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The University of California is the school which produced the most Super Bowl QBs

The University of California at Berkeley is the top school for producing quarterbacks that start in the Super Bowl. The most recent was Jared Goff in 2019 (Rams) and before that was Joe Kapp, Craig Morton, Vince Ferragamo, and Aaron Rodgers. Alabama (Bart Starr, Joe Namath, Kenny Stabler), Notre Dame (Daryle Lamonica, Joe Montana, Joe Theismann), and Purdue (Len Dawson, Bob Griese, Drew Brees) rank second with three Super Bowl quarterbacks each

Chris Berman, The Swami sez

Kansas City 23, San Francisco 20

Top game props betting nuggets

A player to score an "Octopus" is 16-1 at ESPN BET, meaning a player scored a touchdown and 2-point conversion on the same drive. That has happened 11 times this season. The only octopus in Super Bowl history came last season when Jalen Hurts accomplished it. The last Chiefs octopus was by Mahomes last season, while no 49ers player has had one since 2016 (Carlos Hyde).

The odds for the shortest touchdown are set at 1.5 yards (under -150). The shortest touchdown has been 1 yard in four straight Super Bowls, six of the past eight Super Bowls, and eight of the last 11 Super Bowls.

The 49ers are -110 to score more points in the first half than in the second half and overtime (-120). The second half has had fewer points in eight straight Chiefs games and 13 of the last 14 Chiefs games. The second half has had fewer points in 11 of 19 49ers games this season (one push).

The 49ers are +200 to score a touchdown on their opening drive. The 49ers scored touchdowns on opening drives 10 times during the regular season, three more than any other team. They have not scored on their opening drive in either playoff game.

Both teams are -115 to make the shortest field goal. 49ers kicker Jake Moody has attempted just two field goals less than 30 yards in his past 13 games. In that same span, Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has kicked 10 field goals that short, including seven in his past five games.

The Chiefs have the advantage, 49-15

Of the 64 experts who weighed in, the Chiefs were favored by 49 of them (76.6%), while the 49ers claimed 15 votes (23.4%).

Chiefs
Alaina Getzenberg, Bills reporter: 27-24
Alden Gonzalez, writer: 31-27
Ben Baby, Bengals reporter: 34-14
Brooke Pryor, Steelers reporter: 27-24
Courtney Cronin, Bears reporter: 31-28
Dan Graziano, national NFL reporter: 20-17
Dan Orlovsky, NFL analyst: 24-21
David Newton, Panthers reporter: 32-27
David Purdum, sports betting reporter: 31-23
Elizabeth Merrill, senior writer: 31-28
Eric Karabell, NFL fantasy analyst: 34-17
Eric N. Moody, NFL fantasy analyst: 31-28
Eric Woodyard, Lions reporter: 23-20
Erin Dolan, sports betting analyst: 24-20
Field Yates, NFL analyst: 27-24
Jake Trotter, Browns reporter: 28-24
Jason Reid, Andscape senior NFL writer: 34-17
Jeff Legwold, Broncos reporter: 28-23
Jenna Laine, Buccaneers reporter: 28-24
John Buccigross, commentator: 29-28
Jordan Raanan, Giants reporter: 23-17
Jordan Reid, NFL draft analyst: 27-24
Josh Weinfuss, Cardinals reporter: 33-24
Kevin Seifert, Vikings reporter: 31-26
Kris Rhim, Chargers reporter: 27-23
Lindsey Thiry, national NFL reporter: 28-25
Liz Loza, NFL fantasy analyst: 24-23
Marcel Louis-Jacques, Dolphins reporter: 27-21
Marcus Spears, NFL analyst: 28-24
Matt Bowen, NFL analyst: 27-23
Matt Miller, NFL draft analyst: 28-24
Michael DiRocco, Jaguars reporter: 27-21
Michael Rothstein, Falcons reporter: 27-23
Mike Reiss, Patriots reporter: 31-21
Mike Tannenbaum, NFL analyst: 31-21
Mina Kimes, NFL analyst: 27-24
Paul Gutierrez, Raiders reporter: 27-21
Rex Ryan, NFL analyst: 31-24
Rich Cimini, Jets reporter: 31-24
Rob Demovsky, Packers reporter: 27-24
Robert Griffin III, NFL analyst: 31-21
Sal Paolantonio, national NFL reporter: 30-20
Sarah Barshop, Rams reporter: 31-24
Stephen Holder, Colts reporter: 24-21
Tedy Bruschi, NFL analyst: 24-21
Tim Hasselbeck, NFL analyst: 27-17
Tim McManus, Eagles reporter: 34-30
Tristan H. Cockcroft, NFL fantasy analyst: 27-21
Turron Davenport, Titans reporter: 27-21

