Saturday MLB Sharp Action
3:07 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals (45-57) at Toronto Blue Jays (52-48)
The Blue Jays took care of business in Friday night's series opener, beating the Royals 6-4 as hefty -235 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, Kansas City starts lefty Mike Minor (8-8, 5.32 ERA) and Toronto counters with righty Alek Manoah (2-1, 2.90 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -192 home favorite and Royals a + 176 road dog. Both Pros and Joes have sided with the home team, driving the Jays up from -192 to -202. Home favorites -200 or more have gone 95-39 (71%) this season. Non-division home favorites off a win have gone 194-119 (62%). The Jays are 30-25 as a favorite this season. The Royals are 24-41 as a dog. Toronto will lean on their bats in this one. The Jays are hitting .266, second best in MLB trailing only the Astros. The Royals are hitting .244, which ranks 10th. Kansas City is 17-32 on the road, one of the worst records in MLB. Sharps are also leaning on a lower scoring game, as the total has fallen from 10.5 to 10.
6:10 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (63-42) at Tampa Bay Rays (62-42)
The Rays won last night's series opener 7-3, cashing as -135 home favorites. The Red Sox now lead the AL East by just a half game over the second place Rays. Boston is currently a -125 favorite to win the division at BetMGM. Tampa Bay is a short + 130 dog. In tonight's rematch, the Red Sox trot out righty Nathan Eovaldi (9-5, 3.49 ERA) and the Rays rebuttal with lefty Ryan Yarbrough (6-4, 4.38 ERA). This line opened with Boston listed as a short -113 road favorite and Tampa a + 103 home dog. The public sees two good teams and doesn't know who to back, yet we've seen the Rays move from + 103 to -104. Essentially the game has become a pick'em after opening with Boston as a short favorite. This signals respected money leaning Tampa Bay. The Rays have value as a divisional dog. Pros have also taken a position on the under. After opening at 8.5, it has fallen to 8. Historically, unders have been a smart long term play in domes or closed roof stadiums. The ball doesn't travel as far and the conditions are perfect for the pitchers and fielders.
7:05 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (51-52) at Pittsburgh Pirates (39-64)
The Pirates stole last night's series opener 7-0, blanking the Phillies as + 120 home dogs. In tonight's rematch, Philadelphia hands the ball to ace Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.37 ERA) and Pittsburgh sends out righty JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.67 ERA). This line opened with the Phillies listed as a -150 road favorite and the Pirates a + 140 home dog. Respected money has come down on the Phillies to bounce back with a win, steaming Philadelphia up from -150 to -160. Non-division favorites receiving steam 10-cents or more have gone 206-126 (62%) this season. The Phillies are 35-33 against righties. The Pirates are just 32-45 against righties. We've also seen some wiseguy money lean over. The total is 8 with the over juiced at -120, signaling a possible rise to 8.5. The forecast calls for high 70s with 5 MPH winds blowing out to left center.