Re: 11/16 Statistical Advantages
wayne1218
Yesterday at 12:54 PM
(451) WASHINGTON (3-7) at (452) MIAMI (3-7)
* WASHINGTON is 21-38 ATS (35.6%) when coming off SU loss since 2019
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 7-16 SU and 6-16 ATS vs. the AFC since 2016
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2019
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of WASHINGTON (+2.5 at MIA)
* MIAMI is 30-19 ATS (61.2%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is 18-10 SU and ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2022
* MIAMI’s Tua Tagovailoa is on a 13-7 SU and ATS surge with his team coming off a home win
* MIAMI’s Tua Tagovailoa is 11-4 SU and 10-4-1 ATS vs. teams with poor point differentials of <=-4.5 PPG since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-2.5 vs WAS)
(453) GREEN BAY (5-3) at (454) NY GIANTS (2-8)
* GREEN BAY is 27-12 Over the total as a road favorite since 2015
* NY GIANTS are 26-8 Under the total as home underdogs since 2020
* NY GIANTS are 60-33 Under the total (64.5%) since 2020
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 2 PLAYS UNDER in GB-NYG (o/u at 43.5)
* GREEN BAY is 23-18 ATS (56.1%) when coming off a SU loss since 2018
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur is 22-15-1 SU but 14-24 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of GREEN BAY (-7 at NYG)
(455) TAMPA BAY (6-3) at (456) BUFFALO (6-3)
* TAMPA BAY is 31-35 ATS (47%) when coming off a SU loss since 2016
* TAMPA BAY’s Baker Mayfield is 11-18 SU but 19-10 ATS as a road underdog since 2020
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TAMPA BAY (+5.5 at BUF)
* TAMPA BAY is on 27-10 Over the total surge as a single-digit road underdog
* BUFFALO’s Sean McDermott is 28-15 Under the total when coming off an outright loss since 2017
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in TB-BUF (o/u at 48.5)
(457) CINCINNATI (3-6) at (458) PITTSBURGH (5-4)
* CINCINNATI is 27-19 ATS (58.7%) as an underdog since 2020
* CINCINNATI is 57-67 SU but 74-47 ATS on the road dating back to 2011
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+5.5 at PIT)
* PITTSBURGH is 25-33 ATS (43.1%) as a favorite since 2018
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is on a 9-1 SU and ATS run as a divisional home favorite
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of PITTSBURGH (-5.5 vs CIN)
* CINCINNATI’s Joe Flacco is 18-9 Under the total in starts versus divisional foes since 2016
* PITTSBURGH is 106-74 Under the total (58.9%) since 2015
* PITTSBURGH is 36-13 Under the total vs. poor teams with point differentials <=-4.5 PPG since 2013
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): CIN-PIT (o/u at 48.5)
(459) HOUSTON (4-5) at (460) TENNESSEE (1-8)
* TENNESSEE is 21-15 SU and 21-14 ATS when coming off a home loss since 2015
* TENNESSEE is on an 8-36 SU and 10-33-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TENNESSEE (+6.5 vs HOU)
(461) CHICAGO (6-3) at (462) MINNESOTA (4-5)
* CHICAGO is 31-48 ATS (39.2%) in road/neutral games since 2016
* CHICAGO is 31-45-1 ATS (40.8%) as an underdog since 2019
* CHICAGO is 9-26 SU and 11-24 ATS versus divisional opponents since 2019
Trends Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+3 at MIN)
* MINNESOTA boasts an impressive 83-59 SU and 89-52-1 ATS record when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2011
* MINNESOTA is 22-12 SU but only 11-23 ATS in its last 34 games as a home favorite
* MINNESOTA is 34-26 ATS (56.7%) when coming off a SU loss since 2014
* MINNESOTA is 19-27 ATS (41.3%) at home since 2020
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 2 FADES of MINNESOTA (-3 vs CHI)
* MINNESOTA is 64-48 Over the total (57.1%) since 2019
* MINNESOTA’s Kevin O’Connell is 18-7 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-MIN (o/u at 48.5)
(463) CAROLINA (5-5) at (464) ATLANTA (3-6)
* CAROLINA is 9-19 SU and 8-20 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): CAROLINA (+3.5 at ATL)
* ATLANTA is 59-49 SU but 39-69 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2012
* ATLANTA is on a 12-23 SU and 10-25 ATS skid on normal rest (7 days)
* ATLANTA’s Raheem Morris is on a 14-18 SU and 12-20 ATS slide in home games
Trends Match (FADE): ATLANTA (-3.5 vs CAR)
