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7/30 Statistical Advantages
#805566 07/21/24 11:24 PM
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Re: 7/30 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #807182 07/30/24 11:11 AM
Joined: Apr 2023
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New England
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New England
Umpire Report

— Chi-Cin- Home favorites are 10-4 in Hoye games.
— Atl-Milw- Road underdogs are 10-9 in Barrett games.
— Wsh-Ariz- Favorites are 11-8 in Fairchild games.
— Tor-Balt- Under is 8-5 in Parra games
— Clev-Det- Home underdogs are 4-3 in Morales games.
— Sea-B0s- Over is 13-7 in Visconti games.
— KC-CWS- Over is 10-5 in Wegner games.
— NYY-Phil- Under is 9-7 in Barber games
— Minn-NY- Road underdogs are 10-8 in Miller games
— Tex-StL- Home favorites are 12-4 in Mackay games.
— Pitt-Hst- Jones is a rookie ump; no trends yet.

Re: 7/30 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #807189 07/30/24 11:15 AM
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New England
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New England
MLB Trends

National League
Cubs (51-57) @ Cincinnati (51-55)
— Steele is starts.
— Chicago is 3-5 in his road starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He is 2-4, 5.75 in eight starts vs Cincinnati.
— Cubs are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 24-32 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 23-108
— record in first 5 innings: 42-49-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3.2

— bullpen game
— Reds are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— They’re 26-28 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 29-106
— record in first 5 innings: 48-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-4

Atlanta (56-49) @ Milwaukee (61-45)
— Elder is 0-3, 8.53 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 3-5 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts vs Milwaukee
— Braves are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 26-28 on road.
— under 21-10 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-105
— record in first 5 innings: 49-42-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3

— Milwaukee hasn’t named a starter.
— Brewers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— They’re 31-19 at home.
— over 5-0-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-106
— record in first 5 innings: 50-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-3.2

Los Angeles (63-44) @ San Diego (57-51)
— Glasnow is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts vs San Diego TY.
— Dodgers are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Dodgers are 29-24 on road.
— Dodgers are 11-7 in road series openers.
— under 6-2 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-107
— record in first 5 innings: 53-43-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.1-x

— Waldron is 1-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 4-6 in his last ten starts.
— over 3-1 last four home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-3
— He is 0-1, 2.61 in two starts against the Dodgers.
— Padres won seven of last eight games.
— They’re 26-28 at home.
— Padres are 8-9 in home series openers.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-108
— record in first 5 innings: 46-47-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-6-x

Washington (49-58) @ Arizona (56-51)
— Corbin is 1-2, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 2-11 in his last 13 starts.
— over 8-4 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-1
— He is 0-3, 8.87 in five starts vs Arizona.
— Nationals are 2-5 in last seven games.
— They’re 26-31 on road.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 18-107
— record in first 5 innings: 43-54-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3.2

— Nelson is 2-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Washington
— Arizona is 11-4 in its last 15 games.
— Diamondbacks are 29-25 at home.
— over 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-107
— record in first 5 innings: 49-40-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

American League
Toronto (50-57) @ Baltimore (63-44)
— Bassitt is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-8
— He is 3-2, 4.79 in six starts vs Baltimore.
— Toronto is 11-8 in its last 19 games.
— Blue Jays are 24-29 on road.
— over 27-5 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-107
— record in first 5 innings: 45-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-10.2

— Burnes is 1-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 14-0 with Burnes if they score 4+ runs.
— Orioles are 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— over 9-3 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-5-2
— He is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Toronto TY.
— Baltimore lost six of last nine games.
— Orioles are 32-25 at home.
— over 11-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 26-107
— record in first 5 innings: 57-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-7.2

Cleveland (64-42) @ Detroit (52-56)
— Williams is 0-3, 4.88 in five starts.
— Guardians are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-2
— He is 0-1, 2.38 in two starts vs Detroit TY.
— Cleveland is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— Guardians are 31-27 on road.
— under 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-106
— record in first 5 innings: 49-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5.2-3

— Flaherty is 2-0, 2.04 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 1-1, 2.00 in three starts vs Cleveland TY.
— Detroit is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Tigers are 25-27 at home.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-108
— record in first 5 innings: 43-47-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-9

Seattle (56-52) @ Boston (56-49)
— Castillo is 2-1, 1.40 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 4-6 in his road starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-1
— He is 1-2, 5.06 in three starts vs Boston.
— Seattle won three of last four games.
— Mariners are 25-29 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-108
— record in first 5 innings: 48-44-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-5.1

— Paxton was 1-1, 8.66 in his last four starts for LA.
— Dodgers were 14-4 in his starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.
— He pitched for Seattle from 2013-18.
— Red Sox lost seven of last ten games.
— They’re 26-27 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 33-105
— record in first 5 innings: 56-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2.1

