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Posted By: FREAK 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/25/21 10:39 PM
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Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:39 PM
Arizona Downs

1 #5 Tim's Buddy
2 #5 Write Itinthe Dust
3 #6 Wright Winged
4 #3 Haynespun
5 #2 Six Ninety One
6 #1 Delightful Hips
7 #6 Nevadan
8 #6 Hey Pilgrim
9 #8 Salsa Verde
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:39 PM
Belterra

1 #2 Ronni's Storm
2 #5 Half Trick
3 #2 Imperial King
4 #6 Sunday Scheming
5 #4 Improbable Story
6 #1 Showstomper
7 #1 Momenta Kat
8 #3 Farzin
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:40 PM
Canterbury

1 #6 Shezonezestreet
2 #1 Love the Nest
3 #3 Sundance Star
4 #5 Prince Rama
5 #7 Silver Ratio
6 #7 Chloes Magic
7 #7 Hes Resilient
8 #1 Tres Elegance
9 #4 Sw the Redeemer
10 #4 One Kool Dreamer
11 #7 Jess Rocket Man
12 #5 Streakinlilwagon 5/2
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:40 PM
Colonial Downs

1 #7 Brooklynn's Dabomb
2 #3 Preseli's Tale
3 #4 Smooth as Glass
4 #7 Golden Lassie
5 #8 Barberini
6 #2 Kingston Queen
7 #6 Faccio Io
8 #7 Sail On Ellen
9 #7 Sidney Sue
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:41 PM
Delaware

1 #3 Menelao
2 #3 Keeper in Spite
3 #1 Shoulda Had It
4 #5 Mahaamel
5 #1 Susikin
6 #5 Goodbye Carolina
7 #6 Persisto
8 #1 Will Take Roses
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:41 PM
Evangeline

1 #5 Madame Jane
2 #1 Warriors Gem
3 #5 Nin to Win
4 #5 Honor My Speed
5 #2 Sarah Adriana
6 #7 Beaux Victory
7 #8 Freedom Factor
8 #6 Boornazian
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:42 PM
Finger Lakes

1 #1 Craigville Beach
2 #5 Remoane
3 #3 Call Me Carmelita
4 #5 Super Garner
5 #5 Mission Cat
6 #2 Lover's Leap
7 #5 Holy Breeze
8 #8 Lovely Lady Lexi
9 #7 Gilda Marie
10 #3 Here Comes Meg
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:43 PM
Indiana Grand

1 #6 Betcha
2 #3 Little Maemi
3 #3 Head Start
4 #6 Eye Flirt
5 #6 Home Run Trick
6 #2 Annagangsta
7 #3 Timeless Rose
8 #5 Tetella
9 #11 Embroiled
10 #10 Packin Jack
11 #5 Delreys Wagon Train
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:43 PM
Mountaineer

1 #8 Hey Negrita
2 #8 Pioneer Dancer
3 #5 Too Much Drama
4 #6 Team Leyendecker
5 #8 Charliewithaharley
6 #4 Lea Me Alone
7 #2 Qualifly
8 #3 Woodhaven Kid
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:44 PM
Parx

1 #2 Deo Forte
2 #3 Grimhilde
3 #3 Mon Cherie
4 #4 Ouch Ouch Ouch
5 #2 Reiterate
6 #3 Exit Right
7 #2 Make Or Break
8 #5 Know It Now
9 #9 Liraz
10 #4 Fine One Won
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:44 PM
Penn National

1 #2 His Name Is Sue
2 #4 Back Slider
3 #8 Live Fire
4 #3 Pegasus in Flight
5 #3 Hashtag Winning
6 #1 Triple A. Plus
7 #3 Brown Eyed Boy
8 #1 Fishman
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:45 PM
Presque Isle

1 #2 Dance Or Stroll
2 #4 Zoodles
3 #2 Boomin Goose
4 #2 Malarkey
5 #2 American Union
6 #4 Midnight Bella
7 #2 Grounded
8 #5 Joyful Praise
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:45 PM
Sam Houston

1 #9 Eyesa Cartel Chicken
2 #1 One Famous Gentlemen
3 #6 Em Jess Ronas Cash
4 #9 Winnes Solid
5 #3 Miss Spicy Corona
6 #10 El Tartanero Jess
7 #3 Our Famous Secret
8 #8 Toshaway
9 #5 Capeesh
10 #3 Cartel Stone
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:47 PM
Saratoga

