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7/23 Statistical Advantages
#803369 07/09/24 05:25 AM
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Re: 7/23 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #805765 07/23/24 11:14 AM
Joined: Apr 2023
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New England
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New England
Umpire Report

— StL-Pitt- Under is 7-4 in Wolf games.
— Cin-Atl- Over is 11-6 in Hudson games.
— Mil-Chi- Favorites are 14-5 in Eddings games.
— SF-LA- Road underdogs are 8-7 in Scheurwater games
— Det-Clev- Underdogs are 10-8 in Bellino games.
— Chi-Tor- Under is 12-8 in Carapazza games.
— LAA-Sea- Home favorites are 9-2 in Bacchus games.
— Hst-A’s- Underdogs of +160 or less are 7-7 in Beck games.
— Phil-Minn- Over is 5-3 in Little games.
— Az-KC- Under is 12-7 in BRMiller games.
— Bos-Colo- Over is 13-7 in Vondrak games.

Re: 7/23 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #805767 07/23/24 11:18 AM
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Posts: 3,076
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New England
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New England
MLB Trends

National League
St Louis (52-48) @ Pittsburgh (51-49)
— Lynn is 3-1, 5.64 in his last four starts.
— He is 0-2, 11.37 in his last four road starts.
— St Louis is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— He is 7-8, 5.34 in 23 starts vs Pittsburgh
— Cardinals are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— They’re 26-26 on road.
— over 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-100
— record in first 5 innings: 37-46-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-2

— Skenes is 3-0, 1.14 in his last six starts.
— Pittsburgh is 8-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-0-4
— He blanked St Louis for 6.2 IP on June 11th.
— Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 25-25 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 19-100
— record in first 5 innings: 42-38-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-2

San Diego (52-50) @ Washington (47-53)
— Vasquez is 1-1, 2.21 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 2-4 in his road starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— This is his first start vs Washington.
— Padres lost seven of last ten games.
— They’re 26-22 on road.
— Padres are 8-8 in road series openers.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-102
— record in first 5 innings: 42-45-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x

— Washington hasn’t named a starter.
— Nationals are 5-1 in their last six games.
— They’re 23-24 at home.
— Nationals are 6-9 in home series openers.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-100
— record in first 5 innings: 41-50-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2-x

Cincinnati (48-53) @ Atlanta (54-45)
— Cincinnati hasn’t named a starter.
— Reds lost four of their last five games.
— They’re 23-25 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-101
— record in first 5 innings: 45-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-1.1-2

— Sale is 5-1, 2.04 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 13-5 in his starts.
— under 13-4
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 15-3
— He gave up a run in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.
— Braves are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 30-20 at home.
— under 19-6 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-99
— record in first 5 innings: 46-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-3

Milwaukee (57-43) @ Cubs (49-53)
— Rea is 1-1, 4.58 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-3 in his last ten starts
— over 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He is 1-0, 3.05 in four starts vs Chicago.
— Brewers won three of last four games.
— They’re 28-26 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 26-100
— record in first 5 innings: 48-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4.2-2.2

— Taillon is 3-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 6-2 in his home starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7
— He is 4-8, 3.29 in 16 starts vs Milwaukee.
— Cubs are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 27-23 at home.
— under 7-0 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-102
— record in first 5 innings: 40-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5.2

San Francisco (48-53) @ Los Angeles (60-41)
— Hicks is 0-3, 7.86 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 9-3 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 0-0, 1.23 in 9 games (2 starts) against the Dodgers
— San Francisco is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— Giants are 20-31 on road.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-101
— record in first 5 innings: 39-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2

— Knack is 1-1, 3.21 in his last eight games.
— Dodgers are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He gave up a run in 4.2 IP, in his one start against the Giants
— Dodgers won their last four games.
— Dodgers are 32-21 at home.
— over 8-3 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-101
— record in first 5 innings: 49-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-4-3.2

American League
Tampa Bay (50-50) @ Toronto (45-54)
— bullpen game
— Tampa Bay is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Rays are 23-23 on road.
— Rays are 6-9 in road series openers.
— over 4-0 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-100
— record in first 5 innings: 36-49-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-2.1

— Berrios is 1-1, 8.40 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-0 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-2
— He is 4-4, 4.72 in 11 starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Toronto is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
— Blue Jays are 22-26 at home.
— Blue Jays are 6-9 in home series openers.
— over 20-4 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-99
— record in first 5 innings: 41-45-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-x

Detroit (50-51) @ Cleveland (59-39)
— Detroit hasn’t named a starter.
— Detroit is 11-3 in its last 14 games.
— Tigers are 26-27 on road.
— over 10-2 last 12 road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-101
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2.2-2