The Chiefs have the advantage, 49-15

Of the 64 experts who weighed in, the Chiefs were favored by 49 of them (76.6%), while the 49ers claimed 15 votes (23.4%).

49ers
Brady Henderson, Seahawks reporter: 24-23
Daniel Dopp, NFL fantasy analyst: 31-20
DJ Bien-Aime, Texans reporter: 27-21
Doug Greenberg, sports betting reporter: 27-20
Jamison Hensley, Ravens reporter: 31-17
Jeremy Fowler, national NFL reporter: 27-24
John Keim, Commanders reporter: 20-17
Katherine Terrell, Saints reporter: 28-21
Michelle Beisner-Buck, NFL feature reporter: 27-24
Mike Clay, NFL fantasy analyst: 25-23
Seth Walder, analytics writer: 26-24
Seth Wickersham, senior writer: 20-19
Stephania Bell, NFL fantasy analyst: 27-21
Tim Keown, senior writer: 28-24
Todd Archer, Cowboys reporter: 28-26

Super Bowl MVP

Patrick Mahomes was the most common pick to win Super Bowl MVP, collecting 38 of the 64 votes (59.3%). Mahomes is looking to claim his third career Super Bowl MVP.

Travis Kelce and Christian McCaffrey were next with nine votes each (14%). Brock Purdyreceived three votes (4.6%), and Fred Warner received two votes (3.1%). Chris Jones, Deebo Samuel and Isiah Pacheco received one vote each (1.5%).

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (+130): David Newton, Brooke Pryor, Dan Graziano, Turron Davenport, Sarah Barshop, Jordan Reid, Lindsey Thiry, Robert Griffin III, Mike Reiss, Mina Kimes, Field Yates, Tristan H. Cockcroft, John Buccigross, Tedy Bruschi, Kris Rhim, Alaina Getzenberg, Ben Baby, Stephen Holder, Courtney Cronin, Rich Cimini, Liz Loza, Eric N. Moody, Jordan Raanan, Marcel Louis-Jacques, Elizabeth Merrill, Matt Miller, David Purdum, Dan Orlovsky, Rex Ryan, Jason Reid, Eric Woodyard, Marcus Spears, Eric Karabell, Erin Dolan, Jenna Laine, Rob Demovsky, Jeff Legwold

Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (+1400): Jake Trotter, Michael Rothstein, Mike Tannenbaum, Sal Paolantonio, Kevin Seifert, Michael DiRocco, Alden Gonzalez, Josh Weinfuss, Paul Gutierrez

Brock Purdy, QB, 49ers (+225): DJ Bien-Aime, Seth Walder, Stephania Bell

Fred Warner, LB, 49ers (+15000):Seth Wickersham, Daniel Dopp

What Football Power Index (FPI) says

FPI has the 49ers winning 59.4% of the simulations. And they are favored to win by an average of 3.1 points.

This matchup is a showdown between the top team in FPI, the 49ers (10.1), and the Chiefs (7.4) in fifth. The 49ers are No. 1 in offense (Chiefs rank seventh), and Kansas City is No. 5 in defense (San Francisco is seventh).

The Chiefs started the season No. 1 in FPI in the preseason, while the 49ers were No. 5.

In the preseason, the 49ers had the second-best chance to make the Super Bowl (22.4%) and the Chiefs had the third best (20.6%). And Kansas City was given a 12.7% chance to win it to San Francisco's 11.7%

49ers Stats to know

The 49ers have led for 22.9% of time through their two games this postseason, the second-lowest percentage of time leading in the postseason entering Super Bowl (1994 Chargers).

