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Posted By: FREAK 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/09/22 11:16 PM
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Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:09 PM
Power Play of the Day

Hawthorne Race Course


Race: #3
Pick: #1 Omaha Red

OMAHA RED was close to winning at this level and track last time out, which was his debut on the dirt. He should move forward off of that effort, which will make him tough to beat.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:09 PM
Belmont Park Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 4-1/1A-5-2
Race 2: 6-1-2-3
Race 3: 3-5-4-1/1A
Race 4: 8-6-3-12
Race 5: 5-8-6-2
Race 6: 6-3-8-4
Race 7: 2-4-1-7
Race 8: 2-3-4-6
Race 9: 3-10-6-2
**Most Likely: Sweet Mia #2 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Easy Time #6 (Race 6)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:10 PM
Belterra Park Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 3-5-1-2
Race 2: 2-6-4-1
Race 3: 2-1-5-3
Race 4: 2-4-5-3
Race 5: 4-2-1-5
Race 6: 5-7-1-2
Race 7: 7-5-8-2
Race 8: 4-2-10-8
**Most Likely Winner: Runway Dreamer (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Sunset At Mallory (Race 6)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:10 PM
Charles Town Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-6-5
Race 2: 4-1-5-6
Race 3: 5-6-1-2
Race 4: 5-2-5-1
Race 5: 4-7-1-3
Race 6: 7-2-3-5
Race 7: 6-4-3-1
Race 8: 1-4-5-6
**Most Likely Winner: Moiraine #2 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Hello Carlo #5 (Race 3)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:10 PM
Churchill Downs Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 4-5-2-1
Race 2: 6-7-4-5
Race 3: 4-2-1-3
Race 4: 8-4-7-1
Race 5: 9-7-1-4
Race 6: 2-7-3-8
Race 7: 8-2-5-7
Race 8: 4-10-3-1
Race 9: 10-12-3-7
**Most Likely: More Romance #2 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Uninvited Guest #8 (Race 4)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:10 PM
Gulfstream Park Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-1-3
Race 2: 2-6-1-4
Race 3: 5-2-7-8
Race 4: 4-2-5-1
Race 5: 5-3-8-2
Race 6: 6-1-4-3
Race 7: 3-1-5-6
Race 8: 7-2-4-1
Race 9: 9-8-2-1
**Most Likely Winner: Unconscious #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Septemberten #3 (Race 7)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:11 PM
Lone Star Park Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 9-10-1-5
Race 2: 4-6-1-5
Race 3: 4-2-7-1
Race 4: 1-6-5-2
Race 5: 4-1-7-6
Race 6: 3-6-2-4
Race 7: 5-2-4-1
Race 8: 7-1-3-5
**Most Likely: Paynter Party #9 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Moro Code #5 (Race 7)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:11 PM
Penn National Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-2-1
Race 2: 6-1-2-4
Race 3: 3-4-1-8
Race 4: 5-3-4-2
Race 5: 1-3-6-2
Race 6: 6-5-1-3
Race 7: 3-5-6-1
Race 8: 1-3-2-7
**Most Likely Winner: Capt. Candy #3 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Saw #1 (Race 7)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:11 PM
Pimlico Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1:
Race 2:
Race 3:
Race 4:
Race 5:
Race 6:
Race 7:
Race 8:
Race 9:
**Most Likely: # (Race )**
**Best Value: # (Race )**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:11 PM
Santa Anita Park Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-2-6
Race 2: 6-5-2-4
Race 3: 3-2-4-5
Race 4: 5-3-2-1
Race 5: 3-6-4-5
Race 6: 7-4-9-8
Race 7: 6-3-2-1
Race 8: 8-7-9-3
**Most Likely: Teddy's Barino (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Super Chief (Race 6)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:11 PM
Woodbine Picks - Friday, May 13, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-1-6
Race 2: 6-4-5-1
Race 3: 4-6-3-2
Race 4: 4-8-5-3
Race 5: 5-7-6-3
Race 6: 5-7-1-3
Race 7: 1-5-2-4
Race 8: 5-3-8-11
**Most Likely Winner: Reconfigure (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Saskatchewan (Race 2)**
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:13 PM
Belmont Park