1 #6 The Mean Queen
2 #2 Yodel E.na
6 #2 Absolute Courage
7 #6 Tamahere
8 #7 Noble Emotion
9 #9 Bell's the One
10 #7 Boldish
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/27/21 11:47 PM
Thistledown

1 #6 Always Special
2 #6 Wortherweightngold
3 #1A Rebopper
4 #2 Wolfie's Princess
5 #1 Midnight Mikey
6 #5 Lettered Olive
7 #5 Dougie D Oro
8 #1 Foreverjumbonmike
Posted By: sailfish Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/28/21 12:14 PM
Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Wednesday, July 28, 2021

July 28, 2021

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.na; 8-Regal Empire

Forecast: New York-bred juvenile maidens compete over a mile and one-sixteenth on grass in a race with lots of questions marks and requiring a bit of guess work.na, a Munnings colt that attracts L. Saez while showing a fairly decent work tab that should have him plenty fit first time out. The dam (Corner Three) was a winner of three of five career starts, all on grass, including her debut at Saratoga when trained by C. Brown.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Absolute Courage: 6-Cody’s Wish; 9-Beatbox

Forecast: Cody’s Wish ran better than the line will show when a troubled third in his debut over seven furlongs last month and has trained well enough in the interim to be included in our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready” list. The 3-year-old son of Curlin should thoroughly enjoy today’s stretch out to nine furlongs, switches to J. Rosario, and figures to produce a significant forward move for a barn that has good stats with the second-time starter angle. While we like the W. Mott-trained colt on top, he’s listed at even money on the morning line and there are two others that warrant at least some consideration as well. Absolute Courage has three outings underneath him with rising speed figures in each, including a good runner-up effort in which he was on the pace throughout. Similar tactics most likely will be employed again. Beatbox, a C. Brown-trained son of Pioneerof the Nile, was fourth in that same heat while stepping forward following a disappointing debut. Another forward move today should make put him the fray despite a disadvantageous far outside draw.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B
Use: 5-Passing Out; 6-Tamahere

Forecast: A stakes-quality third-level allowance event for fillies and mares on grass ushers in the late Pick-4. We’ll try to survive and advance using just two. Tamahere exits three consecutive Grade 1 events, so the C. Brown-trained filly certainly will appreciate the class relief. She did manage to finish a solid runner-up in the Jenny Wiley S.-G1 at Keeneland in April but was overmatched against Althiqa and Summer Romance in the subsequent Just A Game S.-1 at Belmont Park in early June. Freshened for almost two months and showing a strong, healthy work tab, the Grade-2 stakes winner gets an ideal spot to regain her confidence. Passing Out, away for almost 11 months but with a history of firing fresh, returns for Shug with a big look if she’s cranked up and ready. The barn has an excellent record (20% with returnees), and this daughter of Orb is strong on numbers and is a prior winner over the course.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Big Package; 4-Yes and Yes; 7-Noble Emotion

Forecast: Noble Emotion fired a winning shot off the bench when scoring in game style in a state-bred first-level allowance turf sprint at Belmont Park last month and today will seek a repeat score when facing open company. The 4-year-old son of Noble Mission won over this course and distance last year and based on his recent victory appears even a better type now, so at 5-1 on the morning line let’s with the H. DePaz-trained gelding right back with J. L. Ortiz staying aboard. Big Picture likes to settle and produce a late run and at this abbreviated sprint distance there’s a decent chance the race will produce quick enough early fractions to compliment his style. A perfect one-for-one sprinting at Saratoga, the D. Donk-trained gelding is reunited with “win rider” I. Ortiz, Jr., and seems very likely to step forward with his best stuff. Yes and Yes is fastest on pure speed figures but is only 2-for-19 during his career with eight seconds/thirds, so he’s not really one to trusted. Also, we’re not convinced he’s as effective over the Saratoga turf course as he is at Belmont Park. We’ll use him as a back-up or a saver.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Lake Avenue; 9-Bell’s the One

Forecast: Bell’s the One deserves her high weight assignment (123 pounds) in this year’s renewal of the Honorable Miss H.-G2, a six furlong sprint for fillies and mares. Fresh from a career-top winning performance in the Roxelana S. at Churchill Downs, the thoroughly genuine daughter of Majesticperfection is comfortably drawn outside and likely will settle somewhere in mid-pack and then be asked to produce a winning late kick. Though she’s been primarily raced at extended sprints, it’s important to note her career record at this exact six furlong trip (she’s perfect in four starts). Lake Avenue isn’t as fast on numbers as our top pick, but her middle distance form is very strong and features a neck defeat in the Bed o’ Roses S.-G3 over a sloppy track at Belmont Park in her most recent start in early June. Six furlongs might be a tad sharp for her, but if she can stay within range to the top of the lane she’ll make some noise in the final furlong. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Carribean Gold; 6-Prayer Book; 121-Flight to Paradise

