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4/12 Trends & Angles
#200869 04/12/10 09:10 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
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MILWAUKEE (3 - 3) at CHICAGO CUBS (2 - 4) - 2:20 PM
DOUG DAVIS (L) vs.na since 1997
DEMPSTER is 11-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.na HOCHEVAR (R) vs.na HOCHEVAR vs. DETROIT since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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TEXAS (3 - 3) at CLEVELAND (2 - 4) - 3:05 PM
RICH HARDEN (R) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 90-78 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 87-72 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 60-48 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 67-101 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-46 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 71-88 (-34.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 43-66 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 60-90 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 50-77 (-27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICH HARDEN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HARDEN is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. TEXAS since 1997
CARMONA is 2-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.02 and a WHIP of 1.537.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.5 units)

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BOSTON (3 - 3) at MINNESOTA (5 - 2) - 4:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. CARL PAVANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 31-51 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 102-62 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-17 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PAVANO is 118-94 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 20-11 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 60-25 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JON LESTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LESTER is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.27 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

CARL PAVANO vs. BOSTON since 1997
PAVANO is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.07 and a WHIP of 1.857.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.7 units)

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OAKLAND (5 - 2) at SEATTLE (2 - 5) - 6:40 PM
JUSTIN DUCHSCHERER (R) vs. RYAN ROWLAND-SMITH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 87-82 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-6 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 82-74 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-50 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-36 (+12.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-13 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-24 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN DUCHSCHERER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
DUCHSCHERER is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

RYAN ROWLAND-SMITH vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ROWLAND-SMITH is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

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TAMPA BAY (3 - 3) at BALTIMORE (1 - 5) - 7:05 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 32-49 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-44 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-31 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 10-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 2-11 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 5-14 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 2-11 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GARZA is 10-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 505-555 (-119.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 47-103 (-39.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 505-555 (-119.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 240-304 (-94.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 136-253 (-107.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
GUTHRIE is 6-19 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GARZA is 7-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.134.
His team's record is 7-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-7. (-6.5 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GUTHRIE is 2-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 3-7 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-1.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (2 - 4) at TORONTO (5 - 1) - 7:20 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. BRIAN TALLET (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-30 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-10 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAKE PEAVY vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

BRIAN TALLET vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
TALLET is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.451.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)


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Re: 4/12 Trends & Angles
FREAK #200870 04/12/10 09:10 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,115
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
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2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE vs.na is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home

3:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

3:05 PM
TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games

4:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Boston

4:15 PM
HOUSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Houston is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

6:35 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN DIEGO
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games at home

6:40 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
Tampa Bay is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

7:20 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. TORONTO
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

10:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


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Re: 4/12 Trends & Angles
FREAK #200871 04/12/10 09:10 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,115
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
FREAK Online OP
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OP Online
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,115
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM ET WGN
DAVIS: Milwaukee 4-15 SU after blowing a save
DEMPSTER: 14-2 TSR at home in the first half of the season

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA, 3:05 PM ET
MARQUIS: Washington 17-6 Under away in day games
HAMELS: 1-8 TSR in day games

HOUSTON at ST LOUIS, 4:15 PM ET
RODRIGUEZ: Houston 0-6 SU this season
WAINWRIGHT: St. Louis 20-3 SU as a favorite of -175 to -250

ATLANTA at SAN DIEGO, 6:35 PM ET
JURRJENS: Atlanta 20-39 SU off BB Overs
CORREIA: 13-6 TSR pitching off a team loss

CINCINNATI at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET MLBTV
CUETO: 11-2 Over off a win as a home division underdog
NOLASCO: 31-18 TSR in night games

PITTSBURGH at SAN FRANCISCO, 10:15 PM ET
OHLENDORF: Pittsburgh 3-18 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +175
ZITO: 36-10 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200

KANSAS CITY at DETROIT, 1:05 PM ET
HOCHEVAR: Kansas City 2-12 SU off BB games allowing 8+ runs
SCHERZER: Detroit 26-11 SU at home in the first half of the season

TEXAS at CLEVELAND, 3:05 PM ET
HARDEN: Texas 15-5 Under away vs. AL Central opponents
CARMONA: 2-10 TSR vs. AL West opponents

BOSTON at MINNESOTA, 4:10 PM ET ESPN
LESTER: Boston 18-8 Over in April
PAVANO: 21-12 TSR as a home underdog

OAKLAND at SEATTLE, 6:40 PM ET
DUCHSCHERER: Oakland 23-41 SU away with a line of +125 to -125
ROWLAND-SMITH: Seattle 17-6 SU at home in day games

TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
GARZA: Tampa Bay 9-0 SU off 3+ games with 2+ stolen bases
GUTHRIE: 6-19 TSR in night games

CHI WHITE SOX at TORONTO, 7:20 PM ET
PEAVY: White Sox 9-30 SU playing on artificial turf
TALLET: Toronto 20-10 SU in April


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Re: 4/12 Trends & Angles
FREAK #200872 04/12/10 09:11 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,115
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
Hot pitchers
-- Dempster is 2-1, 1.88 in his last six starts.
-- Hamels is 3-0, 3.86 in last four starts vs Washington.
-- Wainwright was 2-1, 0.90 against the Astros LY.
-- Jurrjens is 4-0, 1.50 in his last six starts.
-- Nolasco is 2-0, 3.21 in his last four starts. Reds won five of last seven Cueto starts.
-- Giants won seven of last ten Zito home starts.

-- Scherzer has a 3.13 RA in his last four starts.
-- Carmona is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Rowland-Smith is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Peavy is 3-0, 2.16 in four starts for the White Sox. Toronto won five of last six Tallet starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Davis is 2-4, 6.00 in his last nine starts.
-- Marquis is 0-4, 8.01 in his last six starts.
-- Correia is 0-2, 6.75 in his last two starts.
-- Astros lost last seven Rodriguez road starts.
-- Ohlendorf is 0-2, 3.49 in his last six starts.

-- Royals lost five of last six Hochevar road starts.
-- Harden has a 6.97 RA in his last five starts.
-- Lester is 1-2, 5.49 in his last four starts. Twins won six of last seven Pavano starts.
-- Duchscherer allowed five runs in 5.2 IP in his first start since '08.
-- Rays lost Garza's last five road starts. Guthrie is 0-5, 5.72 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Cubs' last five games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Hamels starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Cardinal games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Reds' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Five of six Pirate games went over the total.

-- Three of last four Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Five of six Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Four of six Boston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Oakland games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Oriole games this season.
-- Five of six White Sox games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won four of their first six games.
-- Phillies won five of their first six games. Nationals won three of four.
-- Marlins won four of their last five games. Reds won three of their last four games.
-- Giants won five of their first six games.

-- Tigers won five of their first six games.
-- Twins won five of their last six games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.
-- Blue Jays won their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost four of their first six games.
-- 0-6 Astros are only winless team in baseball.
-- Braves, Padres both lost three of their last four games.
-- Pirates lost three of their last four games.

-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost last three games, allowing 18 runs.
-- Mariners lost five of their first seven games.
-- Orioles lost four of their first five games. Rays lost three of four.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.


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