The Niners are the fourth team to have both a 4,000-yard passer (Purdy) and four players with 1,000 scrimmage yards (McCaffrey, Aiyuk, Samuel and Kittle) in a season, but they are the first of them to make the Super Bowl.

Purdy has a 91 QBR in the second half of games this postseason, a dramatic increase from a 59 QBR in the first half. The 49ers have averaged 22.0 points per game in the second half and just 7.0 in the first half.

McCaffrey led the NFL in rushing yards during the regular season (1,459). He's the first rushing champion to reach the Super Bowl since 2005 (Shaun Alexander), and could become the first to win the Super Bowl since 1998 (Terrell Davis).

Rookie kicker Jake Moody has missed four kicks in his past three games (3 of 6 FG, 9 of 10 extra points). He missed just three kicks in first 16 games of the season (21-24 FG, 58-58 XP).

This season, including the playoffs, the Niners have averaged 7.1 yards per play with Samuel on the field, compared with 5.5 yards per play when he's off the field.

Chiefs Stats to know

Mahomes has 14 playoff wins as starting quarterback, tied with Peyton Manning, John Elway and Terry Bradshaw for the third most by a starting quarterback since 1950 -- trailing Brady (35) and Joe Montana (16).

Kelce has tallied eight postseason games with 100-plus receiving yards, tied with Jerry Rice for most in NFL history.

The Chiefs' receivers had the highest drop percentage in the NFL during the regular season at 6.2%. Their drop percentage during this postseason is just 3.3% -- which would have tied for ninth best during the regular season.

Kansas City has a 13-2 record (including playoffs) when it holds opponents to 20 points or fewer. The Chiefs are 1-4 when opponents score at least 21 points.

The Chiefs are 9-3 this season when Taylor Swift is in attendance. Kelce averages 78.8 receiving yards per game with Swift in attendance. Swift will be performing on tour in Tokyo from Wednesday to Saturday

Chiefs injury report

The Chiefs will be thin on their defensive line with Charles Omenihu ruled out after tearing an ACL in the AFC Championship Game. They lost another defensive lineman, Derrick Nnadi, for the rest of the season earlier in the playoffs. Rookie Felix Anudike-Uzomah, the Chiefs' first-round draft pick, will need to play some high-quality snaps. He has been a healthy scratch in recent weeks. The Chiefs are holding out hope that All-Pro guard Joe Thuney can play, but it's unlikely. He injured his pectoral muscle earlier in the playoffs. Nick Allegretti filled in well in the AFC Championship Game. -- Teicher

49ers injury report

All things considered, the 49ers enter this week about as healthy as a team could be at this point in the season. Tight end George Kittle didn't practice last week because of a toe issue, but he said Friday he has no concerns about it and he was no listed on the injury report the team released last week. Yes, the Niners will be without starting strong safety Talanoa Hufanga, who tore the ACL in his right knee in November, but they have most of their starters rested and ready to go for the biggest game of the year. -- Wagoner

What to know about the officiating

Referee Bill Vinovich is leading his second Super Bowl crew in the past five years, and his third overall. His appearance extends a remarkable recovery from an aortic dissection that nearly killed him in 2007 and shelved his on-field officiating career for six seasons. He returned full time in 2013. His regular-season crews have annually thrown the fewest flags in the NFL for most of the past decade, although his 2023 crew tied for the seventh fewest.

Vinovich was the lead referee for Super Bowl LIV, which also matched the Chiefs and 49ers. That crew threw a total of 11 flags, two of which were declined. Of the remaining nine, five went against the 49ers and four against the Chiefs

Playing these today …….

It was another great season with teasers so lets end it with a bang!

