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Season Record 6-3 +240 Streak Lose 1

6 Point Teaser

Pittsburgh Steelers +9 (-115)
New England Patriots -1 (-105)
Atlanta Falcons -1 (-110)

Time for a review

ATL -1 if they can't beat MIA at home I deserve to lose. As for Atlanta, they just need to run the ball, make a few plays downfield and keep Penix from getting crunched. He got beat up pretty good in the last game and I wonder where his mental state is. He never had that happen in NCAA and up until last game, not in the NFL.

Well I guess we deserved to lose. Forget Penix, forget Cousins, the game plan put forth in this game by ATL was just in a word atrocious. I don't know if they felt if they just showed up they were winning or what the thought process was here. Now I'll give MIA credit, they played the nearly perfect game. The best game they have played all season and it took 8 weeks to show up.

Miami had 16 more plays and yet ATL had one more drive. MIA 141 yards rushing, say what? ATL only 45 yards say what? Atlanta had a total of 49 plays in the game and 31 of them were passes. They started passing and just kept passing because they had to. If they would have led with smash mouth running with Robinson, it may have been a different outcome. Oddly enough the key play of the game is when Robinson fumbled down at the MIA 10 yard line or so as he bounced the ball off his knee while running in the open. Have you ever seen a RB do that? In a way I'm glad ATL lost and I'll talk about that later.


NE -1 - Ok people are all over CLV here. Why? They had 200 yards of offense in their game against the a fore mentioned Dolphins. Gabriel will progress and I just can't see the Browns going into Foxborough and beating the Patriots. Maye should have a field day here. I see them having a big time of possession edge in this game. CLV will be very limited in what they are going to be able to do.

CLV had a total of 213 yards of offense. Maye went 18/24 for 282 yards passing and 3 TD's. NE had the ball nearly 12.5 minutes longer than CLV and only ran 13 more plays. CLV was outscored 29-6 after the first qtr in which CLV led 7-3 at the end of the first. This played out exactly as I thought it would.

PIT +9 - I can't see GB winning by 10 in Blitzburgh and this should be a tightly played game. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see PIT win SU.

16-7 at the half, 19-14 after 3 with Pittsburgh out front. The fourth qtr GB won the game outscoring PIT 21-6 to win by guess what 10!

I don't know what took place in the PIT locker room at halftime but it sure didn't work. They came out of the gate pass, pass, pass and I could probably write it 100 more times. Why they went totally against what was working and their strong suit is beyond me. Rodgers looked like a statue the majority of the time and hell he made Michael Penix look like a natural born running QB and that's impossible to do but Rodgers did it. The PIT defense looked like they had too much to drink at halftime as they couldn't get any pressure on Love who played the role of a surgeon and sliced and diced the PIT defense.

I want to touch upon why I said I'm glad ATL lost early because if we would've got to this leg +9 and up 5 at the end of the third. Would you have thought we could lose? Don't get me wrong we did but let's go to the final PIT score and at the time they were down 16. So if you came into this up 5 getting 9 and all of a sudden your down 16 and losing you have a WTF moment. But let's talk about the TD, it was one, even thought it took replay assist to correct the error by the refs on the field. How would you have liked your money coming down to a 2 point conversion and you see your guy make the catch and you start clapping, woo hooing, cheering or whatever just to see him lose it and it just drop to the ground.

That would have been pure agony in itself. Don't get me wrong, I pride myself on my results here and even I wanted to see him catch it and lose by 8.

9 teaser plays this season and this is the first one where there was more than one loss. The prior two losers only had 1 leg misfire and it was fluky kind of things that cost us. Could you imagine if ATL won and it would've lost like this. Holy smokes, but still it sucks for sure.

Even if we had played a 10 pt teaser, we would've lost but only 1 leg. ATL. This loss sucks but at least it was just 1 unit with no juice.

There will be many more opportunities as we move forward and if you've played every play posted this year, you're ahead and that's the bottom line.

Until next time.................

Let's Make That $$$$

Season Record 6-3 +240

Detroit Lions +1 (-9)
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 (-2.5)
Los Angeles Chargers +0.5 (-9.5)

I'm going to keep it really simple this week. We need two teams to just basically win their game in DET and LAC.

I had multiple games I looked at including IND, LVR, GB, BUF, but I chose SF as I can see them going in and just smash mouthing this NYG team. With the loss of their rookie RB, it changes a lot of their offense to an extent. If any team is going to feast on the NYG it should be SF. Look I know SF isn't 100% on D, they don't have to be. I'll take the 60% version against this NYG O. Dart will be running around to safe his hide later today.

No need to over think things and take what's being offered.

Let's Make That $$$$

Bring that $$$$ home Freak! Keepin' it real as you always have.

good luck to us!

Season Record 6-4 +110

Detroit Lions +1 (-9)
San Francisco 49ers +7.5 (-2.5)
Los Angeles Chargers +0.5 (-9.5)

Well 2/3 doesn't pay a dime but how bad did the Lions look against a rookie QB that made Goff look like the rookie. Now all the talk is about how MN righted their season and off to the playoffs they go. I see them winning at most 3 more games this season and even that will be a tall task.

The Eagles and Rams are the front runners in the NFC. maybe outside of SF if they can get healthy there's no other challengers. Sorry Packer backers, they aren't winning the NFC. They've been fully exposed and Carolina of all teams gave the road map to beating them.

In the AFC, it's coming down to potentially three or four teams. BUF, KC, DEN. BAL..... no one else has a chance. IND no, PIT no, NE no, HOU, no......................oh you say LAC...... NO

Not much more to say here.........

Season Record 6-4 +110

Denver Broncos +1 (-9)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 (-2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles +12 (+2)

Going to try to keep this short and sweet.......

