San Antonio VS Oklahoma City

San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 6 games.
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games.
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
Oklahoma City is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio.

Vegas VS Colorado

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas' last 6 games.
Vegas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
Vegas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Colorado.
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games.
Colorado is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games against Vegas.
Colorado is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.

Indiana Fever

Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games


Portland Fire

N/A


Chicago Sky

Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas


Dallas Wings

Dallas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Dallas is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against Chicago


Seattle Storm

Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Connecticut


Connecticut Sun

Connecticut is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Connecticut is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games
Connecticut is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Connecticut is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle

MLB Trends

Cincinnati
VS
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games.
Cincinnati is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games.
Cincinnati is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against Cincinnati.
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.

Baltimore
VS
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 12 games.
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games.
Tampa Bay is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
Tampa Bay is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore.

Houston
VS
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.

Texas
VS
Colorado
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Colorado.
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
Texas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Colorado.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Colorado's last 20 games.
Colorado is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games.
Colorado is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home.
Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Texas.

San Francisco
VS
Arizona
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Arizona.
San Francisco is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road.
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games.
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home.
Arizona is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against San Francisco.

Chicago
VS
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago White Sox's last 8 games.
Chicago White Sox is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
Chicago White Sox is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games against Seattle.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago White Sox's last 7 games on the road.
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games against Chicago White Sox.
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home.
Seattle is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago White Sox.

Cleveland
VS
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games.
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against Detroit.
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games.
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home.
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland.

Atlanta
VS
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games.
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against Miami.
Atlanta is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 7 games.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games against Atlanta.
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.

New York
VS
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets' last 6 games.
NY Mets is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
NY Mets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Mets' last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against NY Mets.
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets.

Toronto
VS
New York
Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games.
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 6 games against Toronto.
NY Yankees is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home.
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto.

Milwaukee
VS
Chicago
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Chicago Cubs.
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 20 games when playing on the road against Chicago Cubs.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago Cubs' last 5 games.
Chicago Cubs is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
Chicago Cubs is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chicago Cubs' last 20 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

Boston
VS
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games.
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against Kansas City.
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games.
Kansas City is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against Boston.
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.

Pittsburgh
VS
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games.
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against St. Louis.
Pittsburgh is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis' last 11 games.
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home.

Los Angeles
VS
San Diego
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
LA Dodgers is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games against San Diego.
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games.
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games at home.

Athletics
VS
Los Angeles
Athletics is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Athletics is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games against LA Angels.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Athletics' last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Athletics' last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Angels' last 19 games.
LA Angels is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels' last 14 games against Athletics.
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Key H2H betting trends for the matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder in Western Conference Finals Game 2:

Spurs have won 5 of the last 6 meetings against OKC this season.
San Antonio is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings versus Oklahoma City.
Spurs already stole Game 1 on the road, winning 122-115 in double overtime.

The Over has hit in every meeting this season between these teams:
237 total points
222 total points
219 total points
240 total points
220 total points
237 again in Game 1 OT battle

Spurs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 playoff games overall.
However, the Under has cashed in 3 of the last 4 meetings played in Oklahoma City before Game 1.

Important matchup angles:

Victor Wembanyama dominated Game 1 with 41 points and 24 rebounds. OKC’s biggest adjustment will likely be double-teams and more physical paint defense.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to bounce back after a relatively inefficient Game 1.
De'Aaron Fox remains a key injury factor after missing Game 1 with an ankle injury.

Betting market notes:

Most books opened OKC around -6.5 despite losing Game 1 at home.
Reddit betting communities heavily lean toward Spurs +points because of the season matchup edge and recent ATS form.

Lean based on trends:

Spread: Spurs +6.5 looks attractive because San Antonio has consistently matched up well with OKC.
Total: Slight lean Over if the number stays around 217-219 because these teams have repeatedly produced high-scoring games.
Winner: Thunder are still dangerous in a bounce-back home spot, but trends favor another tight game rather than an OKC blowout.


Deeper betting breakdown for Spurs @ Thunder Game 2:

Series + matchup history
San Antonio is now 5-1 SU against OKC this season including playoffs. That is one of the biggest matchup mismatches statistically left in the postseason.
Spurs are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
Average combined score in those meetings is roughly 229+ points, well above tonight’s total around 216.5–218.5.
OKC has failed to consistently solve Victor Wembanyama defensively because Holmgren/Hartenstein lineups struggle with his size and perimeter mobility simultaneously.
Important Game 1 hidden stats

These matter more than the final score:

Stat Spurs Thunder
Paint points Edge SA
Rebounds Major SA edge
Turnovers Edge OKC
3PT shooting Spurs only 30.2%
2PT defense Spurs elite Thunder shot poorly inside

Key angle:

Spurs won despite poor outside shooting and despite Fox missing the game. That is extremely important for bettors because casual markets often assume Game 1 was “fluky.”
Wembanyama played 48 minutes and Spurs were +16 with him on the floor. They were negative during his rest minutes only.


