Bills -5.5

let's be honest, Bills are a big game team and the jaguars are not.

undefeated teams on MNF are 47-24-2 ATS since 1980.

lawrence is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS last 6 games.

you may be disappointed with the bills passing game the first two games due to lack of yards, but Allen has a
124.2 QB rating. Bills by a TD or more

Folks much much better job in this area. It's great to get the reasoning behind your picks. There are things that people are picking up that they either didn't know stat wise or a trend that fits the pick.

Let's keep it going and just make it habit forming and it comes natural.

Win or lose, we all get a glimpse into the thought process and that sure beats reading a team and a line if that at all.

Bengals ML, I think burrow moves it with ease in an absolute slaughter.

MLB
Phillies ML -175

Expect PHI to bounce back after losing 3 of 4 to Mets. Looking to lock up division.
Cubs going with bullpen game and using an opener Pearson.

Take the Bills spread against a struggling Jaguars offense.
Bills offense keeps rolling.

Bills. Allen keeps finding a way, home field win

NFL Bengals -9 . Bengals put it together and snap 0-2 start . Burrow will exploit poor wash defense

Jax +5.5
Jax has been playing like shit and on the road with the line only 5.5. I see it similar to Denver game yesterday.

Wash +7.5, give me the ugly dog and now I have the hook too!

Mariners +114….Bryce Miller 3 straight QS…Hunter Brown struggling

Bills -5.5

Buffalo’s quarterback, Josh Allen, has been performing at a high level, leading the Bills’ offense with both passing and rushing touchdowns so far. Bills have 71% chance of winning outright

Jacksonville +6
I don’t think buffalos defense is very good. Think jags will move ball. Too many points.

Buffalo Bills -5.5
Buffalo at home
Both defenses are allowing only 19 points per game
Buffalo averaging 32.5 PPG/Jacksonville averaging 15 PPG - Buffalo can out score Jacksonville by at least a touchdown
Jaguar starting QB only completing 51% of passes so far this season

Arizona RL. Arizona is 7- 1 su against San Francisco at home.
Also must win game.

MLB: SF over 9 +100


The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 100 games

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 away games

Bengals defense will put a hurting on the rookie QB phenom.

Bengals 1H -4 ; Bengals come out hungry for that win after that disappointing Chiefs loss last week. Washington have lost both first half’s on the season and I look for that to continue. Bengals come out hot and hungry

MLB

PHILADELPHIA -190 1ST 5 INN
PHIL 32-13 VS R @ H

DBACKS -170
DBACKS -1.5 +110


Trend of the day
60-12
9-1 last 10 games
on this angle

I am using trendsetter app for this pick today

also using betalytics which gives this a 55% win probability in this price range

Bengals -7.5

Bounceback spot for Cinci. Washington struggled to beat a pretty bad NYG team and will really have a hard time moving the ball against a much better Cinci defense.

Wash/Cinci Under 47
Dan Quinn HC of Wash is a Def oriented coach and can scheme enough to keep Cincinnati offense under the total. Burrow and Cinci O still not as one unit with Chase holdout and Higgins injury.
Daniels as rookie QB still learning NFL D. Take the under

Toronto ml
Boston has lost the last 6 games coming after back to back wins.

Arizona. The Diamondbacks have won 9 of their last 10 home games against teams with losing records

Phillies - play however u like it -.5 1st 6 inn - RL - straight I think they are all winners - Philly needs one win to clinch div and this looks like the spot with Nola going tonite who is 6-2 5.69 vs Cubs plus they get to do it at home

Sorry that’s 1st 5 inn

Washington +7
Daniels is the real deal and something ain’t right with the Bungles.

buffalo over 45

Buffalo has had extra time, preparing for this game, Jacksonville hasn't played well
they have now lost eight games in a row, Tonight will bring a lot of offense, so I'm all over the over

La Liga - Betis VS Mallorca

Betis Wins

In the tenth round of the Spanish league, Betis, currently in tenth place with 8 points after five games, will host Mallorca, who are 11th with 9 points from six games. Betis enters today's match in solid form, having won their last two league games at home against Leganés and Getafe, and three of their last four matches overall. Mallorca, on the other hand, comes off a home win against Real Sociedad, following a home loss to Villarreal and an away victory over Leganés. Last season, Betis won both meetings, 2-0 at home and 1-0 away, and they have won the last five encounters between the two teams. Betis is looking strong, and despite Mallorca also coming off a win, I believe the points will stay with the home side.

952 Philadelphia -178
My spreadsheet has Philly as a home Fav. 32-16 last 48 games
Philly 5 Cubs 4

Buffalo ….. just a better team !!
Cinny ……. Joe & Chase They need a statement win

MLB Phillies -1.5
Cubs rolling out the bull pen for this one & its not that good. Nola starting for Phillies. He should cruise to a nice win.