1 #4 Hop Picker 3-5
2 #2 Bells On Her Toes 3-1
3 #3 Mr. Kringle 2-1
4 #12 Mister Chairman 5-1
5 #5 Heels Together 5-2
6 #6 Easy Time 10-1
7 #2 Amalfi Princess 8-1
8 #2 Sweet Mia 3-1
9 #3 Two Down 6-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:14 PM
Belterra

1 #3 Raison Karter 2-1
2 #1 Sheza Fine Justice 6-1
3 #2 Runway Dreamer 2-1
4 #2 Willyoubemine 9-5
5 #2 Girl Afraid 8-5
6 #8 Mystic Miss 9-2
7 #3 Anotation 6-1
8 #4 Scat Shack 7-2
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:15 PM
Charles Town

1 #2 Moiraine 6-5
2 #4 Miss Americana 7-5
3 #1 Forgotten Mission 9-2
4 #5 No Change 2-1
5 #6 Impetuous 5-1
6 #3 Froggy the Gremlin 2-1
7 #6 Nashvegas 3-5
8 #7 Bella Bettina 9-2
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:17 PM
Churchill Downs

1 #4 Incitatus 5-2
2 #9 Janet Is Ready 6-1
3 #2 Jump Into the Fire 4-5
4 #1 Hawk of War 8-5
5 #7 Fotheringay 2-1
6 #3 Four Dawn 4-1
7 #8 Hashtag No Wonder 5-2
8 #10 Promise Keeper 5-2
9 #10 Out Work'n 7-2
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:18 PM
Delta Downs

1 #7 Jess Shalish Blue 8-1
2 #1 Kpbling 2-1
3 #7 Oreja Floja 5-1
4 #5 One Fast Cajun 9-5
5 #2 Dashin Daisy May 5-2
6 #4 Filled With Grace 6-1
7 #8 Mp Dont Look 6-5
8 #3 Me N Bobby McGee 6-1
9 #7 Little Toy Loko B 2-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:28 PM
Evangeline Downs

1 #6 Betison 5-1
2 #6 Storied Trip 2-1
3 #1 Spider Legs 8-5
4 #7 Mac Legacy 8-5
5 #9 Brave Nugget 5-1
6 #8 Citizens Reward 2-1
7 #4 Touchuponastar 8-5
8 #7 Screwball 2-1
9 #2 Stop Shop N Drop 9-5
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:29 PM
Fonner Park

1 #1 Hurricane Florence 4-5
2 #2 Midnight Drama 8-5
3 #2 Queenscaballo 2-5
4 #4 All Shacked Up 7-5
5 #3 Gone Preachin 6-1
6 #3 Porsumsugaronme 7-2
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:33 PM
Golden Gate Fields

1 #6 Harbor Abbey 5-2
2 #6 Queen of the Track 8-5
3 #3 Lookin for Revenge 9-5
4 #3 Vantage Point 2-1
5 #4 Hypersonic 4-1
6 #4 Champagne Pegasus 8-5
7 #7 Mischievous Curlin 8-1
8 #1 Tura Lura 5-2
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:34 PM
Gulfstream Park

1 #3 Neverstopdreaming 4-1
2 #3 Hard to Capture 3-1
3 #5 Unconscious 8-5
4 #4 Uncork the Bottle 9-5
5 #5 Dem a Wonder 9-5
6 #6 Forest Survivor 8-5
7 #3 Septemberten 8-1
8 #7 Exchange Day 5-2
9 #8 Crystal Coast 4-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:35 PM
Hawthorne

1 #2 Witching 5-2
2 #7 Shez Reckless 8-5
3 #1 Omaha Red 6-5
4 #2 Mission Belle 5-2
5 #3 Mind Your Own Biz 9-5
6 #8 Aheadofthegame 8-5
7 #3 Richiesgotgame 5-2
8 #2 Imindycatbirdseat 15-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:37 PM
Lone Star

1 #3 Uncle Artie 5-1
2 #2 Mr. G T O 5-1
3 #1 Cosmetology 5-1
4 #1 Markup 4-1
5 #1 Beduin Fighter 8-5
6 #6 Horn of Plenty 3-1
7 #4 Lamp Oil 7-5
8 #8 Cairo Warrior 10-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:38 PM
Penn National

1 #3 Soul Story 8-5
2 #1 Originaly From Dot 5-2
3 #1 Macho Smoke 6-1
4 #5 Grace's Drama 8-5
5 #3 Karen's Way 2-1
6 #6 Scary Larry 8-5
7 #5 Life Is Eternal 2-1
8 #2 Password Protected 8-5
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:39 PM
Pimlico

