Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar Selections Central The Unfair Advantage, Jeffrey's Picks

3/18

Last expert play of the day:

NCAAM (Indian Cowboy) Cincinnati -3 for 5 units

3/19

My NBA plays:

San Antonio -4.5 for 6 units
Atlanta -7 for 6 units
LA Clippers -10 for 6 units
Brooklyn + 8.5 for 6 units
Denver +10 for 6 units
NY +8 for 4 units

Spurs and Vegas know something the public doesn't.. #bandwagon. Atlanta is a hot home team that needs the win. Clips are going to crush the Grizz, they're mad and Grizz are going to try against Phoenix and LAL coming up. Brooklyn is good because they keep a lot of games right and Detroit spent a lot of emotional energy last night. Denver got called out hard by their coach. And Anthony called out the Knicks after losing by a million to the Dubs.

Expert Plays:

NCAAM Gonzaga -2 (Mike Davis) for 4 units
NCAAM Kansas -8 (Vernon Croy) for 4 units

Yesterday's (3/18) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 2-1-1, +.4 (70-71-4, -20.7)
Expert plays: 2-3, -8.5 (40-31, +6.9)

3/20

My NBA plays:

Portland +1 for 6 units
Sacramento -3 for 6 units
Orlando +9.na -1 for 4 units
LA Clippers -8 for 4 units
Philadelphia +11 for 3 units

On a day when the world is distracted by March Madness, the NBA sharks are swimming and I think today will be a mighty fine day for they sharks.na is the only side I feel like the public (61% on Bucks) will pick up a little bit and the books are adjusting accordingly, with the line trying to raise to 1.na here at home, playing well, after their starters got called out. The bench has some confidence too.

I like the Clippers bouncing back after an embarrassing loss. Anthony Davis is out, only 43% of public agrees, and I still think the Clips are as good as they were yesterday.

I like Philadelphia because I'm addicted to betting them like a crackhead is addicted to Oreos. The particular crackhead in this fictional scenario also has a sweet tooth. I also think it's too many against a team that lost four straight. Boston will win, but they've been playing sloppy. I don't think they win by a dozen on the road when they've been shooting poor.

Yesterday's (3/19) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 3-3, +.4 (73-74-4, -20.3)
Expert plays: 2-0, +8 (42-31, +14.9)

3/20

Expert plays:

NCAAM Xavier -4.5 (Vernon Croy, Al DeMarco, Doc Sports) for 4 units
NCAAM Texas A&M -7 (Mike Davis) for 4 units

**Ted Svransky also has a 10* on Xavier.**

3/21

My NBA plays:

Atlanta -6.5 for 6 units
Sacramento +7 for 6 units

I like Atlanta to complete the three game sweep of the homestand. Washington won a few in a row and will be ready for the revenge game back in Washington.

Love Sacramento here to keep this one close after a good win at NY. They needed this one and the Bulls just got a couple W's. Moore and Gasol are out.

Yesterday's (3/20) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 2-4, -6.7 (75-78-4, -27)
Expert plays: 0-2, -8.8 (42-33, +6.1)

3/21

The rest of my NBA plays today (along with the two in the previous post):

Memphis -2.na +7 for 5 units
Charlotte +6 for 4 units

I absolutely love Memphis here.na keeping this one close against a team content with a couple wins. Detroit is flaky and I lost on the Bucks yesterday but that just makes me believe they'll fight harder.

Hornets are a good home team and Spurs just left their hearts out there in Texas vs the Dubs. Hornets just lost and I expect a bounce back.

3/22

My NBA plays:

Brooklyn +6 for 6 units
Memphis -3 for 6 units
Miami -8.5 for 3 units

I am siding with Brooklyn against a let down Charlotte.. Walker may be big back in Brooklyn, but in games where one guy plays big - sometimes the rest of the team doesn't play quite as hard. Even if Kemba drops 30, -6 is begging you to take NO and even though NO is aware of the possibility of a let down, public is biting to the tune of 67% on them and I think the smart money is on Brooklyn.