Washington + 7.5 and Cinn ML......Daniels is a pretty good qb, he can make plays. With the struggles that Cinn has i believe that 7.5 is a high for cinn to cover. Washington can put up pts. They score 20 and 21 pts while Cinn scored 25 and 10 pts. I betting Cinn will win straight up and Washington . the +7.5

Phillies money line at home with Nola. Nola better at home and looking to wrap up NL East in front of those fanatics

NFL

BUF...under
CIN...under

Sun/Mon nite prime games now 43-8 after last night's under. 4-1 this year. Let's make it 6-1!

Astros....Bounce back off loss to Angels With Browns good ERA at home at night

Jags +6

Tough choke fest leading to 0-2 for a good team in Jaguars.
Also note that 0-2 teams went 6-1 ATS on Sunday.

Jaguars game total under 47 - Monday night games trending significantly towards the under, going to ride the trend.

Arizona -172 (MLB)

Play on good division home favorites off a road dog loss. This situation is 90-48 65.2% last 138 games.

Bills -4.5

Bills at home. Better offence. Way better QB, prime time QB. I think Bills by TD

Buffalo Bills -4.5

Going to take the better team at home.

NFL

Jac/Buff under 45.5

both teams allowing 19.0 points a game - Buffalo ultimately shortening the game and limiting the possessions

Bengals -7

1-1 Washington versus more importantly the 0-2 Bengals. Cincy has already played and lost at home in the first week. They can’t let themselves go 0-3. Burrows gets Higgens back which will provide a big body solid WR. Better team playing at home with an urgency. Take Cincy

Jags +5
Bills won’t be able to stop Etinine. They’ll be able to keep Allen off the field . Close game

Chase ov Rec yards 82.5 3rd week into the season to shake off the preseason rust Burrow and Chase have big night agianst week secondary

bills still can't stop the run

Home teams are 37-54 ATS when Shawn Smith is the head official.

Jaguars +6

Jax running game ..clock ticking . Some untimely turnovers is sort of Allens forte makes me totally like UNDER
45.5 in the Jax / buff game

seeing this as a one score game too . like 20-17 buffalo

UNDER 45 1/2 Is my pick

Seattle/Houston Under 7.5

Interesting game here with both teams coming off losses were they each blew a big lead. Seattle had a 5-run lead in the 6th while Houston had a 4-run lead going into the 6th. It was especially devastating for the Mariners as it may have cost them a chance for the final wild card spot. Seattle has to keep winning and likely can't lose more than 1 more game and still needs help, 2 at most if they get a lot of help. Luckily for them they finish the season against the As but the teams ahead of them each have a series left against a bottom dwellers, Royals-Nationals, Tigers-White Sox, Twins-Marlins.
Houston on the other hand is comfortably in the playoffs and looking to clinch their division tonight as long as their bullpen doesn't implode like it did yesterday. Even still, both teams are hot right now with the mariners on 11-6 run in their last 17 while Houston is 8-3 in their last 11.
As for pitching, Seattle has Miller taking the mound who is having a great season and currently has the 5th best WHIP in baseball at 0.99 and a 3.05 ERA. He's coming off a game where he gave up 4 walks which tied his high for the season. The previous time he gave up 4 walks, he came back with a 10 K, 2H, 1 ER next game. Miller also has a 3-1 record in 5 starts against Houston, which honestly, I don't put a lot of stock in to but he does have familiarity with Houston's lineup. Houston will be starting Brown who is having a pretty good season himself. He's 26 years old and in his second season as a starter. His record, era, and Ks are in the top 30 in baseball. More importantly though, he's been getting better as the season went on and has lowered his era every month. His last game wasn't anything to write home about as he gave up 5 hits and only had 3 Ks.

With both teams needing to play serious baseball and coming off a 4 and 5 run blown leads, I imagine they'll both run a tight ship tonight. And with both pitchers coming in a for a quasi-rebound, I like the under tonight.

Bills 4.5

Siding with the better offense in this one

ML Parlay (-115) 2 units
Buffalo
Cincinnati

Teaser 6.5pt (-120) 2 units
JAX/BUF U53
CIN/WAS OVER 40

Trying a little something different tonight with ML parlay and teasing the total. College football I have always had figured out but have always struggled with NFL. I like both home teams to do enough to get the win. Cincinnati being 0-2 has me hesitant to lay the 7 though.

Seattle ML

Must win game to keep playoff hopes alive , the hotter pitcher on the mound for Sestttle. Miller last 3 starts only 2 earned runs and 10 hits in 18 innings. While Beown for Houston last 2 starts 11 innings , 14 hits and 7 earned runs

477 Jax/Cin under 46.5 -110

MNF have trended under over past few seasons. Both teams have stronger D's vs their O's.

MLB

SF +160

To good of a number to pass up, I like the giants to keep winking and the diamondbacks to drop 2 straight

bol2a