1 #6 Zip Line to Heaven 9-2
2 #1 R Tenderoni 2-1
3 #7 Savoy 5-2
4 #8 Bode's Maker 3-1
5 #8 Deshackled 3-1
6 #5 Royal Whisper 9-5
7 #9 Ace Nine Nine 6-1
8 #5 On the Engine 3-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:40 PM
Prairie Meadows

1 #5 Shaitaan 7-2
2 #7 Top Brass 2-1
3 #4 Mr. Ankeny 8-5
4 #4 Ebony Pearl 9-5
5 #7 Blaze Away N Hide 8-5
6 #5 Oh Little Brutha 10-1
7 #2 Speedometer 3-1
8 #8 He's a Suitor 2-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:41 PM
Remington Park

1 #1 Coliseum 8-1
2 #7 Cantbebullied 5-1
3 #4 Kiss Me Kramer 5-2
4 #6 Romantic Sweetgirl 3-1
5 #10 My Favorite Train 5-2
6 #6 Shakia Revampted 3-1
7 #2 Kornfusion 5-2
8 #1 My Midnight Candy 1-1
9 #5 Snow Cloud Cartel 5-1
10 #1 Tommie Eagle 4-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:42 PM
Sam Houston

1 #5 Ponte Trucha 9-5
2 #2 Tempting Royalty 5-2
3 #2 Jess Sea Louisiana 1-1
4 #3 Pappacito 5-2
5 #4 Queens R Tempting 7-5
6 #2 Top Shelf Bar 6-1
7 #9 American Mettle 3-1
8 #2 Eagle Brand 2-1
9 #7 Jess Pf Flyer 5-2
10 #1 Xf Ajs Hero 4-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:43 PM
Santa Anita

1 #3 Arrabiata 2-1
2 #2 Miss Lucilla 7-2
3 #3 Kuora 5-2
4 #3 Synthesis 5-2
5 #4 Whooping Jay 7-2
6 #9 Leyas Candy 5-1
7 #6 Teddy's Barino 3-1
8 #8 Tiz Tact Toe 5-2
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/12/22 10:44 PM
Woodbine

1 #2 Beyond My Dreams 7-2
2 #6 Saskatchewan 8-1
3 #4 Tropospheric 2-1
4 #10 Giant Teddy 4-1
5 #6 Born Happy 3-1
6 #5 Dani's Victory 7-5
7 #1 Reconfigure 9-5
8 #8 Ocelot 3-1
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:15 PM
Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 13, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Hoosier Park has an 11-race card set for this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Rockin Speed (8-1)-This will be the 3rd barn change this year and the previous 2 conditioners are usually successful. Joins the Essig stable now, this is the softest spot of the year and his hit the board in 23 of 46 here with 6 wins.
2-Seeing Eye Single (9/2)-This is the 3rd start in the Burke barn for this Pompano shipper. Drops to a more comfortable level and it's best to not overlook.
9-Goldies's Legacy (9/5)-Cullipher trainee has been facing tough foes at the Big M and has won 7 of 31 races at Hoosier. The post draw doesn't help but should enjoy the company.

Race 12

5-Sea Of Life (3-1)-Paced evenly versus better in the 1st start since 8-27 and now drops to a more competitive level. Will use with a race at the track and that could make enough of a difference to come out on top.
7-Palomar (5/2)-Should make the most of this drop as the foes out East were a more difficult challenge. Can't completely trust with a 1-12 record this year but this could be a wake-up call.

Race 13

4-Americanprimetime (5/2)-The Rucker barn is 0-18 the past 30 days and this 10-year-old drops again. Not loving the low price but could beat this crew with a top try.
5-Serious Miki (2-1)-Miki likes to win and willing to excuse the break in last on a sloppy track. Putnam should have this 4-year-old racing near the top of the stack and looks like the one to beat.
8-Bet Ninteen (6-1)-Was used hard from the 9-hole in the slop to get on the point off the gate versus this kind last week. Did hang in there and deserves respect. Loses De Long to #9 and that should help the price.

