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10/4 Statistical Advantages
#821133 09/23/24 03:49 AM
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Re: 10/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #823370 10/01/24 02:20 PM
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NCAAF WEEK 6 TRENDS


Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kennesaw State's last 5 games
Kennesaw State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Houston vs Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games

Syracuse vs Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
Syracuse is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

Michigan State vs Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan State's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Army vs Tulsa
Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games
Tulsa is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

Navy vs Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Navy's last 7 games when playing on the road against Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games
Air Force is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Air Force's last 7 games when playing at home against Navy

Missouri vs Texas A&M
Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois
Massachusetts is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 9 games at home

Boston College vs Virginia
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Virginia's last 9 games

Southern Methodist vs Louisville
Southern Methodist is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Louisville is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Louisville is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games at home

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing North Carolina
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh

Wake Forest vs North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 7 games when playing North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Wake Forest
North Carolina State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

California-Los Angeles vs Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of California-Los Angeles's last 11 games
Penn State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
Penn State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Purdue vs Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Purdue's last 9 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Purdue
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue

Tulane vs Alabama-Birmingham
Tulane is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Tulane is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tulane

Western Michigan vs Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Western Michigan's last 8 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Ball State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Western Michigan

East Carolina vs Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games
Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Temple vs Connecticut
Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Temple is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Auburn vs Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 11 games when playing Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn

Mississippi vs South Carolina
Mississippi is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing Mississippi
South Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Appalachian State vs Marshall
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Appalachian State's last 5 games
Appalachian State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Marshall is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Marshall is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Bowling Green vs Akron
Bowling Green is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Akron
Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 6 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games

Miami-OH vs Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 5 games on the road
Toledo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Toledo is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

Virginia Tech vs Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Virginia Tech's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 6 games

Indiana vs Northwestern
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

Iowa vs Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Iowa's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
Ohio State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

West Virginia vs Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing West Virginia
Oklahoma State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing West Virginia

Rutgers vs Nebraska
Rutgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games

Alabama vs Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 8 games at home

Colorado State vs Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Oregon State is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games at home

Utah State vs Boise State
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Utah State's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Utah State's last 18 games when playing Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah State

Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina
Old Dominion is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 6 games on the road
Coastal Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Coastal Carolina is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

James Madison vs Louisiana-Monroe
James Madison is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
James Madison is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Louisiana-Lafayette vs Southern Miss
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games
Southern Miss is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Lafayette

Clemson vs Florida State
Clemson is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Clemson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida State
Florida State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games at home

South Alabama vs Arkansas State
South Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas State
South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 8 games when playing South Alabama

Nevada vs San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
Nevada is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 6 games when playing at home against Nevada

Tennessee vs Arkansas
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 5 games at home

Baylor vs Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baylor's last 12 games on the road
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Baylor

Michigan vs Washington
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home

Southern California vs Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Southern California's last 10 games on the road
Southern California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Central Florida vs Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games
Central Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home

Hawaii vs San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Hawaii
San Diego State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Hawaii

Kansas vs Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Kansas's last 21 games on the road
Kansas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games at home
Arizona State is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Duke vs Georgia Tech
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Duke's last 10 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Tech is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Duke

Miami-FL vs California
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games
California is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Texas Tech vs Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
Texas Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Florida International vs Liberty
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games on the road
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Liberty is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games

New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Mexico State's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Mexico State's last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville State's last 9 games at home


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 10/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #823585 Yesterday at 02:46 PM
Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,160
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Lake Grove
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Friday’s games
Jacksonville State (-15.5) @ Kennesaw State
Jacksonville State (1-3)
Gamecocks gave up 55-49-37 points in their three losses.
Jax State ran for 273 yards LW, pounded Southern Miss, 44-7.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.

Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 10-3 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +5 in turnovers LW (minus-2 in first three games).
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 9-7 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in their games this season.

Kennesaw State (0-4)
Kennesaw lost its first three I-A games by 12-24-21 points.
Owls also lost 27-13 to UT-Martin, a I-AA team.
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 51-97/540 passing, with one TD, 3 INTs.

This is their first season as a I-A team.
Kennesaw is 1-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Owls were outgained by 213 yards/game in their I-A tilts.
Kennesaw is 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-0 in their I-A games this season.

Home team won both meetings, in 2021-22.
Jax State lost 31-6 here three years ago.

Houston @ TCU (-16.5)
Houston (1-4, 0-2)
Houston was blanked 34-0/20-0 in its first two Big X games.
Last 2 games, Cougars were minus-6 in turnovers, passed for 92-72 yards.
Houston has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Cougars have 118 returning starts on OL, only 30 of them at Houston.
Senior QB Smith has 20 career starts.

Houston is 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
Houston is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
In his career, Fritz is 23-22-1 ATS as an underdog
Cougars are 5-8-2 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-0 in their games this season.

TCU (3-2, 1-1)
TCU gave up 35-66 points in their two losses.
TCU gave up 289-238 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.

Under Dykes, TCU is 7-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 10-8-1 ATS coming off a win.
In his career, Dykes is 28-22 ATS as home favorite.
Horned Frogs gained 457-460-480-507 TY in their I-A games.
Over is 4-0 in their I-A games this season.

TCU won/covered last six series games.
Only one of those six games has been since 2007.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.

Michigan State @ Oregon (-24)
Michigan State (3-2, 1-1)
Spartans lost last two games, scoring 19-7 points.
New coach Smith comes from Oregon State, his alma mater.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.

MSU is 8-5-2 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 7-11-2 ATS in league games.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games.
Michigan State is 5-7-2 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Spartans are already minus-7 in turnovers.

Oregon (4-0, 1-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34 points in its I-A wins.
Last two games, Ducks gained 546-431 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).

Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-7 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 9-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Ducks are 14-4 ATS in last 18 conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 16-6 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 2-1 in their I-A games.

Teams haven’t met since a bowl game six years ago.
While coaching the Beavers, Smith was 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS vs Oregon.

Syracuse @ UNLV (-7)
Syracuse (3-1)
Syracuse scored 38-31-24 points in its I-A games (2-1)
Orange threw for 354-381-339 yards in those games.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.

First road game for Syracuse, which also plays in a dome at home.
Last two years, Syracuse was 1-6 ATS as a road underdog.
In its I-A games, Syracuse gave up 22-28-26 points.
Syracuse is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 non-conference games.
Orange is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
ACC non-conference road underdogs are 4-2 ATS.

UNLV (4-0)
Rebels are 4-0 for first time in 40+ years.
UNLV gave up 7-20-14 points in its I-A games.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.

Under Odom, UNLV is 13-3 against the spread.
In his career, Odom is 18-11 ATS as a home favorite.
UNLV players have chip on shoulder after their QB quit over NIL stuff.
Since 2018, UNLV is 18-5 ATS in non-league games.
Mountain West non-conference home favorites are 4-1 ATS.

These teams haven’t met in this century.


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