Memphis probably wasn't the value play last night, but they paid off big. Phoenix's Knight hits a shot late off multiple chances and Memphis may lose that one or at least not cover.. But it doesn't matter. This Memphis team is straight magic and will stay formidable with backups. They will win the games they're definitely supposed to win even with ppl out because they know how to win. They just win. They'll get trounced in the playoffs (especially without Gasol) by a good team, but they'll be damned if they don't get into a spot to play SA or GS.

I'm laying the lumber with Miami tonight. A public fade against a thin New Orleans team and an important game to win before they go get smacked by the Spurs tomorrow.

Yesterday's (3/21) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 4-1-1, +8.4 (79-79-5, -18.6)

3/22

One final NBA play from me:

Oklahoma City -9.5 for 6 units

Ooh la la.. What do we have here in OKC? Can a hot Thunder team beat a banged up Harden and distracted Dwight (Mr. Sticky)? I think so. I'll put six units on that. Why aren't they letting Harden rest a game, punt, and play for the next vs Utah? They may. If he's still slow, he possibly won't play in the second half if they're getting beat by double digits.

**Please note that my 3/22 NBA Miami play above should state "Miami -9," not -8.5**

3/22

Today's Expert plays:

My expert plays today are straight up Indian Cowboy's 3/22 card. He has an eight unit play in the NHL, seven unit in NCAAM, and six unit in the NBA. I'm hoping, today, he proves why he's - quite possibly - my #1 expert handicapper.

NHL Chicago -145 (IC) for 6 units
NCAAM Valporiso -3.5 (IC) for 5 units
NBA Charlotte/Brooklyn Over 207 (IC) for 5 units

I'm bummed that doc sports (also on Valpo) let Mike Davis fade Valporiso with St Mary's though. Disappointed to see conflicting sides on the same site.. Reminds me of atsedge..... I don't see that too often though so we'll give them a break today.

Yesterday's (3/21) result (YTD):
Expert plays: No plays (42-33, +6.1)

3/23

My NBA Plays:

Golden State -10 for 6 units
Atlanta Pick for 6 units
Portland -6 for 6 units
Orlando +6.5 for 6 units
Philadelphia +8 for 6 units
San Antonio -11.5 for 6 units

Taking a shot tonight with 6 plays I like. Best of luck to all!

Golden State's Curry isn't that bad. He may make some buckets tonight. Atlanta .. Love this play. They couldn't shoot lately! They'll also make some shots. Portland needs this one at home so badly and I'll ride them again against the Mavs. I like Jennings to bounce back for Orlando against his old squad. Plus Detroit allows for some backdoor covers, try to find +7. Philadelphia has its only chance to win tonight for a while and I like the Spurs to bounce back and Miami to let down. Miami goes down 10 in the first, look for a live bet bc the Spurs may win by 30.

Yesterday's (3/22) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 2-2, -4.2 (81-81-5, -22.8)
Expert plays: 1-2, -8.1 (43-35, -2)

3/22

Today's Expert Plays:

NCAAM Columbia -7 (Indian Cowboy) for 6 units
NCAAM George Washington -2 (Robert Ferringo) for 6 units

I know IC didn't pull through yesterday.. And that hockey play was bad.. Total loss wasn't much better.. But today, I still have faith. Hopefully these two guys prove why their two of my top guys.. (And IC bounces back from yesterday's 1-2)

3/24

All my plays for today:

My NBA plays:

Chicago -4.5 for 6 units
Utah +9 for 6 units

Knicks shot 56% from 3 point range and killed them on the boards. Bulls Coach made sure to point that out.. I love the Bulls here even though I'm not sure who will play center for them - doesn't really matter, I'm willing to lay the trappy 4.5 for Bulls season not to end in a heap of embarrassment tonight by them getting swept by the Knicks in a home and home.