Race 14

3-Colin N Down (9/2)-Claimed in last by a cold barn but may have dropped into a winning spot. This isn't a tough bunch and has hit the board in 19 of 49 at HoP with 8 wins. Should like facing this group instead of $20k claimers.
5-Pine Master (6-1)-This MVR shipper makes the 3rd start since coming off the bench and might be ready to fire its best shot. Will use instead of #10 the ML chalk who had no excuse in last. Faded hard down the lane and has been off almost a month.
7-Great Image (4-1)-Tossing last in the slop, off-track record is 1-19. Team Tetrick entry appears to be racing himself into shape and could be sitting on a big try.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,2,9/5,7/4,5,8/3,5,7
Total Bet=$27
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:15 PM
Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary (5-13-22)

May 13, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Arrabiata; 6-Bud Knight

Forecast: Arrabiata (TOC=9/5; ML=2-1) returns the claiming ranks for the first time since breaking his maiden in his debut in December at Los Alamitos. The class drop should do him well. The son of Tapit has earned decent figures even when finishing unplaced in his last pair against considerably stronger foes, so in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming turf miler the D. O’Neill-trained sophomore appears to have found his friends. Bud Knight (TOC=3-1; ML=3-1) is 1-for-24 and therefore impossible to have confidence in, but the return to grass coupled with a class drop from starter’s allowance company should make him competitive. His speed figures also fit nicely in this league. We’ll toss him in on a ticket or two while reserving the main punch for Arrabiata.


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RACE 2: Post: 1:37 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 6-The Reign Song; 2-Miss Lucilla

Forecast: California-bred juveniles meet over four and one-half furlongs in the second race, with five of six starters having been bred by T. Lovingier, who has retained ownership in The Reign Song and Miss Lucilla , the two entrants that figure to get the bulk of the play on the tote. ‘Song finished a distant third in her debut after a slow start and a wide trip behind runaway winner Tom’s Regret, who subsequently won the Kentucky Juvenile S. at Churchill Downs during Derby week. From an outside post and with blinkers being added, the daughter of Stay Thirsty should have no excuses. ‘Lucilla went through the ring as a yearling for $50,000 and shows a sufficient work tab to be fit and ready. The W. Solis stable (2-for-60 in 2022) doesn’t inspire confidence but in an unclassified field she appears to be the most dangerous of the newcomers.


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RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Kuora; 2-Octane

Forecast: Kuora (TOC=8/5; ML=5/2), claimed for $50,000 two races back and fifth in a tougher allowance/optional claimer in her first outing for new connections, drops into the $32,000 ranks and seems as good as any in this nine furlong grass event for older fillies and mares. From the high-percentage V. Cerin barn, the Peruvian-bred mare won for this price the last time she ran for it (last summer at Del Mar) and against this easier group she could easily return to winning form. She does her best running from just off the pace and seems likely to inherit an ideal trip In a race that projects to have soft early splits. Octane (TOC=3-1; ML=2-1) is the likely controlling speed with the addition of blinkers from a good inside draw, and if not policed up front she could get brave and be tough to catch. The Brazilian-bred mare will be trying claimers for the first time, is a fit on numbers, and switches to top rider J. Hernandez. We’ll give Kuora a slight edge on top but include both in rolling exotic play.


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RACE 4: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference: 3-Synthethis; 5-Octopus

Forecast: Synthesis (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) has excellent recent form, is fast on figures, and looks well-spotted for a repeat score after capturing a nice starter’s allowance event over this track and distance in late March. He has trained nicely since that race for T. Yakteen and has a good stalking style that should produce a comfortable trip. Octopus (TOC=9/5; ML=4-1) was scheduled to make his first start in 11 months when entered for $20,000 on April 15 but was a late scratch by the stewards (not the vet), worked two days later, and today shows up in a $32,000 seller as a first-time gelding. A three-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Shackleford shows a steady work tab that should have him fit enough, and in a race without much speed he could find himself on the front end without any real pressure. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with Synthesis getting a slight nod on top.

Notable Workouts:

Octopus (April 18, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h). Grade: B
Under restraint to the wire, then was asked out to the 7/8 pole and did well while clearly best over Lil Richards Bello (4f, :49h), splits of :11.3, :36.2 and :49 flat from the 3 furlong pole to the seven furlong pole. Looked eager, been away for almost a year but seems in good enough shape.
View Workout Video


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RACE 5: Post: 3:14 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 3-Southern Horse; 4-Whooping Jay

Forecast: Southern Horse (TOC=Evens; ML=2-1) moves up two notches on the claiming class scale after securing his first North American victory over this course and distance last month. The J. Sadler-trained Argentine-bred veteran likes to settle in the second flight and then blast home and should get the trip he needs to handle this tougher assignment. J. Hernandez stays aboard and knows him well. Whooping Jay (TOC=5-1; ML=7/2) was claimed for $100,000 in November at Del Mar, hasn’t done much in three starts since, and today shows up in a $50,000 claimer, so the pattern is suspect. However, he may be the quickest in the field and if he can shake loose early without being pressured he could take this field a very long way. Preference on top goes to Southern Horse but both should be included in rolling exotic play.


