an underdog than Mahomes. His 10-1-1 ATS record in those games is the best mark of any qualified passer in that span. Eleven of those games came on the road, with his near-perfect 10-0-1 away cover rate also ranking as the best in the Super Bowl era.

And did I mention that he has won 75% of those games outright?

Speaking of winning, Mahomes has won each of his past six postseason starts, one shy of tying four Hall of Famers (John Elway, Troy Aikman, Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw) for the second-longest streak in the Super Bowl era. Only Tom Brady's 10-game streak from 2001-05 surpassed that mark.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768159 02/07/24 11:04 PM
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Super Bowl LVIII Betting Trends

Kansas City is 10-1-1 ATS as underdog with Patrick Mahomes (9-3 SU).

Kansas City is 10-0-1 ATS as road/neutral underdog with Patrick Mahomes (9-2 SU).

Kansas City has covered seven straight meetings vs SF (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS under Andy Reid).

Kansas City has covered five straight games entering Super Bowl.

Kansas City is: 3-0 ATS this postseason (won last two games as underdogs).

Kansas City has covered five straight playoff games (longest streak since 2012-15 Ravens - 7 straight).

Kansas City is 62-50-1 ATS in Patrick Mahomes starts (12-5 ATS in playoffs).

Kansas City is 111-88-2 ATS under Andy Reid (13-8-1 ATS in playoffs).

AFC teams are 7-2 ATS in past nine Super Bowls

San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams with winning records.

San Francisco is 4-0 ATS this season when favored by less than four points.

San Francisco is 0-3 ATS last 3 games.

San Francisco is the only team to be favored in every game this season.

San Francisco is the second team to reach SB without covering playoff game (2007 Patriots).

San Francisco is 7-4 ATS in playoff games under Kyle Shanahan (0-2 ATS this year).

San Francisco is 15-10-1 ATS in Brock Purdy starts (2-3 ATS in playoffs).

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768160 02/07/24 11:04 PM
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Top rushing and receiving betting nuggets

Christian McCaffrey has gone over his rushing yards prop in nine of his last 10 games and 13 of 18 games this season. His rushing yards prop is 90.5, the highest number McCaffrey has had all season.

Brandon Aiyuk's receiving yards prop of 62.5 is his lowest since Week 6. It's the fifth-highest receiving yards prop against the 49ers this season. His prop was a season-high 76.5 yards last week (had 68 yards). He has gone under his receptions and receiving yards props in both playoff games.

Travis Kelce has gone under his receptions prop in 10 of his last 12 games. However, he has gone over in two of three playoff games. His prop is back to 6.5 after it was 5.5 in the previous five games.

Isiah Pacheco has gone over his rushing prop in four straight games and seven of his last nine. His prop of 67.5 yards is the second-highest prop against the Chiefs this season (Aaron Jones: 69.5 in Divisional Round, went over).

Rashee Rice has gone over his receptions prop in 13 of 19 games, the highest percentage in the NFL (no prop posted in Week 1). However, he has gone under his prop in three of his last five games. 6.5 receptions ties his highest prop this season

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768161 02/07/24 11:05 PM
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How many Super Bowl winners have worn white?

If you think jersey trends are meaningful, you should be inclined to put your money on San Francisco to win its first Super Bowl in 29 years. A San Francisco win would make white jerseys victorious in 17 of the last 20 Super Bowls — an incredible statistical anomaly.

The white jersey domination also extends past the money line. Teams wearing white in Super Bowls are 13-6 against the spread over the past 19 games

Through 57 editions of the Super Bowl, the team that wore white jerseys lifted the Lombardi Trophy a resounding 37 times.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768163 02/07/24 11:05 PM
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Top QB prop betting nuggets

1. Mahomes has gone under his passing yards prop in 13 of 19 games this season.

2. Mahomes has gone under 1.5 passing touchdowns in six of his last eight starts, all at plus money. The 49ers have held 12 of 19 opposing quarterbacks under 1.5 passing touchdowns.

3. Purdy has gone under his passing yards prop in each of his last five games. He had gone over the number in nine of his first 13 starts.

4. Purdy's rushing prop is 12.5 after never being higher than 8.5 all season. He rushed for 14 yards against the Packers (over 6.5) and 48 yards against the Lions (over 7.5).

