Home Forums Skybox Sports Bar First and Goal The Limper Line – NFL – Week 2

Bearing in mind the model is left with using last season’s data with only a few player updates and a modified home/away protocol (ie. no fans), a poor ATS result could be expected. However, the fact that it did pretty well straight-up, going 11-5 (Vegas line favorites only went 6-10 SU) indicates the model is performing adequately; needing only to squeeze out more reliable MOVs. It won’t be until the Week 4 projections that it will have enough 2020 data run on current numbers alone, so keep that caveat in mind. Also remember that these initial projections Week 2 are based largely on players who started last week, and do not take injuries into account. Thursday’s post will include the first injury updates.

GLTA

Surprised to see the difference from SU to ATS. That's highly unusual.