DEN at home, LV on a short week, altitude matters. I'll take my chances with DEN only needing to win.

TB - NE winning at TB by more than a TD, I can't envision it. Yes I go against the grain going through 0, but those rules are antiquated to today's NFL. I never was much a rule follower when it comes to sports wagering.

PHI - Off a much needed bye week. Perhaps GB was looking ahead to this game while losing to CAR last week. Won't matter even if GB wins the game, they aren't blowing out PHI.

This play keeps you invested from first game to last.

I like this play a lot but that doesn't mean for you to go bet crazy. Let me do that!

Good Luck and Let's Make That $$$$

Walking on egg shells to the final game in this teaser lol.....Hope this lands for you tonight. Good grief the Broncos were the scare, Tampa Bay finding there way back in there. NOW....what seemed like the easiest cover in this entire teaser double digits with the Eagles who I think should win outright anyway....I think like you've said before....if you were gonna lose getting it out of the way would be a lot easier. This game tonight in my opinion was the least of all concern. Tampa Bay was the only team I thought might not win but you were getting all the extra points and I still did think they would have won the game as well too as I did not like the Patriots +2 looking at the game originally.

Best of luck tonight! I have a feeling perhaps this game won't be so down to the wire with the spread as the others. I've got the eagles winning outright and a worst case scenario for my numbers I could see the packers winning by 4 points here. I think the Eagles have a better shot of winning by double digits than the Packers.

Season Record 7-4 +210

Denver Broncos +1 (-9)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 (-2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles +12 (+2)

Recap

DEN I'll take my chances with DEN only needing to win. And win they just did in a lackluster 10-7 victory. Were they looking ahead to KC this coming week?

TB - NE winning at TB by more than a TD, I can't envision it. Ok this was a nutty one, as I watched the NE long TD run late to put them ahead of +7.5 and then watched Mayfield get it back even later to get the W. After TB went down and scored on the first drive to go up 7-0 this team disappeared especially on key offensive plays and defensive plays. I will admit I haven't given NE their due and I still won't. They've played the easiest schedule in the league and would you believe me if I told you Sagarin had them rated as the 16th best team. http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm

PHI - Off a much needed bye week. Won't matter even if GB wins the game, they aren't blowing out PHI. Let's just say this game was ugly. PHI wins the game with only 13 First Downs of which 1 came by penalty. Neither team inspired confidence going forward. There is something seriously wrong going on in GB and for PHI to come out so poorly after a bye week is a cause of concern. However it's the NFL and teams will take a W any way they can. This one was never in doubt at any point and an easy winner for us to finish off this play.

A winner in the books after a brief 2 loss skid and we are still ahead for the season and looking for more. These plays really only get harder from here as some teams appear to have checked out, some are still playing for something even if it's nothing and some are on cruise control.

The NFL isn't the same as it was even five years ago, parity is at a all time high and week to week anything can happen. To have a winning record and plus money on these plays isn't easy.

On to next...........

Let's Make That $$$$

you started with a 10-7 game....you ended with a 10-7 game....

Great teaser Freak. As I stated earlier I do believe from the get go this game tonight especially with a +12 sitting on your side in a game Eagles should win would be the least of your worries....you got through the scare game on Broncos playing down to level.

Season Record 7-4 +210

New England Patriots -3 (-13)
New York Giants +17 (+7)
Detroit Lions +12.5 (+2.5)

Let's cut to the chase:

NE -3 - I'm still not sold on NE as I stated in my previous post, however this week I like the chances of winning by 4 or more at home. Fields hasn't done much in the passing department and I don't see that changing tonight. I haven't looked yet, but I'll be looking to bet the over on his run total. I cashed a lot of tickets with him while in Chicago and tonight he is going to need to use his legs. This is the game that if NE doesn't cover the number, I deserve to lose.

NYG +17 - Yes this is digging deep into the garbage can. A few reasons behind this play, GB hasn't demonstrated to me that they can blow anyone out. Yes I know NYG will be using Winston or Russel but they can still manage the game. Both play loosey goosey at times when passing downfield but I see a bit of a different type offense this week. I'm also riding on the new coach bump. Players will play a little harder for a coach they like and if they want to see him be the next coach they will play their hearts out. I just can't see GB winning by 3+ scores here.

DET +12.5 - This is a role reversal from MNF where we saw the Eagles +2.5 at GB and they won SU. DET has an offense and will score points. Since Campbell took over play calling they've just been an offensive juggernaut and even while PHI is an elite defense, covering 13 is just not something I can see taking place.

This week you get a bonus teaser and I like this one a lot. When I say something like that which isn't often even though I said it last week, the plays hit at a high rate. I'll add that this is the biggest wager on a teaser I've made all year.


Houston Texans 0 (-6)
Baltimore Ravens -1.5 (-7.5)

First we get the Texans who just need to win, I don't care if they win by 1 or 21, Just Win Baby !!!!! Granted we have Justin Mills and not Shroud which won 26-0 with a big fourth quarter earlier this season. However the Houston defense made life miserable for all facets of the Titans offense. A game Houston must win if they have hopes of the playoffs. The Titans shouldn't score more than 14 in this game barring fluke special teams scores like we saw with the Jets vs Browns last week.

To close it out we get a 425 start for the Ravens to dismantle the Browns. I was talking to someone earlier this week and told them the Ravens are the Eagles of last year. They struggled until their bye week and the rest was history. We are seeing that right now in BAL and I wouldn't be surprised if they won 7 or 8 in a row. They like HOU need this game and while the CLV defense may provide some moments of uneasiness, I don't see the CLV offense doing much of anything as they haven't all season, why would it start here?

You know what you need to do.................

Let's Make That $$$$