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12/15 Statistical Advantages
#922618 12/08/25 01:01 AM
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Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #923338 12/12/25 12:59 PM
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New England
(483) MIAMI (6-7) at (484) PITTSBURGH (7-6)
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is on a 4-16 SU and 6-14 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
* MIAMI’s Tua Tagovailoa is 2-12 SU and 5-9 ATS in his last 14 starts versus teams with winning records
Trends Match (FADE): MIAMI (+3 at PIT)

* PITTSBURGH is 26-33 ATS (44.1%) as a favorite since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-3 vs MIA)

* PITTSBURGH is 108-76 Under the total (58.7%) since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-PIT (o/u at 42.5)

(483) MIAMI at (484) PITTSBURGH
* Underdogs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Miami and Pittsburgh
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+3 at PIT)

Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #923994 12/15/25 01:48 AM
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Miami VS Pittsburgh

Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home.
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.


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Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #923995 12/15/25 01:49 AM
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Anaheim VS New York

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games.
Anaheim is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against NY Rangers.
Anaheim is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
Anaheim is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers' last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers' last 7 games at home.
NY Rangers is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Anaheim.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers' last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.


Florida VS Tampa Bay

Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Florida is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games against Tampa Bay.
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Florida is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games against Florida.
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home.
Tampa Bay is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Florida.


Ottawa VS Winnipeg

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games.
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against Winnipeg.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games.
Winnipeg is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games against Ottawa.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 9 games at home.


Los Angeles VS Dallas

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles' last 7 games.
Los Angeles is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
Los Angeles is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games against Dallas.
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games.
Dallas is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas' last 9 games against Los Angeles.
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.


Nashville VS St. Louis

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 10 games.
Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against St. Louis.
Nashville is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis' last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of St. Louis' last 16 games against Nashville.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis' last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville.


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Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #923996 12/15/25 01:49 AM
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Detroit VS Boston

Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games.
Detroit is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Boston.
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home.


Toronto VS Miami

Toronto is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games.
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Toronto is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against Miami.
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games against Toronto.


Dallas VS Utah

Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' last 5 games.
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Dallas is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games against Utah.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games.
Utah is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 6 games against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Utah's last 17 games at home.


Houston VS Denver

Houston is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games.
Houston is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
Houston is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games.
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games against Houston.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home.


Memphis VS Los Angeles

Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Memphis' last 20 games.
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against LA Clippers.
LA Clippers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers' last 7 games.
LA Clippers is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers' last 10 games against Memphis.


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Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #924104 12/15/25 02:34 PM
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New England
Teams playing the NY Jets are (1-11) ATS the following week. Miami played the Jets last week

Take Pittsburgh -3

Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #924197 12/15/25 09:03 PM
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Sharp bets on sides, total in Steelers-Dolphins Monday night matchup​
LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

The Steelers have won 22 straight home games on “Monday Night Football,” and sharp bettors are banking on them to extend that streak to 23 against the Dolphins.

Pittsburgh is a consensus 3-point favorite (-116) over Miami, which has lost 13 games in a row when the temperature is less than 40 degrees at kickoff. The temperature is expected to be around 20 when the game kicks off Monday night.

Westgate vice president of race and sports John Murray said sharp bettors backed the Steelers -3 and on the money line (-175).

“It’s a pretty well bet game,” he said. “There’s a little more action on it than I would’ve expected.”

There was also some sharp money on the Dolphins at +3½ when Pittsburgh star pass rusher T.J. Watt was ruled out after having surgery to repair a partially collapsed lung.

“When they announced Watt was out, they took the 3½,” Boomer’s Sportsbook director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. “I think you’ll see a little Steeler money show up (Monday). It’s cold there, and they love betting against Miami in the cold.”

The consensus total is 42½ after opening at 41½. Murray said the sharps bet on the over at the Westgate.

The Dolphins (6-7) have won five of their past six games while going 4-2 against the spread, and they’re on a 5-1 under run.

The Steelers (7-6) have a half-game lead over the Ravens (7-7) in the AFC North after beating Baltimore 27-22 last week as 5½-point road underdogs. Pittsburgh has gone over in two of its past three games, though it’s on a 4-2 under run overall.

“The ticket count still clearly favors the Steelers at close to 70 percent,” Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said. “The Dolphins historically don’t play well in these cold-weather games. We’re going to be Dolphins fans.”

Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #924198 12/15/25 09:07 PM
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NFL Trends

Dolphins at Steelers (-3½, 41½): The Dolphins have won and gone under in five of their past six games. The Steelers have won and covered three of their past eight. Edge: Dolphins and under.

Re: 12/15 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #924213 12/15/25 10:09 PM
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Dolphins @ Steelers (-3)
Dolphins (6-7)
Miami won their last four games, after a 2-7 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all seven losses.
Dolphins are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
QB Tagovailoa is 43-32 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 33-32 as a head coach.

Miami is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Miami is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Last four games, Dolphins ran ball for 192.3 yards/game.
Dolphins went over their team total seven of last ten games.
Last four games, Miami is +7 in turnovers.

Steelers (7-6)
Steelers lost five of last eight games, after a 4-1 start.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 when it allows less than 31 points.
Steelers are +13 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers is 171-102-1 as an NFL starter
Tomlin is 198-124-2 as a head coach.

Steelers are 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Pittsburgh is 12-9 ATS last 21 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 17-13-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a win.
Five of last seven games, Steelers ran ball for less than 100 yards.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Dolphins won three of last four series games.
Underdogs covered last five meetings.
Miami is 1-3 SU/3-1 ATS last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.


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