NCAAF
Saturday’s top 13 games
Georgia @ South Carolina
Georgia (2-0)
— 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
— 62 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 17 starts
— Smart is 18-6 ATS as a favorite away from home.
— Since 2017, Dawgs are 28-19 ATS in SEC games.
— Since 2017, Georgia 33-21 ATS coming off a win.
— Dawgs threw for 439 yards in their 49-3 win over Oregon.
— Georgia beat Gamecocks last two years, 45-16/40-13.
South Carolina (1-1)
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line (all 5 starters back); soph QB started 17 games at Oklahoma
— Last 3+ years, they’re 14-23 SU
— Since 2018, Gamecocks are 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— First two games, Carolina allowed 200-295 rushing yards.
— Georgia State outgained SC 311-306 in their opener.
— Gamecocks already have a minus-4 turnover ratio.
— Georgia won six of last seven series games.
— Dawgs won/covered their last three visits to Columbia.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Purdue @ Syracuse
Purdue (1-1)
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 77 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 15 starts
— Under Brohm, Boilers are 13-8 ATS on the road.
— Under Brohm, Boilers are 10-5 ATS in non-conference games.
— Purdue lost opener 35-31 to Penn State; Purdue threw for 356 yards.
— Boilers outgained PSU 426-406; Lions threw for 308 yards.
— Since 2017, Boilers are 14-11 ATS coming off a win.
Syracuse (2-0)
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— Orange won first two games (Louisville/UConn) by combined 79-21.
— QB Shrader has completed 79% of his passes so far.
— Orange is already +5 in turnovers.
— Syracuse is 12-5 ATS in last 17 non-league games.
— Since 2018, they’re 9-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— These teams haven’t met since 2004.
— Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 18-11 ATS when playing an ACC team.
Old Dominion @ Virginia
Old Dominion (1-1)
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 70 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 10 starts
— Old Dominion upset ACC’s Va Tech 20-17 in their opener.
— Monarchs got whacked 39-21 at East Carolina LW.
— ODU has been outgained by 168 yards/game so far.
— Since 2014, ODU is 11-20 ATS out of conference.
— HC Rahne comes from Penn State (OC in 2018-19)
Virginia (1-1)
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 22 starts back on offensive line; brought in OL from Harvard/Georgetown
— junior QB has started 20 games.
— Last two years, they’re 8-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, they’re 8-3 ATS coming off a loss.
— Cavaliers are 10-6 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
— Virginia was outgained 394-222 in 24-3 loss at Illinois last week.
— Virginia (-27) beat ODU 28-17 at home in 2019, their only meeting.
— Since 2018, Sun Belt teams are 6-2-1 ATS when playing an ACC team.
BYU @ Oregon
BYU (2-0)
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— BYU has 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU has junior QB with 10 starts.
— Last four years, BYU is 10-4 ATS as an underdog.
— Overall, Sitake is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— BYU held its first two opponents to 293-289 total yards.
— This is BYU’s last true road game until October 22.
Oregon (1-1)
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 34 starts at Auburn
— Last three years, Ducks are 5-9-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 4+ years, Oregon is 4-9-1 ATS out of conference.
— Ducks were outgained 571-313 in its opening 49-3 loss to Georgia
— Last 2 years, Oregon is 4-8-2 ATS coming off a win.
— Lanning is Ducks’ 4th coach in seven years; they’re 36-14 SU last 4+ years
— These teams haven’t met since 2006.
Penn State @ Auburn
Penn State (2-0)
— Penn State has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Penn State has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
— Penn State has a senior QB, with 33 starts.
— Under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 13-12 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 5+ years, Penn State is 11-6 ATS in non-conference games.
— Nittany Lions are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games with single digit spread.
— Penn State threw for 308-338 yards in first two wins.
Auburn (2-0)
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 3 starts
— Tigers are on 4th offensive coordinator the last four years.
— Since 2016, Auburn is 7-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— Auburn is 2-5 ATS in its last seven non-conference games.
— Tigers (-24) struggled past San Jose State 24-16 LW.
— Auburn ran for 218 yards LW; they’re already minus-4 in turnovers.
— Penn State (-5) beat Auburn 28-20 LY
— That was teams’ first meeting since 2002.
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-4 ATS against SEC opponents.
Colorado @ Minnesota
Colorado (0-2)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 49 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
— Last 5+ years, they’re 23-33 SU
— In his career, Dorrell is 11-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2017, Colorado is 7-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Buffs lost their first two games, 38-13/41-10.
— In first two games, Colorado gave up 275-435 rushing yards.
Minnesota (2-0)
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 64 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 39 starts
— since 2015, they’re 11-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— Gophers are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 games as a favorite.
— since 2017, they’re 10-5-1 ATS out of conference.
— Minnesota is 25-10 SU the last 3+ years, 3-0 in bowls.
— Gophers ran for 297 yards in only I-A game (38-0 over NM State)
— Minnesota (+2.5) won 30-0 at Boulder LY.
— Total yardage was 441-63.
— Since 2018, Pac-12 teams are 11-8 ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
Mississippi State @ LSU
Mississippi State (2-0)
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 82 starts back on offensive line; soph QB 19 starts
— Since 2017, they’re 7-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, Leach is 20-20 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bulldogs won first two games, scoring 49-39 points.
— Bulldogs threw for 450-320 yards in those games.
— Last time at LSU, Miss State passed for 623 yards in 44-34 win.
LSU (1-1)
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line; QB started 29 games at Arizona State
— LSU lost opener 24-23 to Florida State; game-tying PAT was blocked.
— LSU was outgained 392-348 by the Seminoles.