Kansas City (58-49) @ White Sox (27-82)
— Wacha is 3-0, 2.89 in his last five starts.
— Kansas City is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 6-4 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-4
— He is 2-1, 0.90 in three starts vs Chicago TY.
— Royals lost four of last six games.
— Royals are 23-27 on road
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 29-107
— record in first 5 innings: 50-41-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-4.1

— Cannon is 0-3, 4.13 in his last four games.
— Chicago is 3-7 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He is 0-1, 4.09 in two starts vs Kansas City TY.
— White Sox are 1-18 in last 19 games.
— Chicago is 17-38 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 21-109
— record in first 5 innings: 42-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-6-3

Interleague Games
Bronx (63-45) @ Philadelphia (65-41)
— Cole is 2-1, 4.15 in his last three starts.
— New York is 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He is 6-3, 2.90 in nine starts against the Phillies.
— New York won its last three games, scoring 33 runs.
— They’re 36-22 on road.
— over 24-9 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-108
— record in first 5 innings: 55-40-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-2.2-3.2

— Nola is 2-0, 3.52 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 15-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-3-4
— He is 1-2, 2.88 in four starts vs New York
— Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 38-19 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 39-106
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 63-32-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-4

Minnesota (58-48) @ NY Mets (56-50)
— Festa is 1-1, 8.16 in three games (2 starts).
— Twins are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.
— Twins are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Twins are 29-26 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-105
— record in first 5 innings: 46-46-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-4.2

— Manaea is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— New York are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He is 5-1, 2.48 in six games (5 starts) vs Minnesota
— New York is 14-6 in its last 20 games.
— Mets are 29-28 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-106
— record in first 5 innings: 46-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

Miami (39-66) @ Tampa Bay (54-52)
— Cabrera is 0-1, 7.41 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He is 0-2, 10.80 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Marlins are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Miami is 17-33 on road.
— over 16-6-1 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-106
— record in first 5 innings: 33-63-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-x

— Springs is making his first ’24 start.
— He was 2-0, 0.56 in three starts LY, before he got hurt.
— In his career, he is 21-10, 3.40 in 138 games (30 starts).
— This is his first start vs Miami.
— Tampa Bay is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Rays are 29-28 at home.
— under 6-0 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-106
— record in first 5 innings: 39-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-9-x

Texas (52-55) @ St Louis (54-52)
— Scherzer is 1-1, 4..82 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 5-6, 2.50 in 15 starts vs St Louis.
— Rangers lost three of last four games.
— They’re 23-32 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 36-107
— record in first 5 innings: 47-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-5.2-3

— Lynn is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— St Louis is 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-4
— He is 0-1, 1.74 in two starts vs Texas
— Cardinals are 2-5 in last seven games.
— They’re 27-25 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 22-106
— record in first 5 innings: 39-49-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

Pittsburgh (54-52) @ Houston (54-52)
— Pittsburgh hasn’t named a starter.
— Pirates are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 28-26 on road.
— under 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-106
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-3

— Brown is 3-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.
— Houston is 9-7 in its last 16 games.
— Astros are 30-23 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 33-106
— record in first 5 innings: 50-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-6

Colorado (38-69) @ LA Angels (46-60)
— Quantrill is 1-1, 6.16 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 10-5 in his last 15 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-4
— He is 1-1, 2.18 in five starts vs Anaheim.
— Rockies lost five of last six games.
— They’re 14-40 on road.
— Rockies lost their last six road series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 28-107
— record in first 5 innings: 40-54-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-x

— Canning is 0-2, 6.88 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 5-2 in his last seven home starts.
— under 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-1
— He is 1-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Colorado
— Angels lost three of last four games.
— They’re 23-32 at home.
— Angels are 1-6 in last seven series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-106
— record in first 5 innings: 35-61-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-6.1

Oakland (44-64) @ San Francisco (53-55)
— Sears is 3-1, 4.98 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.
— A’s are 14-8 in last 22 games.
— Oakland is 8-20 in last 28 road games.
— A’s are 8-3 in last 11 series openers.
— over 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-108
— record in first 5 innings: 40-63-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4.1

— Ray gave up a run in 5 IP, in his first ‘24 start.
— Giants are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-2, 2.72 in seven starts vs Oakland.
— San Francisco is 5-1 in its last six games.
— Giants are 32-22 at home.
— Giants are 8-2 in last 10 home series openers.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-108
— record in first 5 innings: 44-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-9-x

Re: 7/30 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #807228 07/30/24 01:44 PM
Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,679
Likes: 59
Lake Grove
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Lake Grove
MLB

Tuesday, July 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Detroit is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Toronto vs Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

NY Yankees vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

Miami vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami

Seattle vs Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle

Chi Cubs vs Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

Minnesota vs NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Mets is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota

Texas vs St. Louis
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Texas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 12 games when playing Texas

Pittsburgh vs Houston
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Kansas City vs Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games when playing Kansas City

Atlanta vs Milwaukee
Atlanta is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Colorado vs LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Angels is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

Washington vs Arizona
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

LA Dodgers vs San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Oakland vs San Francisco
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


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