5. Out of 19 starting quarterbacks to have posted passing yards props against the Chiefs, only four went over the number.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768165 02/07/24 11:06 PM
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Betting on the QBs

• Bettors are expecting a big game from Patrick Mahomes. The over on Mahomes' passing touchdowns (1.5 -160o) and rushing yards (26.5 -120u) have each attracted extremely lopsided early action at BetMGM: 99% of the money is on the over on passing TDs and 97% of the money is on the over on his rushing yards.

• The most-lopsided player prop on 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy as of Tuesday at BetMGM was on his interceptions: 99% of the money wagered is on Purdy to throw over 0.5 interceptions in the Super Bowl

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wayne1218 #768166 02/07/24 11:06 PM
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Interest in underdog Orange

"Purple" has separated itself as the clear-but favorite to be the color of Gatorade dumping on the winning coach, but underdog "Orange" was attracting from bettors. Orange had attracted 33% of the money wagered on the prop as of Monday at BetMGM, more than Purple, Blue and Clear/Water combined. You can wager on there not being a Gatorade Bath at 20-1.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768168 02/07/24 11:07 PM
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The big Super Bowl bets

$1 million: The first of what's expected to be several million-dollar Super Bowl bets was reported Jan. 30 by Caesars Sportsbook. The bet: $1 million on the 49ers money line (-120).

$600,000: A DraftKings bettor grabbed the 49ers moneyline at -120 with a $600,000 bet that will net $500,000 with a San Francisco victory.

$315,000: One DraftKings bettor staked $315,000 on the 49ers spread at -2 (-105), which will pay out $300,000 in winnings if the Niners cover.

$260,000: A bettor at FanDuel placed a $260,000 wager on the 49ers moneyline at -130, which would net $200,000 if San Francisco wins.

$120,000: One bettor at South Point put in wagers for 60 different props across the board at $2,000 each for a total of $120,000, per Vaccaro

$105,000: Legendary Las Vegas bookmaker Jimmy Vaccaro of the South Point casino reported taking a $105,000 bet on the 49ers -1 on Jan. 29.

$105,000: One bettor at BetMGM put down $140 on Kyle Juszczyk to win Super Bowl MVP at 750-1 odds. The wager would net $105,000 if Juszczyk claims the award.

$100,000: Caesars reported taking a $100,000 on the coin toss to land tails from a Michigan bettor on Jan. 30. A hundred K on the coin toss? What the flip!?

Side note: The most popular prop bet at DraftKings as of Feb. 2 was... tails. The second-most popular: heads.

$25,000 to win $1 million: A bettor with DraftKings reportedly put $25,000 on Kansas City running back Isiah Pacheco to be named Super Bowl MVP. At 40-1, the bet would pay $1 million.

$15,000 to win $975,000: A bettor with DraftKings dropped $15,000 on Chiefs receiver Rashee Rice to be MVP. At 65-1, the bet would win $975,000

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768169 02/07/24 11:07 PM
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TD Favorite

• 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey is around -225 to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl, the shortest odds of any player, but that's actually longer than he's been in each of his previous six games. McCaffrey had been an odds-on favorite of at least -300 to score touchdowns in previous six games. He has scored a TD in 15 of his last 18 games

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768170 02/07/24 11:07 PM
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Champs as public dogs

A release from sportsbook BetRivers on Monday leads off with "The betting public has spoken, and it is saying "Chiefs" loud and clear. The sportsbook reported 73% of the bets and 76% of the point spread money that had been placed entering Monday morning was on Kansas City.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768174 02/07/24 11:15 PM
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SUPER BOWL LVIII SCORE AND MVP PREDICTIONS

FEMI ABEBEFE
Chiefs 24, 49ers 20
MVP: Travis Kelce

GILL ALEXANDER
49ers 34, Chiefs 23
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

JOSH APPELBAUM
Chiefs 24, 49ers 20
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

MATT BROWN
Chiefs 24, 49ers 21
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

STEVE BUCHANAN
49ers 27, Chiefs 17
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

STORMY BUONANTONY
49ers 27, Chiefs 24
MVP: Brock Purdy

ADAM BURKE
Chiefs 24, 49ers 23
MVP: Travis Kelce

KELLEY BYDLON
Chiefs 24, 49ers 17
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

ZACHARY COHEN
Chiefs 23, 49ers 20

JULIAN EDLOW
Chiefs 23, 49ers 21
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