— bullpen game
— Cleveland lost eight of last 11 games.
— Guardians are 10-5 in last 15 home games.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 46-40-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3.2-3.2

White Sox (27-75) @ Texas (48-52)
— Crochet is 0-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— under 15-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-5
— This is his first start against Texas
— White Sox are 1-11 in last 12 games.
— Chicago is 10-41 on road.
— under 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-102
— record in first 5 innings: 42-46-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

— Gray is 1-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 5-4 in his home starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.
— Rangers are 9-4 in last 13 games.
— They’re 26-23 at home.
— under 9-5 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-100
— record in first 5 innings: 42-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-4-5

LA Angels (43-57) @ Seattle (54-48)
— Soriano is 1-2, 4.80 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 6-9 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
— He is 1-0, 3.32 in two starts vs Seattle
— Angels are 6-3 in last nine games.
— They’re 21-28 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-100
— record in first 5 innings: 32-58-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-3.1

— Gilbert is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 7-3 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-5
— He is 5-3, 3.41 in 11 starts vs Anaheim.
— Seattle lost six of last seven games.
— Mariners are 31-21 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 27-102
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-2

Houston (51-49) @ Oakland (40-62)
— bullpen game
— Houston is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Astros are 24-27 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-100
— record in first 5 innings: 47-41-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-2

— bullpen game
— A’s are 10-6 in last 16 games.
— Oakland is 10-6 in last 16 home games.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 20-102
— record in first 5 innings: 37-60-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-2.1

Interleague Games
NY Mets (51-48) @ Bronx (60-42)
— Quintana is 1-1, 2.66 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
— He is 3-3, 2.97 in seven starts vs New York.
— New York is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— Mets are 25-22 on road.
— Mets are 8-2 in last 10 series openers.
— over 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-99
— record in first 5 innings: 43-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

— Gil is 1-1, 1.42 in his last two starts.
— New York is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs New York
— New York is 10-20 in its last 30 games.
— They’re 27-21 at home.
— New York is 8-7 in home series openers.
— over 19-8 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-102
— record in first 5 innings: 53-37-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.2-2

Baltimore (60-39) @ Miami (35-65)
— Suarez is 2-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 7-5 in his starts.
— under 10-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— This is his first start vs Miami.
— Baltimore won three of its last four games.
— Orioles are 30-17 on road.
— Orioles are 10-5 in road series openers.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 22-99
— record in first 5 innings: 53-35-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-x

— Marlins haven’t named a starter.
— Marlins are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— Miami is 20-33 at home.
— Marlins are 7-9 in home series openers.
— over 11-6 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-100
— record in first 5 innings: 30-60-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-4

Philadelphia (63-37) @ Minnesota (55-44)
— Wheeler is 2-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 11-4 in his last 15 starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.
— Phillies are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— They’re 26-21 on road.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 38-100
— record in first 5 innings: 62-30-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2.2

— Woods-Richardson is 0-0, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 8-2 in his last ten starts
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.
— Twins are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Twins are 28-20 at home.
— over 9-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 43-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2

Arizona (51-50) @ Kansas City (55-45)
— Montgomery is 3-3, 9.69 in his last six starts.
— His last start was June 27th.
— Arizona is 3-2 in his road starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 0-1, 5.74 in three starts vs Kansas City.
— Arizona is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Diamondbacks are 25-26 on road.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-101
— record in first 5 innings: 46-37-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-5

— Marsh is 2-2, 5.23 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 11-6 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona
— Royals won eight of last ten games.
— Royals are 35-18 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-101
— record in first 5 innings: 47-39-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3

Boston (53-45) @ Colorado (37-64)
— Criswell is 1-2, 6.91 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 8-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.
— Red Sox lost their last four games.
— They’re 29-21 on road.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 52-36-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-5.1

— Blach is 1-3, 7.11 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 20th.
— Colorado is 4-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 6-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Boston.
— Rockies won four of last five games.
— They’re 23-28 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-101
— record in first 5 innings: 39-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-6.1

Re: 7/23 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #805887 07/23/24 09:59 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 266,850
Likes: 2308
Time to play the Game
FREAK Offline OP
Owner

OP Offline
Owner

Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 266,850
Likes: 2308
Time to play the Game
Detroit vs Cleveland

Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Detroit

Baltimore vs Miami

Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh

St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

San Diego vs Washington

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

NY Mets vs NY Yankees

NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Tampa Bay vs Toronto

The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing Tampa Bay

Cincinnati vs Atlanta

Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

Philadelphia vs Minnesota

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Milwaukee vs Chi Cubs

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Chi White Sox vs Texas

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Arizona vs Kansas City

Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games

Boston vs Colorado

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Houston vs Oakland

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

LA Angels vs Seattle

LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

San Francisco vs LA Dodgers

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


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