Forecast: Prayer Book is a first-time gelding dropping into a maiden claimer for the first time, and with form against better during last spring the son of Uncle Mo appears well-placed to graduate. The T. Pletcher barn hits at a strong 23% with this type of class drop so we’ll put him on top while also using a couple of others for protection. Caribbean Gold, another with the first-time gelding angle and therefore eligible to improve, stretches out again and likely will employ gate-to-wire tactics. The M. Maker stable has outstanding stats with the sprint-to-route angle (21% with a massive ROI) and from where he’s drawn the son of Treasure Beach can have the lead if he wants it. Flight to Paradise is stuck way out in the 12-hole in a post that figures to compromise his chances, but the addition of blinkers, the return to grass, and the drop to his lowest level ever makes the M. Trombetta-trained gelding worth tossing in somewhere used on your ticket.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/28/21 12:15 PM
AI Picks: Wednesday's Honorable Miss at Saratoga

July 27, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saratoga’s Wednesday card features the Grade 2 Honorable Miss Stakes for filly and mare sprinters. The main event goes as Race 9 on the card. To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.

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Saratoga // Race 9 // 1:09 pm ET // Grade 2 $200,000 Honorable Miss // 6 furlongs

#9 Bell’s the One (7-5 ML) // 29%W // 44%P // 57%S
#3 Sadie Lady (12-1 ML) // 15%W // 35%P // 43%S
#4 Lake Avenue (9-2 ML) // 13%W // 27%P // 45%S
#7 Honey I’m Good (6-1 ML) // 10%W // 24%P // 33%S
#6 Don’t Call Me Mary (12-1 ML) // 8%W // 17%P // 31%S
#5 Truth Hurts (30-1 ML) // 8%W // 17%P // 31%S
#1 Ain’t No Elmers (6-1 ML) // 7%W // 18%P // 30%S
#2 Reagan’s Edge (6-1 ML) // 6%W // 12%P // 21%S
#8 Miss Mosaic (15-1 ML) // 6%W // 12%P // 21%S
Posted By: sailfish Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/28/21 12:15 PM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 Factum Love Style Going against all of my better instincts while landing on this 0-for-32 maiden, but his recent baseline isn't at all far off what it would take to score here. Finally?
#3 Hodler He looks like the one to beat while dropping in for a tough barn, and it'd be no surprise to see him wake up just enough to land this easier spot.
#6 Mr. Tuttle Not totally sold on the move to turf, but he has some pace that might help him find the front end without a ton of trouble today. If so, he's a threat from the gate. I'd want him on the tickets.
Race Summary Readers here know I am not generally very forgiving of career maidens, but Factum Love Style might drift into the double digits with recent running lines that are as good as any in here.

Parx Racing - Race #8
Picks Notes
#1 Tiz Mandate He was never involved when making his two-turn debut last out in April, but he's worth a long look while getting back into an easier allowance spot for the first time since landing his maiden win.
#2 Prince of Rain Reliable type has shown up in every career start, but he's probably overbet with this bunch. Capable player is a single-or-stand-against type of runner.
#5 Know It Now The 4-year-old form is pretty impressive, and he brings a bullet work with him into this one. Wouldn't argue with anyone taking something like 5/2 here?
Race Summary Tiz Mandate is a class drop player off a string of stakes tries, and he figures capable of staying in the mix with this softer bunch.

Parx Racing - Race #9
Picks Notes
#10 Minding Millie She was a revelation with Lasix while trying the turf for the first time off the layoff. Not sure what she beat that day, but she's a pretty interesting player if she's able to step forward at all off that easy comeback run that might not have taken much out of her.
#11 Zeyaraat Layoff runner might be best used underneath while dropping out of stakes company, as she could come up a bit vulnerable late.
#4 Glamorous Thunder You never know which mare is going to show up, but her best stuff keeps her in the mix at what might be a bit of an underlaid price. She can win here, but nothing like the 4/1 ML offering makes sense.
Race Summary Minding Millie rolled a maiden group on the turf last out, and I'm willing to give her a look against winners at anything approaching the 8/1 ML price.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/28/21 12:15 PM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 ROCK KING DEO Plays to a steady beat, exits fast race, draws favorably.
#6 WAR DADDY Has speed to factor a long way at a decent price.
#5 AIN'T IT FUN Rallied from seventh to miss by a neck on class hike.
Race Summary Rock King Deo held second behind the 3-to-5 favorite after a :56.1 back half at this level. By comparison, the split division race won by Quick Asa Trick N closed in :58.3. Play 3-5 and 3-6 exactas.

