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Razor Sharp

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (CBB) +15½ over Tulsa

NBA TRENDS

MAGIC VS SUNS

Over is 5-0 in Suns last 5 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games as a road underdog.

HEAT VS WARRIORS

Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 11-1 in Warriors last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.
Heat are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.

Jason Sharpe

CFB
East Carolina -2.5 vs South Florida

Jason Sharpe

CFB
Alabama +5.5 vs LSU

Bankroll 7702 // Pending:
- Risk 3000 to win 2097: Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline, San Francisco 49ers Moneyline, & Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline (-148)

Record & Last plays results: 1-3 (0-2 NBA). I’ve bet on LeBron a lot more than against him through the years, always been a big fan. Maybe my first bet of the year shouldn’t have been against him, but I liked the Pistons to maintain their dominance at home here - and a spot 76ers could let down a little. When Brown made the 38 foot 3 at the end of the first I was worried. They only made it interesting in the 4th after spending the whole game down 10-15, lost by 6. Second, I liked the Cavs to give a good punch after losing the first at home of the home and home, bc I didn’t think SGA could replicate. He did and OKC were still up 25-9 the first time I checked the score & down 14 after 3. Cavs made run in the 4th but lost by 8 and it was all Thunder even with all their injuries. A play I didn’t make: I liked the Knicks -12.5 against a crappy Bulls team after all the noise (I saw an article about how dysfunctional they were even though we’re only 7 games in). A perfect spot to bet them reg season, but I didn’t and of course they won by 30. Tough start to the NBA season, but par with the course so far for my 2026 sports betting. Need better luck starting Thursday with Jacksonville in the NFL and Sunday for San Fran & Kansas City.

MIA 1ST QT.
.70-.50

Santa Clara (-16)

Talent advantage: Santa Clara is the stronger, more experienced team, coming off a 26-win season and NCAA Tournament appearance.
Offensive firepower: The Broncos have the scoring ability to exploit Milwaukee's defensive weaknesses.
Defensive mismatch: Milwaukee allowed 95 points in its opener, creating a favorable matchup for Santa Clara's offense.

KenPon has Santa Clara by 18.

11-4
All Time
16-5-0
+20.02 u
26/27
1-0
+1.10u
Portland
-3
-105
1u🏀

Alleghenies Analysis - 6* Lakers under

Wednesday Results

R5 .. out @ 36-1

R6 .. last @ 10-1

R10 .. 3rd/9 @ 5-1
R10 .. out @ 31-1

My Bets
Open
Settled

Toledo..............................3*
-24.5
-110
SPREAD

Toledo @ Sacramento State
6:00pm CT
$66.00
TOTAL WAGER
$126.00
TOTAL PAYOUT
Cash out $66.00

Reuse

Share
BET ID: us-la:01m6m9eppdfm7ac72m9tq22xev
PLACED: 11/4/2026 4:04PM CT

Massachusetts.................................5*
-2.5
-110
SPREAD

Ball State @ Massachusetts
6:00pm CT
$110.00
TOTAL WAGER
$210.00
TOTAL PAYOUT
Cash out $110.00

Reuse

Yes, that equaled my Falcons choking to the Patriots in the Super Bowl

11-4-26



Fairleigh Dickinson/Butler Over 156.5

Longwood/St. Joseph’s Over 151

CS Northridge/Wichita State Over 161.5

Northern Kentucky/South Dakota Over 162.5

Wisconsin Milwaukee/Santa Clara Over 162

Queens NC/Loyola Marymount Over 161.5

11-4-26




Milwaukee/Boston Over 221.5

Chicago/New York Over 233.5

Indiana/Memphis Over 228.5

Utah/New Orleans Over 232

Toronto/Denver Over 231.5

LA Lakers/Sacramento Over 233.5

Miami/LA Clippers Over 233.5

11-4-26



Ottawa/Buffalo Over 6.5 (-120)

San Jose/Los Angeles Over 6 (-119)

Calgary Flames +115

0-1 yesterday



Wednesday


Ball State/Massachusetts Over 49

Toledo/Sacramento State Over 53.5

UMASS -2.5
In a battle of bad offenses, the better D belongs to UMASS
Ball State allows almost more than 100 total yards per game on D
But the telling stat is that the D of Ball State can't get anyone off the field.
Ball State gives up 3rd down conversions 44% of the time.
Take the Minutemen

Last week it was noted that the model’s final straight-up margins of victory (SU-MOV) had some odd swings to it, and I agree. Actually more than “odd”, a few were inexplicable. The problem, however, from my perspective, originates in the failure of my Injury Module (IM) – as I mentioned earlier this season - and replacing it with a more simplified Value-Above-Replacement (VAR) application.

The VAR is a simple device (built years ago for my NBA projections) based on the difference of values between starters and backups, but doesn’t extensively measure impact values (ie. how the replacement player, such as a QB, impacts various team units (O-Line effectiveness, the rushing and passing games, as well as opponent defensive production, etc.). The IM, which is only about 5 years old, and which I struggle with every off-season, incorporates the VAR, as well the impact values on 11 offensive and defensive variables, and was working pretty well – until it started failing to download variable data necessary for it to run - so, I began using the VAR.

And that worked fine until - after my health adventure - I decided to ‘improve’ it. Big mistake.

Don’t know where the bugs are in my ‘improvements’, but I’ve now returned to the original VAR, and I hope it stays the course.
GLTA

11-4-26




UEFA Champions League


AEK Athens/Real Madrid Over 3.5 (-134)

Fenerbahce/Liverpool Over 3.5 (-117)

Borussia Dortmund/Real Betis Over 3 (-138)

PSV Eindhoven/Club Brugge Over 3.5 (-116)

RB Leipzig/Manchester City Over 3.5 (-130)

Viking FK/Sabah Baku Over 3.5 (-123)



Switzerland

FC Schaffhausen/FC Biel-Bienne Over 3 (-139)



England

Cardiff City/West Ham United Over 3.5 (-110)

+ money last year . see how we do this year ( 3 - 5 unit plays)
North Dakota St. + 13.5 ( 3 units)

MACtion is in full swing tonight with Ball State at UMass and Toledo at Sacramento State on the slate. I'll be flipping between those two - weeknight college football never disappoints.

Good Luck !!!!!!

0-3 yesterday for -3 units

No plays today, good luck!

NHL Trends

OTTAWA @ BUFFALO
Today • 7:30 PM ET
Over is 6-0 in Sabres last 6 vs. Atlantic.
Over is 4-0-2 in Sabres last 6 games as a favorite.
Senators are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Senators last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sabres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 4-0 in Sabres last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Sabres last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Senators last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.

CHICAGO @ FLORIDA
Today • 7:30 PM ET
Under is 5-0-1 in Blackhawks last 6 games as a favorite.
Panthers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Panthers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Panthers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Panthers are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.

CALGARY @ SEATTLE
Today • 10:00 PM ET
Over is 4-0-1 in Kraken last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-0-1 in Flames last 5 games as a favorite.
Flames are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Kraken last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Kraken last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Kraken last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 7-1-1 in Kraken last 9 following a loss of 3 or more goals.

SAN JOSE @ LOS ANGELES
Today • 10:00 PM ET
Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 6-0 in Sharks last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Sharks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Sharks last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 road games.

None other than the NY Yankees