10*

7 PT. (-130)
Kansas City Chiefs +9
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 54½

7 PT. (-130)
Kansas City Chiefs +9
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 40½

7 PT. (-130)
49ers +5
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 54½

7 PT. (-130)
49ers +5
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 40½

13 PT. (-130)
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs U 60½
49ers/Kansas City Chiefs O 34½
49ers +11
Kansas City Chiefs +15

Betting Roundtables

Aaron Schatz:

OVER 47.5 (-110)

Mahomes under 0.5 interceptions (-110)

Kittle anytime TD (+180)

McCaffrey first TD (+400)

Purdy over 12.5 rushing yards (-115)

Samuel UNDER 14.5 rushing yards (+105)

Kittle OVER 47.5 receiving yards (-130)

Seth Walder:

Mahomes OVER 26.5 rushing yards (-110)

Purdy UNDER 0.5 interceptions (-120)

Aiyuk to score 2+ touchdowns (+1100)

UNDER 4.5 total sacks (-130) in the game.

No sacks in the game (40-1)

Tyler Fulghum:

1st quarter/halftime result - Chiefs/Draw (+3000).

Samuel anytime TD (+160)

Rashee Rice first TD (+1100)

Mahomes UNDER 0.5 INT (-115)

Purdy UNDER 1.5 pass TD (+100)

Clyde Edwards-Helaire UNDER 6.5 rushing yards (-125)

Samuel OVER 56.5 receiving yards (-120)

Erin Dolan

Mahomes OVER 4.5 rushing attempts (-125)

Kevin Pulsifer

Chiefs to win first quarter by shutout (+320)

Largest lead of game UNDER 14.5 points (-125)

Purdy UNDER 31.5 pass attempts (-115)

Aiyuk no TD (-190)

Pacheco first TD (+600)

Anita Marks:

Kansas City to score on its first drive (+105)

Kansas City OVER 23.5 total points (-115)

Mahomes OVER 35.5 total pass attempts

Purdy OVER 0.5 interceptions (-125)

Gray OVER 1.5 total receptions (-130)

Gray OVER 12.5 total receiving yards (-130)

Daniel Dopp

Kelce anytime TD (EVEN)

Kelce first TD (+450)

Purdy OVER 12.5 rushing yards (-115)

Purdy OVER 0.5 interceptions (-125)

Kelce OVER 6.5 receptions (-135)

Liz Loza

Mahomes UNDER 25.5 pass completions (-130)

Kittle OVER 3.5 receptions (-165)

Eric Moody

Purdy anytime TD (+600)

Kelce first TD (+450)

Mahomes OVER 36.5 pass attempts (-125)

Purdy UNDER 21.5 passing completions (-135)

Pacheco OVER 16.5 rushing attempts (EVEN)

Rice UNDER 66.5 receiving yards (-105)

Best Travis Kelce-Taylor Swift bets

Liz Loza parsed the special "Swelce"-inspired bets on ESPN BET.

Bet confidently:

Kelce to score a touchdown (even)

Kelce anytime scorer and Chiefs to win (+280)

Bet carefully:

Kelce to record over 7.5 receptions and the Chiefs to win (+370)

Kelce and Mahomes each to score a touchdown (+925)

Avoid:

Kelce to record over 215.5 receiving yards (150-1)

DraftKings on Wednesday reported taking a $500,000 money-line wager on the 49ers from a customer in Massachusetts at -125 odds.

• The American Gaming Association on Tuesday released the results of its annual survey on how many adults bet on the Super Bowl and for how much. Both were records this year, with 68 million adults potentially combining to bet $23.1 billion on the Chiefs and Niners through U.S. sportsbook, unlicensed bookmakers, in squares pools and with friends and family.

Here are how the Super Bowl betting figures have grown, according to the survey results, since 2019, the first year since legal betting began spreading across the nation:

2024 -- 68 million adults, $23.1 billion bet.
2023 -- 50.4 million adults, $16 billion bet.
2022 -- 31.4 million adults, $7.61 billion.
2021 -- 23.2 million adults, $4.3 billion.
2020 -- 26 million adults, $6.8 billion.
2019 -- 22.7 million adults, $6.0 billion.

• A bettor in Nevada with Caesars Sportsbook placed a $500 bet on the Chiefs to beat the 49ers by the exact score of 31-20 at 300-1. If successful, the bet would pay a net $150,000

Pinnacle just went to SF -2.5 (-103)
no one else is using that. Pinny used to be the go to for sharp moves. Not so much anymore. IMO. We shall see.

Nice (5-0) SWEEP to end the season. Had a feeling the game would play out like it did!