— In his career, Kelly is 13-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Tigers are 12-13 SU last 2+ years, after going 15-0 in 2019.
— Last three years, Kelly was 21-10 ATS coming off a win.
— LSU won 19 of last 22 series games (3-2 in last five).
— Bulldogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Baton Rouge.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven games.
Texas Tech @ NC State
Texas Tech (2-0)
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 124 starts back on offensive line; junior QB had 11 starts at Oregon
— Last three years, they’re 4-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, they’re 11-7-1 ATS out of conference.
— LW, Tech (-3.5) passed for 351 yards in 33-30 win over Houston.
— Red Raiders outgained Houston 468-354, was -1 in turnovers.
— Last 2+ years, Tech is 3-7 ATS coming off a win.
NC State (2-0)
— 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 20 starts
— Wolfpack is 19-7 SU last 2+ years
— Under Doeren, they’re 14-25 ATS as a favorite.
— Last two years, they’re 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, Doeren is 29-25 ATS as a home favorite.
— Wolfpack (-12) snuck past East Carolina 21-20 in its opener
— East Carolina outgained State 383-344 in that game.
— These teams haven’t met since 2003.
— Since 2019, Big X teams are 4-2-1 ATS when playing an ACC team.
Michigan State @ Washington
Michigan State (2-0)
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 14 starts
— Spartans won/covered first two games, scoring 35-52 points.
— 13-2 SU since start of LY (16-17 SU previous three years)
— Spartans covered their last six non-conference games.
— Over last decade, MSU is 12-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Spartans ran ball for 457 yards in their first two games.
Washington (2-0)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 82 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 17 games at Indiana
— Last 4+ years, they’re 8-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Washington is 3-8 ATS as a favorite overall.
— Last four years, they’re 8-4 ATS in non-conference games.
— Huskies threw for 393 yards in only I-A game (45-20 over Kent State)
— In his career, DeBoer is 10-6 ATS as a favorite
— These teams haven’t met since 1997.
— Since 2018, Pac-12 teams are 11-8 ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
SMU @ Maryland
SMU (2-0)
— 6 starters back on offense; 7 on defense
— 74 starts back on OL; junior QB has 12 starts
— are 27-10 SU last 3+ years: new coach was OC at Miami.
— Since 2017, they’re 5-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— 10-3 ATS in last 13 non-conference games.
— SMU threw for 426 yards in only I-A game (48-10 vs North Texas)
— North Texas ran for 202 yards, but SMU led 31-10 at halftime.
Maryland (2-0)
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 94 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 17 starts
— Maryland won first two games TY, scoring 31-56 points.
— Terps covered 12 of their last 15 non-conference games.
— Last year was Maryland’s first bowl since 2016; they beat Va Tech 54-10.
— In his career, Locksley is 7-8 ATS as a favorite.
— Locksley was favored in only 15 of 68 lined games as a head coach.
— These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
— Since AAC teams are 13-9 ATS when playing a Big 14 opponent.
Miami @ Texas A&M
Miami (2-0)
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 9 games
— In his career, Cristobal is 17-19 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three years, Miami is 6-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Hurricanes are 8-5 ATS in their last 13 road fames.
— Miami outgained Southern Miss 445-231 in 30-7 win, its only I-A game.
— Last four years, Miami is 7-10 ATS out of conference.
Texas A&M (1-1)
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 37 starts back on offensive line; frosh QB started 2 games
— Backup QB Johnson started 14 games at LSU.
— Aggies were outgained 315-186 in upset loss to Appalachian State
— Under Fisher, Aggies are 14-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— A&M is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 non-conference games.
— Since 2017, A&M is 15-5-1 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2008.
— Since 2019, Big X teams are 4-2-1 ATS when playing an ACC team.
San Diego State @ Utah
San Diego State (1-1)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 16 starts at Virginia Tech
— Aztecs were outgained 461-232 in opening 38-20 loss to Arizona.
— Aztecs are only 22-42 passing for 170 yards in two games.
— Since 2017, San Diego State is 7-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Hoke is 40-35-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Aztecs are 9-4 ATS in last 13 non-conference games.
Utah (1-1)
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 12 games
— Since 2017, Utah is 14-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 4+ years, they’re 3-9-1 ATS out of conference.
— Utah (-2.5) lost opener 29-26 at Florida, giving up 283 YR.
— Total yardage in that game was 451-446; Utes ran for 230 yards.
— Last 3+ years, Utes are 15-8 ATS coming off a win.
— Aztecs (+8) upset Utah 33-31 at home last year, running for 204 yards.
— That was teams’ first meeting since 2010.
— Since 2017, Mountain West teams are 25-19 ATS when playing a Pac-12 foe.
Fresno State @ USC
Fresno State (1-1)
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 19 starts
— Jeff Tedford returns as coach (Aaron Rodgers’ college coach)
— Since 2017, they’re 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 5+ years, they’re 13-6-1 ATS out of conference.
— Fresno lost 35-32 at home to Pac-12’s Oregon State LW.
— Bulldogs passed for 360 yards in that game.
— Tedford is 8-1-1 ATS as an underdog at Fresno.
USC (2-0)
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 7 games at Oklahoma
— Trojans won/covered first two games, scoring 66-41 points.
— Last 2+ years, USC is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, Riley is 19-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2017, Trojans are 5-10 ATS in non-conference games
— USC scored 3 defensive TD’s in their opening win over Rice.
— USC won last four series games (2-2 ATS)
— Trojans (-13) won last meeting 31-23, three years ago.
— Since 2017, Mountain West teams are 25-19 ATS when playing a Pac-12 foe.