SEAN GREEN
Chiefs 28, 49ers 17
MVP: Travis Kelce

PAULY HOWARD
Chiefs 23, 49ers 21
MVP: Isiah Pacheco

STEPHANIE KAMERSCHAK
49ers 27, Chiefs 20
MVP: Brock Purdy

RYAN KRAMER
49ers 31, Chiefs 23
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

MICHAEL LOMBARDI
49ers 27, Chiefs 23
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

EMERSON LOTZIA
Chiefs 31, 49ers 20
MVP: Rashee Rice

STEVE MAKINEN
Chiefs 23, 49ers 21
MVP: Isiah Pacheco

PATRICK MEAGHER
Chiefs 24, 49ers 17
IMVP Isiah Pacheco

MITCH MOSS
49ers 30, Chiefs 24
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

TIM MURRAY
49ers 24, Chiefs 20
MVP: Brock Purdy

MIKE PALM
Chiefs 23, 49ers 20
MVP: Travis Kelce

MIKE PRITCHARD
Chiefs 24, 49ers 21
MVP: Travis Kelce

WES REYNOLDS
49ers 27, Chiefs 20
MVP: Brock Purdy

DAVE ROSS
49ers 29, Chiefs 21
MVP: Brock Purdy

AMAL SHAH
Chiefs 27, 49ers 17
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

TYLER SHOEMAKER
49ers 24, Chiefs 20
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

JARED SMITH
Chiefs 29, 49ers 27
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

MIKE SOMICH
Chiefs 20, 49ers 17
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

STUGOTZ
Chiefs 42, 49ers 14
MVP: Isiah Pacheco

DUSTIN SWEDELSON
49ers 24, Chiefs 20
MVP: Christian McCaffrey

ROSS TUCKER
Chiefs 24, 49ers 20
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

DAVE TULEY
Chiefs 23, 49ers 20
MVP: Isiah Pacheco

JONATHAN VON TOBEL
49ers 21, Chiefs 14
MVP: Brock Purdy

BEN WILSON
49ers 26, Chiefs 23
MVP: Debo Samuel

MATT YOUMANS
Chiefs 27, 49ers 24
MVP: Patrick Mahomes

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768266 02/08/24 02:46 PM
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How much are commercials?

About $7 million for a 30-second spot. That breaks down to $233,333.33 per second. Ads for the game didn’t hit a million bucks until 1995. In 1967, they cost $37,500.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768267 02/08/24 02:48 PM
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Who will sing “America the Beautiful?” Post Malone. He might be the first singer to have more tattoos than half the players.

What about the National Anthem? Reba McEntire.

Who will sing “Lift Every Voice and Sing?” Andra Day.

Who is the halftime performer? Usher

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wayne1218 #768268 02/08/24 02:49 PM
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How many states have hosted the Super Bowl?

It’s the first Super Bowl to be played in Nevada, which is the 11th state to host the game.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768269 02/08/24 02:50 PM
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Tell me the most trivial thing you can about the game:

Brock Purdy’s kid brother – also a quarterback - is named Chubba. He is at his third college – the University of Nevada. His nickname comes from the fact that he reportedly weighed 32 pounds before he turned 1. Brock is 6 feet, 1 inch, and 220 pounds. Chubba is 6-2, 210

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wayne1218 #768270 02/08/24 02:51 PM
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How has the coin toss turned out?

The pregame toss has landed on tails 30 times and heads 27. Super Bowl winners have won the toss 26 of 57 times. The longest streak remains heads for five consecutive years, 2009 to 2013. Last year the Chiefs won the toss (tails) and the game. Yes, you can bet on it. Also, see question No. 57

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wayne1218 #768271 02/08/24 02:52 PM
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Don’t slam me with stats, but compare the teams:

Kansas City scored 371 points and allowed 294. San Francisco scored 491 and let up 298. Only Miami and Dallas scored more points this season than San Francisco. The game is being played on grass. The Chiefs went 7-6 on grass fields this season while the 49ers’ record was 10-4

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wayne1218 #768272 02/08/24 02:53 PM
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What is the bonus for players?

Winning-team players take home $164,000 while the “losers” get $89,000 each.