(465) LA CHARGERS (7-3) at (466) JACKSONVILLE (5-4)
* LA CHARGERS are 66-35 Under the total when coming off an outright win since 2013
* LA CHARGERS are on 28-13 Under the total surge in Sunday games
* LA CHARGERS are on 17-5 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)
* JACKSONVILLE is 43-35 Under the total (55.1%) since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): LAC-JAX (o/u at 43.5)
* LA CHARGERS’ Jim Harbaugh owns a solid 34-11 SU and 30-13 ATS NFL mark as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2011
* JACKSONVILLE is on a horrific 6-41 SU and 14-33 ATS skid vs. teams with better records since 2011
* JACKSONVILLE is 32-44 ATS (42.1%) when coming off a SU loss since 2018
Trends Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (-3 at JAX)
(467) SEATTLE (7-2) at (468) LA RAMS (7-2)
* LA RAMS are 56-44 Under the total (56%) since 2020
* SEATTLE’s Sam Darnold is 27-14 Under the total when his team plays with normal rest (7 days) since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-LAR (o/u at 48.5)
* SEATTLE is 45-53-1 ATS (45.9%) when coming off a SU win since 2015
* SEATTLE is 38-28 ATS (57.6%) as an underdog since 2016
* SEATTLE’s Sam Darnold is on a 9-3 SU and ATS surge as an underdog
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of SEATTLE (+3 at LAR)
* LA RAMS Sean McVay is just 11-15 SU and 8-16 ATS in its last 26 November games
* LA RAMS’ Matthew Stafford is 36-65 SU and 38-61 ATS vs. teams with winning records since 2011
Trends Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-3 vs SEA)
(469) SAN FRANCISCO (6-4) at (470) ARIZONA (3-6)
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is 47-31 Over the total when his team is on normal rest (7 days) since 2017
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is on 8-5 Over the total surge vs. divisional opponents
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): SF-ARI (o/u at 48.5)
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is just 8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS in the last 16 vs. teams with lesser records
Trend Match (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 at ARI)
* ARIZONA is 28-33 ATS (45.9%) at home since 2018
* ARIZONA is 13-21 ATS (38.2%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* ARIZONA is 34-20 ATS (63%) as an underdog since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of ARIZONA (+3 vs SF)
(471) BALTIMORE (4-5) at (472) CLEVELAND (2-7)
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 12-5 SU but 6-11 ATS in the last 17 games vs. poor teams with a winning percentage <=33%
* BALTIMORE is 46-25 ATS (64.8%) in road/neutral games since 2017
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of BALTIMORE (-7.5 at CLE)
* CLEVELAND is 35-45 ATS (43.8%) at home since 2015
* CLEVELAND is 22-41 ATS (34.9%) vs. divisional opponents since 2015
Trends Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+7.5 vs BAL)
* CLEVELAND’s Kevin Stefanski is 17-10 Under the total vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-CLE (o/u at 39.5)
(473) KANSAS CITY (5-4) at (474) DENVER (8-2)
* KANSAS CITY is 11-19-1 ATS (36.7%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* KANSAS CITY is 57-41-1 ATS (58.2%) in road/neutral games since 2014
* KANSAS CITY’s Patrick Mahomes boasts a 31-12 SU and 26-15 ATS record vs. teams with elite point differentials of >=+4.5 since 2019
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of KANSAS CITY (-3.5 at DEN)
* DENVER is 14-14 SU but 22-6 ATS bouncing back after a game having scored 14 points or less since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (+3.5 vs KC)
* DENVER is 105-70 Under the total (60%) since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): KC-DEN (o/u at 43.5)
(475) DETROIT (6-3) at (476) PHILADELPHIA (7-2)
* DETROIT is 19-7 SU and ATS when coming off a double-digit win since 2018
* DETROIT is on a 20-11 SU and 22-8-1 ATS run vs. teams with a winning record
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 11-12 SU and 18-5 ATS as a single-digit underdog since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+2.5 at PHI)
* PHILADELPHIA’s Nick Sirianni boasts a 25-3 SU and 19-8 ATS record as a single-digit home favorite since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-2.5 vs DET)