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RACE 6: Post: 3:45 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 8-Grazed; 9-Leyas Candy; 4-Creative Peak

Forecast: Here’s a fairly competitive sprint for California-bred runners that requires a bit of usage in rolling exotic play. Trainer M. Glatt appears to have two live items. Grazed had a troubled run at Tampa Bay Downs a year ago April when finishing second in a maiden $25,000 grass sprint and then was stopped on. The son of Grazen returns protected in a sign of confidence and has given indication in his morning drills that he possesses much more early zip than he showed in his debut. Stable mate Leyas Candy is a first-timer by Danzing Candy with a work tab that should have him plenty fit. He is drawn comfortably outside and has done enough in the a.m. to make him a “must use” in this affair. Creative Peak makes his first start since October and if he returns as well as he left the son of Creative Cause should highly competitive, as well. In the frame in three of four races last year during his two-year-old campaign (and eliminated when impeded in the one race he wasn’t), the V. Cerin-trained colt should be fit enough for a major effort for a stable that has superior stats with layoff runners.

Notable Workouts:

Grazed (April 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h). Grade: B
In blinkers, may have gone a few tickets slower on our watches from half mile pole out to seven furlong pole but was under strong restraint early and under a hold late while even but best over Suzie Qzz Brother (same time) for M. Glatt, splits of :24.3, :49.2 and 1:02.1, plenty left late. Been away for more than a year but seems to have much more early speed than his only outing shows. Dangerous vs. maidens.
View Workout Video

Leyas Candy (March 31, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.2h). Grade: B
Broke off a couple of lengths in front of Rookie Mistake (4f, :48.1h) and finished about a length in front while working from the three furlong pole out to the seven furlong pole, mild coaxing only and finishing with something left, splits of :11.4, :36 flat (to the wire) and then out in :48.2. Decent mover looks to have some ability, getting fit, is a decently-bred state-bred sophomore colt.
View Workout Video


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RACE 7: Post: 4:16 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Teddy’s Barino

Forecast: Teddy’s Barino (TOC=2-1; ML=3-1) may have been a bit rusty when a respectable fifth in a downhill turf sprint vs. similar state-bred fillies and mares in her first outing in nine months a few weeks ago but she should be fitter and tighter today in this main track affair. Her only prior outing on dirt (last summer at Del Mar) was quite good when she finished second with a career top speed figure, so we’re expecting the M. Glatt-trained daughter of Grazen to step forward in a big way today. In a race in which nothing else excites, let’s take a stand and make her a win play and rolling exotic single at or near her morning line of 3-1.


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RACE 8: Post: 4:42 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 5-Amadmadworld; 6-Nineeleventurbo; 1-Explain the Audit

Forecast: The finale is a wide-open grass grab bag for maiden $50,000 older horses at nine furlongs. Best advice is to go as deeply as your budget allows. Let’s take a shot with Amadmadworld at 8-1 on the morning line. Far back when very green in his debut sprinting on dirt in what has proven to be a highly-productive race, the son of Midnight Lute seems sure to improve a bunch against this modest group and strikes us as a gelding that will truly appreciate this stretch out in trip. In a race in which the known element doesn’t impress, a fresh face could easily win it. Nineelenveturbo is an 11-race maiden but this will be his first try with blinkers and his first vs. maiden claimers. He is solid on numbers, working well, and projects to be prominent throughout. Explain the Audit was overmatched vs. straight maiden company in his last pair but has run very well at this level in the past and is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from his rail post. Look for him to be doing his best work late.