I dig Utah. Tough in back to backs, but OKC has won 5 straight, plays the Spurs next, and Utah has lost a bunch of games in the 6-9 point range. I'll take the points.

Expert Plays:

NCAAM Oregon -3.5 (Vernon Croy and Alan Harris) for 6 units

Yesterday's (3/23) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 4-1-1, +17.4 (85-82-6, -5.4)
Expert plays: 1-1, -.6 (44-36, -3.7)*

*-1.1 additional units now included in expert plays YTD. I had only deducted -4.4 from the IC NBA total on 3/22 when it should've been (and now is) -5.5.

3/24

One more late expert play..

NBA Portland +5 (Svransky) for 4 units

3/25

My NBA plays:

Miami -10 for 6 units
Phoenix +7.5 for 6 units
Denver -3 for 5 units
Golden State -16.5 for 5 units
Charlotte +2.5 for 4 units
Memphis +13.5 for 4 units

Love the lumber with Miami. Orlando is banged up and Miami needs it. Phoenix will surprise ppl here.. They've been better lately and Sac isn't that good. Cousins is banged up also. I like Denver and hope Faried plays, but still will side with the public (ugh) even if he doesn't. Golden State beat Dallas by 20 earlier this year with Dallas shooting 50%. Now they're sitting Dirk and Parsons is injured. I like Charlotte because I think they're good. Plus Detroit could let down here on a homestand against a sneaky good Hornets team. Lastly.. Spurs are sitting everyone.. I'll take a couple touchdown-ish cushion. I think Memphis goes deep on the roster and loses by single digits to a Spurs team looking to their matchup with OKC tomorrow.

Yesterday's (3/24) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 0-2, -13.2 (85-84-6, -18.6)
Expert plays: 2-0, +10 (46-36, +6.3)

3/25

Forgot one of my NBA plays on the last post:

Houston Pick for 4 units

This game is very important to Houston.

3/25

Expert plays:
NCAAM Virginia -6 (Eastman) for 5 units
NCAAM Syracuse +4.5 (Eastman) for 5 units
NCAAM Indiana/North Carolina Over 157.5 (Vernon Croy) for 5 units

3/26

*Please shop lines today.. I did! (Thanks Freak, I shop now!)*

My NBA plays:

Utah -7.5 for 6 units
Atlanta +1.5 for 6 units
Chicago -6 for 6 units
Brooklyn +5.5 for 6 units
Oklahoma City -12 for 4 units

Minnesota is playing the second night of a back to back and just won a game in double overtime. The fact that only 39% of the public is on Utah is actually reassuring – why would we ever want to side with the public? But its still ludicrous to me. Utah absolutely needs a scare and I wish I would've bit on a juicy line last night.

I like Atlanta to come out fighting tonight. When I did a deep dive into the box score of the last time they played, all of the traits players played well and they still lost by four. Detroit got a big win yesterday and I think Atlanta comes out firing on this one, making a lot more threes than last night.

Oh Chicago… What are we going to do with you? Same logic as when I picked them and they lost to the Knicks - but they need this one. Plus Gasol and butler are back while oladipo and Vucecic are banged up and questionable.

I'll roll with the book's trap game and side with Brooklyn. Indiana women's a lot of close games and Paul George may not play.

And Oklahoma City because the Spurs are resting five players. If they weren't the spurs, and this was their starting lineup - wouldn't the thunder be favored by 15?

Expert Plays:

NCAAM Oklahoma +1 (Steve Budin) for 6 units
NCAAM Kansas -2 (Ferringo) for 4 units

Yesterday's (3/25) result (YTD):
My NBA plays: 4-3, +2.5 (89-87-6, -16.1)
Expert plays: 3-0, +15 (49-36, +21.3)

3/26

One more expert play..

NBA Charlotte -3.5 (Sevransky) for 3 units