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Swing State Bets #831451 10/30/24 10:41 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 282,083 Likes: 3057 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 282,083 Likes: 3057 Time to play the Game	https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics One of the areas I see a chance to make some money is How many swing states will Trump win? I think he has a realistic chance of winning all 7 but +225 is a low price. However you can still play it and use 5 and 6 at +400. So let's say for example............ You bet $200 each to win $800 on 5 & 6 and $300 on 7 If 7 takes place you win $275. If 6 or 5 take place you win $300. The only two states I'm somewhat worried about is Wisconsin and Michigan. I would definitely bet on him to win at -180 which you can get at Everygame. I've been monitoring the swing state lines for weeks now and have taken advantage of lines offered at multiple books because they were way out of line. Trump wins, I win big all around. A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: Swing State Bets FREAK #831866 11/01/24 09:35 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 282,083 Likes: 3057 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 282,083 Likes: 3057 Time to play the Game	Lots of action taking place and odds are now all over the place due to same late polls showing some shifting in swing states. A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: Swing State Bets FREAK #832949 11/04/24 08:00 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 282,083 Likes: 3057 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 282,083 Likes: 3057 Time to play the Game	This is how I'm playing swing state wagering. Obviously there's no handicapping or trends I can post. It's all about current polling and just a historical overview. I'll put this out front for transparency, I'm a Trump supporter and I've been a State Delegate for Trump. I've looked at this objectively and I have a few thoughts that will sum up how to make some money. Pretty much it looks like it's going to come down to Pennsylvania on who wins the election. I don't have any scenario where the winner of Pennsylvania loses. I've followed odds for weeks at Bovada, Everygame, Sportsbook and Betonline. My action is spread amongst all four of these books based on odds offered. I'll just say in advance I have a lot of money invested in this and stand to win or lose quite a bit. So here's my plays for you...... I'm not telling you to over bet but take a normal position. AZ -320 at Sportsbook lines range to -400 GA -225 at Sportsbook lines range to -250 NC -205 at Betonline lines range to -230 PA -125 at Bovada lines range to -140 NV -160 at Bovada lines range to -175 For President Trump at Bovada -150 lines range to -160 With the President bet, you can do one of a few things, you can lay the line for him/Republican to win the President or you can just double up on PA at a lower price. The reason I say this goes back to my opener that PA is going to be the piece of the puzzle that will determine it all. There is a prop I posted in another area regarding Trump and how many swing states he will win. At the time, I had a good inclination he could win them all. While I think it's still a possibility, I believe the right play would be to bet on 4 or 5 of the states. WI and MI are potential issues right now. if you toss in PA, that leaves you at 4 but if PA goes to Trump then it's 5. At 4 you get +500 At 5 you get +425 At 6 you get +500 That's the way I'd play it equal wager on the three gets you profit. A post a day and your access will stay!

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