Notable Workouts:

Nineeleventurbo (May 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B
In blinkers, shadow roll, was quite keen early while trying to run off a bit, settled midway, then finished without pressure in solo training track drill for Drysdale, splits of :24.4, :36.2 and 1:00.3 on our watches, decent drill for maiden claiming type. May be more aggressive with the hood on, seeking another soft spot.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:15 PM
Frank Carulli: Pimlico Late Pick 4 | Friday, May 13, 2022

May 13, 2022 | By Frank Carulli

PIMLICO LATE PICK 4 ANALYSIS
Friday May 13, 2022

Pimlico will offer lucrative Pick 4 guaranteed pools on Preakness weekend. No guarantees when the meet opens this weekend, but Friday’s 50-cent Late Pick 4 could get the party started with what appears a challenging sequence. Here’s an early look at the action, with an update to follow after scratches:
PIM 5th race (2:41 EST) -- JIMMY THE KID, idle since he was claimed two months ago at Tampa for $8,000, was the beaten favorite in 5 of his last 8 starts, but he has speed and can use it well from the rail in this spot. DESHACKLED was fractious in the gate, bumped with the runner-up and didn’t change leads as the favorite, but he gets blinkers, gets in light-weighted and draws favorably. Not crazy about LOADED SNIPER (9-2), who gained inside at the 1/8 pole in a long sprint but benefitted from bumpy trips by the three rivals surrounding him, including Deshackled. If the pace falls apart, FRANCIS X looms a late-running threat if he duplicates the ‘nice rail run’ on the turn to finish second behind the 6-to-5 favorite in a higher-tagged claiming sprint.
PIM 6th race (3:12 EST) -- ROYAL WHISPER, a $90,000 sales buy for a 23-percent barn with first-time starters, shows a series of bullet workouts that includes a :47.3 move April 10 when only 8 of 76 started from the gate. Her sire has produced 32 debut-winning 2-year-olds from 203 starters but her dam only won once while racing at smaller tracks. LA SAMANA LAURA raced close up early before back-pedaling in a November turf route that produced two Maiden Special Weight winners and two Grade III runners-up. She’s worth using on the ticket at double-digit odds.
PIM 7th race (3:42 EST) -- ROYAL NUMBER arrives for his first turf test off an allowance victory going long on the main track. His dam won a Maryland-bred stakes race sprinting on the grass. But if he doesn’t handle the change of surface, it’s anybody’s race, so go deep in this leg.
PIM 8th race (4:12 EST) -- GOLDEN GULLY is re-united with trainer Gary Capuano, who coaxed a runner-up finish from the then 3-year-old in a productive 6F sprint 10 months ago. ON THE ENGINE stayed on the rail and ‘eagerly drew off’ from a pair of sub 2-to-1 favorites to win off an eight-month layoff. MUGSY MALONE will need to improve to contend, but he sheds 17 pounds and could do so for a sharp claim barn.
Suggested 50-cent Ticket
PIM 5th Race: 1, 4, 8
PIM 6th Race: 2, 5
PIM 7th Race: 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 10, 11
PIM 8th Race: 5, 6, 7
COST: $63
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:16 PM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6
Picks Notes
#2 So Courageous He's got some good positional pace, and he should be able to sit close to the guy drawn just outside of him who figures to show some speed. Think he can turn the tables on that guy from when they met in February.
#3 Froggy the Gremlin His form looks a bit spotty, but his two tries at this short one-turn trip both produced wins, and he's fast enough to find the front here in a race without a ton of sharp sprint speed.
#5 River Warrior RVF Cutback player has some two-turn pace, but that might leave him a bit off splits while turning back to this abbreviated dash. Think he's in the mix, but I worry he'll take a bit too much cash while meeting a couple who might be better suited to this trip.
Race Summary So Courageous should get a good go of things from close range, and his sprint form has been really reliable of late. Thinking he might offer a playable number with a couple others in here also likely to attract attention.

Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Scotty Silver He lands here for the new team, and he's had some really reliable form and a long string of good races before the break. He should be able to find a good trip near the top here, and the price might be right on the rise.
#6 Nashvegas He's probably supposed to win this after facing better company in some recent Laurel starts, but he has a tendency to toss a poor race every now and then, and he'll be trying the local footing for the first time tonight.
#4 Grecian Admiral He might be a bit cheap for these, but his local record is pretty solid, and I think he earned the rise with the good effort last time out. Versatile player for a piece?
Race Summary Scotty Silver returns off the bench while in a tougher spot, but he should land a great trip tracking the pace from the outside at a fair price.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 Dr. Calkins She has some upside with just the one start under her belt, and she had a tough getaway that day when bothered a bit at the break. She finished up with a bit of energy while not posing a serious threat, and maybe a clean break helps her take a big step forward today.
#5 Talented Corinna She caught a tough winner last time out while racing well clear of the top choice, and I like that she figures to settle just off the pace with a baseline effort that is very competitive with these.
#6 Lady Cinco De Mayo She flashed some pace on the move around two turns last time out, and I'd expect to see her in the mix early on again with these. Think she's potentially vulnerable again late.
Race Summary Dr. Calkins has room to improve in this second start, and she didn't really get a great start last out for a horse making their debut trip to post. Let's see what she can do with a cleaner go.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:16 PM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 CAFFEINE BUZZ Tactical speed comes in handy, switches drivers.
#1 SKYWAY FIREBALL Missed a week sick, driver’s choice on a triple call.
#2 PRINCE ASTON Steady numbers, moves outside in with Napolitano.
Race Summary Caffeine Buzz set the pace at this level two starts back before the 1-to-9 favorite caught up. He can make maximum use of his speed in this spot and can rate, if necessary. Play 4-1 and 4-2 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 FOX VALLEY REN Set rapid pace, got caught, can control pace in here.
#6 SURREAL ART Rallied into photo-finish view in last pair at this level.
#2 HOT DEUCE Has 40 wins, $400k in earnings, ships in for Team Burke.
Race Summary The eight entrants share a common thread: they love to win, as in 161 times combined. Fox Valley Ren changed tactics, built a commanding lead through a :55.1 middle half and got caught by the favorite at this level. He can go non-stop tonight and offers good value at 5-1 on the morning line.

Meadowlands - Race #12
Picks Notes
#1 FASHION SCHOONER Late money poured in, out-kicked by multiple stakes winner, take right back.
#2 GRACELYN HANOVER Carried speed until deep stretch in second start off a layoff.
#6 PEYTON HANOVER Rode pocket to victory in faster division of sire stakes.
Race Summary Not giving up yet on Fashion Schooner after a visually impressive comeback win. She was in range of a repeat victory but couldn’t match strides in the stretch with multiple stakes-winning millionaire Venerable last week. Get to win and place.
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:20 PM
Belmont Park

1 3-5 4 Hop Picker
2 3-1 2 Bells On Her Toes
3 5-2 5 Maseta
4 9-2 8 The Sleepychipmunk
5 5-2 5 Heels Together
6 7-2 3 High Tide
7 2-1 4 Bye Bye
8 3-1 2 Sweet Mia
9 5-1 4 Mischief Mogul
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:21 PM
Belterra Park

1 3-1 1 Kentucky Cool
2 3-1 4 Check Out Line
3 7-2 3 Waiting On William
4 7-2 4 Princess Nina
5 8-5 2 Girl Afraid
6 5-2 7 Guilder
7 7-2 5 Whiskey Sis
8 7-2 4 Scat Shack
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:22 PM
Charles Town

1 5-2 6 Miss Lauren
2 5-2 1 Knot Anymore
3 5-2 3 Perth Amboy
4 2-1 5 No Change
5 5-1 6 Impetuous
6 2-1 3 Froggy the Gremlin
7 3-5 6 Nashvegas
8 7-2 5 Talented Corinna
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:23 PM
Churchill Downs

1 5-2 4 Incitatus
2 4-1 8 Dazzlingdominika
3 4-5 2 Jump Into the Fire
4 9-5 4 Courageously
5 3-1 4 Teewinot Pass
6 4-1 4 Zmuda
7 3-1 2 Kerouac
8 4-1 2 Buck Moon
9 9-2 3 Moon Mischief
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:24 PM
Delta Downs

1 5-2 8 Never Bleu
2 4-1 6 Blue Bye Patriot
3 4-1 6 Full Vision
4 9-5 5 One Fast Cajun
5 4-1 9 Into the Grey
6 3-1 9 Five Bar Wagon
7 6-5 8 Mp Dont Look
8 4-1 9 Sorchaes Soldier
9 2-1 7 Little Toy Loko B
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:25 PM
Evangeline

1 8-5 4 Mean American
2 2-1 6 Storied Trip
3 8-5 1A Fish N Chick
4 9-5 3 Goodbye Rosie
5 5-2 6 Izanami
6 2-1 8 Citizens Reward
7 4-1 5 Rock Star Alex
8 5-2 4 Intimidation
9 4-1 5 Cupie Cutie
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:27 PM
Fonner Park