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The University of California is the school which produced the most Super Bowl QBs

The University of California at Berkeley is the top school for producing quarterbacks that start in the Super Bowl. The most recent was Jared Goff in 2019 (Rams) and before that was Joe Kapp, Craig Morton, Vince Ferragamo, and Aaron Rodgers. Alabama (Bart Starr, Joe Namath, Kenny Stabler), Notre Dame (Daryle Lamonica, Joe Montana, Joe Theismann), and Purdue (Len Dawson, Bob Griese, Drew Brees) rank second with three Super Bowl quarterbacks each

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wayne1218 #768474 02/09/24 01:08 PM
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Chris Berman, The Swami sez

Kansas City 23, San Francisco 20

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wayne1218 #768475 02/09/24 01:10 PM
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Top game props betting nuggets

A player to score an "Octopus" is 16-1 at ESPN BET, meaning a player scored a touchdown and 2-point conversion on the same drive. That has happened 11 times this season. The only octopus in Super Bowl history came last season when Jalen Hurts accomplished it. The last Chiefs octopus was by Mahomes last season, while no 49ers player has had one since 2016 (Carlos Hyde).

The odds for the shortest touchdown are set at 1.5 yards (under -150). The shortest touchdown has been 1 yard in four straight Super Bowls, six of the past eight Super Bowls, and eight of the last 11 Super Bowls.

The 49ers are -110 to score more points in the first half than in the second half and overtime (-120). The second half has had fewer points in eight straight Chiefs games and 13 of the last 14 Chiefs games. The second half has had fewer points in 11 of 19 49ers games this season (one push).

The 49ers are +200 to score a touchdown on their opening drive. The 49ers scored touchdowns on opening drives 10 times during the regular season, three more than any other team. They have not scored on their opening drive in either playoff game.

Both teams are -115 to make the shortest field goal. 49ers kicker Jake Moody has attempted just two field goals less than 30 yards in his past 13 games. In that same span, Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has kicked 10 field goals that short, including seven in his past five games.

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The Chiefs have the advantage, 49-15

Of the 64 experts who weighed in, the Chiefs were favored by 49 of them (76.6%), while the 49ers claimed 15 votes (23.4%).

Chiefs
Alaina Getzenberg, Bills reporter: 27-24
Alden Gonzalez, writer: 31-27
Ben Baby, Bengals reporter: 34-14
Brooke Pryor, Steelers reporter: 27-24
Courtney Cronin, Bears reporter: 31-28
Dan Graziano, national NFL reporter: 20-17
Dan Orlovsky, NFL analyst: 24-21
David Newton, Panthers reporter: 32-27
David Purdum, sports betting reporter: 31-23
Elizabeth Merrill, senior writer: 31-28
Eric Karabell, NFL fantasy analyst: 34-17
Eric N. Moody, NFL fantasy analyst: 31-28
Eric Woodyard, Lions reporter: 23-20
Erin Dolan, sports betting analyst: 24-20
Field Yates, NFL analyst: 27-24
Jake Trotter, Browns reporter: 28-24
Jason Reid, Andscape senior NFL writer: 34-17
Jeff Legwold, Broncos reporter: 28-23
Jenna Laine, Buccaneers reporter: 28-24
John Buccigross, commentator: 29-28
Jordan Raanan, Giants reporter: 23-17
Jordan Reid, NFL draft analyst: 27-24
Josh Weinfuss, Cardinals reporter: 33-24
Kevin Seifert, Vikings reporter: 31-26
Kris Rhim, Chargers reporter: 27-23
Lindsey Thiry, national NFL reporter: 28-25
Liz Loza, NFL fantasy analyst: 24-23
Marcel Louis-Jacques, Dolphins reporter: 27-21
Marcus Spears, NFL analyst: 28-24
Matt Bowen, NFL analyst: 27-23
Matt Miller, NFL draft analyst: 28-24
Michael DiRocco, Jaguars reporter: 27-21
Michael Rothstein, Falcons reporter: 27-23
Mike Reiss, Patriots reporter: 31-21
Mike Tannenbaum, NFL analyst: 31-21
Mina Kimes, NFL analyst: 27-24
Paul Gutierrez, Raiders reporter: 27-21
Rex Ryan, NFL analyst: 31-24
Rich Cimini, Jets reporter: 31-24
Rob Demovsky, Packers reporter: 27-24
Robert Griffin III, NFL analyst: 31-21
Sal Paolantonio, national NFL reporter: 30-20
Sarah Barshop, Rams reporter: 31-24
Stephen Holder, Colts reporter: 24-21
Tedy Bruschi, NFL analyst: 24-21
Tim Hasselbeck, NFL analyst: 27-17
Tim McManus, Eagles reporter: 34-30
Tristan H. Cockcroft, NFL fantasy analyst: 27-21
Turron Davenport, Titans reporter: 27-21

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The Chiefs have the advantage, 49-15

Of the 64 experts who weighed in, the Chiefs were favored by 49 of them (76.6%), while the 49ers claimed 15 votes (23.4%).