The Meadows - Race #2
Picks Notes
#2 MISS YOU MOM Horror trip as beaten odds-on fave, can make amends.
#1 BETH DUTTON 2yo was solid third behind short-priced favorites in debut at Northfield.
#4 DRY RIDGE BILLIE Can rally for minor awards in third start as a 3-year-old.
Race Summary Miss You Mom was rough-gaited early, trapped on the backside and in tight through the stretch. She finished second as the odds-on favorite. Let's make her today's Best Bet.

Ocean Downs - Race #12
Picks Notes
#5 OFFICER WHOLIHAN Better than latest appears, big chance getting class relief.
#3 TWIN B FRENCHTOAST Led clear at even-money, tired after 4 months away.
#1 SEE YOU TUESDAY Steps up seeking 20th win, draws rail.
Race Summary Officer Wholihan was shuffled to last and finished with good energy, earning a playback on the class drop. He is a must use in all gimmick wagers at 6-1 on the morning line. Play a 3-5 exacta box.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/28/21 12:15 PM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 Niece Jackie Davis Tried some very difficult company in a pair of stakes races and drops down to a level that should treat her better; in a good spot for her first win since November.
#3 Myers Tiger She's been a bulldog with authoritative wins in three of her last five and could be the one to catch.
#4 Jump Right In Dominated her last two and moves up in class; might be about to get it done vs. fast company.
Race Summary Niece Jackie Davis will get a favorable pace at which to aim and can bring a late run at a good price.

Indiana Grand - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 Max Express Beat N4L company two back and was outrun in a stakes race last out; can handle this move to open company at this level. Was second in the AJ Foyt on turf last October.
#4 Lontani Tired and finished fourth in a tough spot on yielding turf last out; fits with these and can run a big one.
#5 Comfort Me Now Was a belated fourth last out and takes a step up in class; seeks first win in August and makes only his second turf start.
Race Summary Max Express couldn't handle stakes foes and moves to open foes; can get a good trip just off the pace and will finish well at this distance.

Indiana Grand - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Timeless Rose Was third vs. open company in a fast race and should be able to handle this group.
#4 Flatoutjustice Was second last out and likely will appreciate the additional round of this one; can be a factor in this move over to the turf.
#6 Leading the Charge Throttled rivals to open the season after ending 2020 with a win; does well over the course.
Race Summary Timeless Rose was a sharp third last out and should be able to handle the restricted company.
Posted By: FREAK Re: 7/28 Horse Racing - 07/28/21 05:01 PM
Ed Sehon

Saratoga

DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 3-4, 2:15 p. ET, 11:15 a.m. PT)

OK to bet a maiden vs. winners? It is In Race 3 where I’ll take the #8 Barrage (4-1 morning line) … I’ll hook him up with #2 Hollywood Gina (3-1), who hit the gate last out, in Race 4. Wager: $5 Daily Double on 8 & 2 ($5)

EARLY PICK 4 (Race Nos. 3-6, 2:15 p.m. ET, 11:15 a.m.PT)

Race 3: 4,8

Race 4: 2,3,6

Race 5: 1,3,8

Race 6: 2,6

Wager: $1 Pick 4 ($36)


BEST BET (Race No. 7, 4:29 p.m. ET, 1:29 p.m. PT)

With top rider Irad Ortiz Jr. returning for Chad Brown, #6 Tamahere (8-5 morning line), while stretching out a bit, looks much the best here. Wager: $20 to Win on #6. ($20)

PRICE PLAY (Race No. 8, 5:05 p.m. ET, 2:05 p.m. PT)

Sharp-eyed trainer Wesley Ward sends out turf sprinter #12 Amsden (15-1 morning line), son of Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, after gelding and rest. Betting favorite in his first two starts. Wager: $5 Win, Place & Show on #12. ($15)

EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 9, 5:39 p.m. ET/2:39 p.m. PT)

Mr. Ed will take a shot with four gals in Honorable Miss Handicap: Box the #1 Ain’t No Elmers (6-1 morning line), #4 Lake Avenue (9-2), #7 Honey I’m Good (6-1) with favorite #9 Bell’s the One (7-5). Wager $2 Exacta Box of 1,4,7 & 9. ($24)
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