1 4-5 1 Hurricane Florence
2 2-1 4 Street N Sour
3 2-5 2 Queenscaballo
4 7-5 4 All Shacked Up
5 9-2 4 Macho Madness
6 5-2 6 Purple Scooter
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:28 PM
Golden Gate

1 5-2 6 Harbor Abbey
2 3-1 4 Cheap Cheap Cheap
3 5-2 1 Holy Ghost
4 3-1 6 Bigfoot City
5 5-2 6 Dark Prince
6 2-1 6 Shotgun Express
7 5-1 5 Persuasive Lips
8 5-2 1 Tura Lura
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:30 PM
Gulfstream Park

1 3-1 6 Exponential
2 3-1 3 Hard to Capture
3 8-5 5 Unconscious
4 2-1 3 Joe Di Baggio
5 9-5 5 Dem a Wonder
6 5-2 7 Biarritz
7 7-2 6 Ludington
8 4-1 3 Cash in a Flash
9 4-1 8 Crystal Coast
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:31 PM
Hawthorne

1 5-2 2 Witching
2 8-5 7 Shez Reckless
3 6-5 1 Omaha Red
4 7-2 5 Certain Hearts
5 9-5 3 Mind Your Own Biz
6 8-5 8 Aheadofthegame
7 3-1 2 Sermononthemount
8 3-1 4 Clear N Convincing
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:31 PM
Lone Star Park

1 5-1 3 Uncle Artie
2 7-2 1 Valentoro
3 2-1 2 White Woman Creek
4 4-1 1 Markup
5 8-5 1 Beduin Fighter
6 5-2 3 Raisebeforetheflop
7 7-5 4 Lamp Oil
8 9-2 1 Fra Mauro
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:32 PM
Penn National

1 9-5 5 Bench Press
2 2-1 6 Cuckoo Forcononuts
3 2-1 4 Lost in Newyork
4 2-1 1 Luscious Lola
5 2-1 3 Karens Way
6 8-5 6 Scary Larry
7 5-2 6 Lightning Round
8 5-2 3 Mizzen Money
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:34 PM
Remington Park

1 4-1 9 Madison Gray
2 3-1 9 Dtl Hot Lips
3 5-2 4 Kiss Me Kramer
4 4-1 5 Secrets Exchanged
5 5-2 10 My Favorite Train
6 5-1 8 Fancy Prized Wagon
7 4-1 7 Rileymountainsenator
8 1-1 1 My Midnight Candy
9 4-1 7 Moon Lilly
10 5-2 6 Ynot the Favorite
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:35 PM
Sam Houston

1 9-5 5 Ponte Trucha
2 7-2 4 Ivory Runaway
3 1-1 2 Jess Sea Louisiana
4 3-1 5 Hez Cloned
5 7-5 4 Queens R Tempting
6 9-2 10 Rv Dynasty V Zoomin
7 9-2 5 Apollitical Dynamite
8 3-1 6 Sr Red Storm
9 5-2 7 Jess Pf Flyer
10 7-2 3 Wuhan Madness
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:36 PM
Santa Anita

1 3-1 6 Bud Knight
2 8-5 6 The Reign Song
3 3-1 4 Bestrella
4 5-2 3 Synthesis
5 5-2 6 Chaos Theory
6 4-1 8 Grazed
7 3-1 6 Teddys Barino
8 5-2 8 Tiz Tact Toe
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:37 PM
Sunray Park

1 5-2 9 Lota Dazzling Eagle
2 5-2 7 Jess Charm
3 6-1 5 Mr P A
4 7-2 9 Hawaiian Moonflash
5 7-2 6 Lil Latigo
6 5-2 7 Ima Saint Too
7 5-2 7 Bully Baby
8 7-2 5 Barbiere
9 5-2 1 Johnny
10 7-2 10 Marilyn Moneyroll
Posted By: sailfish Re: 5/13 Horse Racing - 05/13/22 12:38 PM
Woodbine

1 2-1 1 One Punch Charlie
2 3-1 1 Lil Bit Gangsta
3 9-2 5 Positive
4 3-1 8 Light the Lamp
5 3-1 6 Born Happy
6 7-5 5 Danis Victory
7 2-1 5 Fielder
8 4-1 5 Helms Bear