49ers
Brady Henderson, Seahawks reporter: 24-23
Daniel Dopp, NFL fantasy analyst: 31-20
DJ Bien-Aime, Texans reporter: 27-21
Doug Greenberg, sports betting reporter: 27-20
Jamison Hensley, Ravens reporter: 31-17
Jeremy Fowler, national NFL reporter: 27-24
John Keim, Commanders reporter: 20-17
Katherine Terrell, Saints reporter: 28-21
Michelle Beisner-Buck, NFL feature reporter: 27-24
Mike Clay, NFL fantasy analyst: 25-23
Seth Walder, analytics writer: 26-24
Seth Wickersham, senior writer: 20-19
Stephania Bell, NFL fantasy analyst: 27-21
Tim Keown, senior writer: 28-24
Todd Archer, Cowboys reporter: 28-26

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Super Bowl MVP

Patrick Mahomes was the most common pick to win Super Bowl MVP, collecting 38 of the 64 votes (59.3%). Mahomes is looking to claim his third career Super Bowl MVP.

Travis Kelce and Christian McCaffrey were next with nine votes each (14%). Brock Purdyreceived three votes (4.6%), and Fred Warner received two votes (3.1%). Chris Jones, Deebo Samuel and Isiah Pacheco received one vote each (1.5%).

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (+130): David Newton, Brooke Pryor, Dan Graziano, Turron Davenport, Sarah Barshop, Jordan Reid, Lindsey Thiry, Robert Griffin III, Mike Reiss, Mina Kimes, Field Yates, Tristan H. Cockcroft, John Buccigross, Tedy Bruschi, Kris Rhim, Alaina Getzenberg, Ben Baby, Stephen Holder, Courtney Cronin, Rich Cimini, Liz Loza, Eric N. Moody, Jordan Raanan, Marcel Louis-Jacques, Elizabeth Merrill, Matt Miller, David Purdum, Dan Orlovsky, Rex Ryan, Jason Reid, Eric Woodyard, Marcus Spears, Eric Karabell, Erin Dolan, Jenna Laine, Rob Demovsky, Jeff Legwold

Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (+1400): Jake Trotter, Michael Rothstein, Mike Tannenbaum, Sal Paolantonio, Kevin Seifert, Michael DiRocco, Alden Gonzalez, Josh Weinfuss, Paul Gutierrez

Brock Purdy, QB, 49ers (+225): DJ Bien-Aime, Seth Walder, Stephania Bell

Fred Warner, LB, 49ers (+15000):Seth Wickersham, Daniel Dopp

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What Football Power Index (FPI) says

FPI has the 49ers winning 59.4% of the simulations. And they are favored to win by an average of 3.1 points.

This matchup is a showdown between the top team in FPI, the 49ers (10.1), and the Chiefs (7.4) in fifth. The 49ers are No. 1 in offense (Chiefs rank seventh), and Kansas City is No. 5 in defense (San Francisco is seventh).

The Chiefs started the season No. 1 in FPI in the preseason, while the 49ers were No. 5.

In the preseason, the 49ers had the second-best chance to make the Super Bowl (22.4%) and the Chiefs had the third best (20.6%). And Kansas City was given a 12.7% chance to win it to San Francisco's 11.7%

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49ers Stats to know

The 49ers have led for 22.9% of time through their two games this postseason, the second-lowest percentage of time leading in the postseason entering Super Bowl (1994 Chargers).

The Niners are the fourth team to have both a 4,000-yard passer (Purdy) and four players with 1,000 scrimmage yards (McCaffrey, Aiyuk, Samuel and Kittle) in a season, but they are the first of them to make the Super Bowl.

Purdy has a 91 QBR in the second half of games this postseason, a dramatic increase from a 59 QBR in the first half. The 49ers have averaged 22.0 points per game in the second half and just 7.0 in the first half.

McCaffrey led the NFL in rushing yards during the regular season (1,459). He's the first rushing champion to reach the Super Bowl since 2005 (Shaun Alexander), and could become the first to win the Super Bowl since 1998 (Terrell Davis).

Rookie kicker Jake Moody has missed four kicks in his past three games (3 of 6 FG, 9 of 10 extra points). He missed just three kicks in first 16 games of the season (21-24 FG, 58-58 XP).

This season, including the playoffs, the Niners have averaged 7.1 yards per play with Samuel on the field, compared with 5.5 yards per play when he's off the field.

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768622 02/09/24 09:28 PM
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Chiefs Stats to know

Mahomes has 14 playoff wins as starting quarterback, tied with Peyton Manning, John Elway and Terry Bradshaw for the third most by a starting quarterback since 1950 -- trailing Brady (35) and Joe Montana (16).

Kelce has tallied eight postseason games with 100-plus receiving yards, tied with Jerry Rice for most in NFL history.

The Chiefs' receivers had the highest drop percentage in the NFL during the regular season at 6.2%. Their drop percentage during this postseason is just 3.3% -- which would have tied for ninth best during the regular season.

Kansas City has a 13-2 record (including playoffs) when it holds opponents to 20 points or fewer. The Chiefs are 1-4 when opponents score at least 21 points.

The Chiefs are 9-3 this season when Taylor Swift is in attendance. Kelce averages 78.8 receiving yards per game with Swift in attendance. Swift will be performing on tour in Tokyo from Wednesday to Saturday

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768623 02/09/24 09:29 PM
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Chiefs injury report

The Chiefs will be thin on their defensive line with Charles Omenihu ruled out after tearing an ACL in the AFC Championship Game. They lost another defensive lineman, Derrick Nnadi, for the rest of the season earlier in the playoffs. Rookie Felix Anudike-Uzomah, the Chiefs' first-round draft pick, will need to play some high-quality snaps. He has been a healthy scratch in recent weeks. The Chiefs are holding out hope that All-Pro guard Joe Thuney can play, but it's unlikely. He injured his pectoral muscle earlier in the playoffs. Nick Allegretti filled in well in the AFC Championship Game. -- Teicher

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768625 02/09/24 09:30 PM
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49ers injury report

All things considered, the 49ers enter this week about as healthy as a team could be at this point in the season. Tight end George Kittle didn't practice last week because of a toe issue, but he said Friday he has no concerns about it and he was no listed on the injury report the team released last week. Yes, the Niners will be without starting strong safety Talanoa Hufanga, who tore the ACL in his right knee in November, but they have most of their starters rested and ready to go for the biggest game of the year. -- Wagoner

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #768628 02/09/24 09:31 PM
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What to know about the officiating

Referee Bill Vinovich is leading his second Super Bowl crew in the past five years, and his third overall. His appearance extends a remarkable recovery from an aortic dissection that nearly killed him in 2007 and shelved his on-field officiating career for six seasons. He returned full time in 2013. His regular-season crews have annually thrown the fewest flags in the NFL for most of the past decade, although his 2023 crew tied for the seventh fewest.

Vinovich was the lead referee for Super Bowl LIV, which also matched the Chiefs and 49ers. That crew threw a total of 11 flags, two of which were declined. Of the remaining nine, five went against the 49ers and four against the Chiefs

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #769053 02/11/24 02:45 PM
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Playing these today …….

It was another great season with teasers so lets end it with a bang!

10*

7 PT. (-130)
Kansas City Chiefs +9
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 54½

7 PT. (-130)
Kansas City Chiefs +9
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 40½

7 PT. (-130)
49ers +5
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 54½

7 PT. (-130)
49ers +5
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 40½

13 PT. (-130)
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 60½
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 34½
49ers +11
Kansas City Chiefs +15

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #769059 02/11/24 03:17 PM
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Betting Roundtables

Aaron Schatz:

OVER 47.5 (-110)

Mahomes under 0.5 interceptions (-110)

Kittle anytime TD (+180)

McCaffrey first TD (+400)

Purdy over 12.5 rushing yards (-115)

Samuel UNDER 14.5 rushing yards (+105)

Kittle OVER 47.5 receiving yards (-130)

Seth Walder:

Mahomes OVER 26.5 rushing yards (-110)

Purdy UNDER 0.5 interceptions (-120)

Aiyuk to score 2+ touchdowns (+1100)

UNDER 4.5 total sacks (-130) in the game.

No sacks in the game (40-1)

Tyler Fulghum:

1st quarter/halftime result - Chiefs/Draw (+3000).

Samuel anytime TD (+160)

Rashee Rice first TD (+1100)

Mahomes UNDER 0.5 INT (-115)

Purdy UNDER 1.5 pass TD (+100)

Clyde Edwards-Helaire UNDER 6.5 rushing yards (-125)

Samuel OVER 56.5 receiving yards (-120)

Erin Dolan

Mahomes OVER 4.5 rushing attempts (-125)

Kevin Pulsifer

Chiefs to win first quarter by shutout (+320)

Largest lead of game UNDER 14.5 points (-125)

Purdy UNDER 31.5 pass attempts (-115)

Aiyuk no TD (-190)

Pacheco first TD (+600)

Anita Marks:

Kansas City to score on its first drive (+105)

Kansas City OVER 23.5 total points (-115)

Mahomes OVER 35.5 total pass attempts

Purdy OVER 0.5 interceptions (-125)

Gray OVER 1.5 total receptions (-130)

Gray OVER 12.5 total receiving yards (-130)

Daniel Dopp

Kelce anytime TD (EVEN)

Kelce first TD (+450)

Purdy OVER 12.5 rushing yards (-115)

Purdy OVER 0.5 interceptions (-125)

Kelce OVER 6.5 receptions (-135)

Liz Loza

Mahomes UNDER 25.5 pass completions (-130)

Kittle OVER 3.5 receptions (-165)

Eric Moody

Purdy anytime TD (+600)

Kelce first TD (+450)

Mahomes OVER 36.5 pass attempts (-125)

Purdy UNDER 21.5 passing completions (-135)

Pacheco OVER 16.5 rushing attempts (EVEN)

Rice UNDER 66.5 receiving yards (-105)

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #769060 02/11/24 03:18 PM
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Best Travis Kelce-Taylor Swift bets

Liz Loza parsed the special "Swelce"-inspired bets on ESPN BET.

Bet confidently:

Kelce to score a touchdown (even)

Kelce anytime scorer and Chiefs to win (+280)

Bet carefully:

Kelce to record over 7.5 receptions and the Chiefs to win (+370)

Kelce and Mahomes each to score a touchdown (+925)

Avoid:

Kelce to record over 215.5 receiving yards (150-1)

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #769061 02/11/24 03:19 PM
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DraftKings on Wednesday reported taking a $500,000 money-line wager on the 49ers from a customer in Massachusetts at -125 odds.

• The American Gaming Association on Tuesday released the results of its annual survey on how many adults bet on the Super Bowl and for how much. Both were records this year, with 68 million adults potentially combining to bet $23.1 billion on the Chiefs and Niners through U.S. sportsbook, unlicensed bookmakers, in squares pools and with friends and family.

Here are how the Super Bowl betting figures have grown, according to the survey results, since 2019, the first year since legal betting began spreading across the nation:

2024 -- 68 million adults, $23.1 billion bet.
2023 -- 50.4 million adults, $16 billion bet.
2022 -- 31.4 million adults, $7.61 billion.
2021 -- 23.2 million adults, $4.3 billion.
2020 -- 26 million adults, $6.8 billion.
2019 -- 22.7 million adults, $6.0 billion.

• A bettor in Nevada with Caesars Sportsbook placed a $500 bet on the Chiefs to beat the 49ers by the exact score of 31-20 at 300-1. If successful, the bet would pay a net $150,000

Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #769182 02/11/24 08:07 PM
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Pinnacle just went to SF -2.5 (-103)
no one else is using that. Pinny used to be the go to for sharp moves. Not so much anymore. IMO. We shall see.


PPH Agent and Professional Gambler since 1998
2ND Place Badman Contest 2022 (1st Time Entry)
58 WINS 38 LOSSES NCAAB 2022-2023 Season
49 Wins and 41 losses Badman NFL 2023
Re: Super Bowl Sunday Tidbits
wayne1218 #769215 02/12/24 03:57 AM
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Originally Posted by wayne1218
Playing these today …….

It was another great season with teasers so lets end it with a bang!

10*

7 PT. (-130)
Kansas City Chiefs +9
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 54½

7 PT. (-130)
Kansas City Chiefs +9
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 40½

7 PT. (-130)
49ers +5
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 54½

7 PT. (-130)
49ers +5
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 40½

13 PT. (-130)
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 60½
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 34½
49ers +11
Kansas City Chiefs +15

Nice (5-0) SWEEP to end the season. Had a feeling the game would play out like it did!

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