Why sportsbooks still favor OKC heavily

Books opened:

OKC -6.5 / -7.5
Total around 216.5

That line tells you bookmakers still rate OKC significantly higher overall despite the H2H results. Main reasons:

OKC had league-best net rating this season.
Thunder are elite in bounce-back spots after losses.
Home teams in Game 2 after dropping Game 1 historically respond well in conference finals.
Market expects SGA efficiency regression upward.

But:

Spurs keep creating matchup problems OKC cannot structurally fix.
Spurs dominate the glass.
Spurs’ length disrupts OKC’s drive-and-kick offense.


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander angle
Game 1:

24 points on 7-for-23 shooting.
Spurs blitzed and trapped him repeatedly.
Dylan Harper’s perimeter defense bothered him more than expected.

Important trend:

When SGA is forced into high-assist/low-efficiency games, OKC offense becomes more dependent on secondary creators.
Spurs are willing to let Jalen Williams isolate rather than allow SGA downhill attacks.

Chet Holmgren betting trend
Possibly the most important prop angle:

Holmgren has gone under 14.5 points in 4 of 5 meetings against San Antonio.
Wembanyama neutralizes Holmgren’s length advantage entirely.
Holmgren struggles finishing over Spurs interior size.

That matchup is becoming one-sided statistically.

Pace + total analysis
Why the Over keeps cashing:

Both teams rank top tier in transition offense.
OKC creates turnovers leading to fast-break points.
Spurs attack early in shot clock.
Wembanyama forces double teams creating open threes.

BUT:
There is one warning sign for Over bettors tonight:

Double-overtime Game 1 may create slower pace early.
Conference Finals Game 2 historically tighten defensively.
OKC may play smaller lineups for defensive switching, slowing tempo.

That’s why some sharp bettors are leaning Under 216.5 despite previous Overs.

ATS and situational trends
Spurs
9-3 ATS last 12 playoff games.
6-1 ATS as underdog of +6.5 or more this season.
13-6 outright as moneyline underdog this season.
Thunder
Only 39-43 ATS overall this season.
Sometimes overpriced by the market due to public support and strong regular-season metrics.

Biggest tactical adjustment to watch
OKC may:

Bench Hartenstein more.
Go ultra-small with Caruso/Jalen Williams at frontcourt spots.
Force Wembanyama to defend perimeter actions constantly.

Caruso was arguably OKC’s best player in Game 1.

If OKC goes small successfully:

Thunder could cover.
Pace increases.
Game becomes perimeter-oriented.

If Spurs dominate rebounding again:

Spurs likely cover again.
OKC becomes vulnerable late game.

Betting lean
Strongest lean:
Spurs +6.5 / +7.5
Slight lean:
Over 216

Predicted script

Most likely outcome:

Thunder come out extremely aggressive first half.
Spurs settle in second half with half-court execution.
Another close late-game finish.

Projected range:

OKC by 3-5
OR
Spurs upset outright again.

Most valuable betting angle right now:

Spurs ATS continues to have value until the market fully adjusts to the matchup advantage.

Best betting prediction for Game 2

Winner (Moneyline)

Lean: Oklahoma City Thunder win

Reason:

OKC is historically elite in bounce-back spots after losses:
33-7 SU after a loss over the last two seasons.
8-0 SU after playoff losses in that span.
Game 2 is basically a must-win. Falling behind 0-2 before going to San Antonio would put OKC in major trouble.
Expect a much more aggressive game from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after his inefficient Game 1.
Spread (ATS)

Best lean: Spurs +6.5 / +7.5

Why:

Spurs are 5-1 against OKC this season.
Spurs are 4-1-1 ATS in last six meetings.
San Antonio keeps winning the rebounding battle and creating matchup problems with Victor Wembanyama.
Even predictive models projecting OKC to win still show Spurs covering.

Most likely spread outcome:

Thunder win by 3-5 points.
That favors Spurs ATS.
Over or Under

Lean: Over 216 / 216.5

Why Over:

Average total in recent meetings is around 229.
Pace has been extremely fast.
Both teams generate transition points.
OKC likely increases offensive aggression tonight.
Spurs offense can still score efficiently even if perimeter shooting cools.

Only concern for Over:

Double-overtime fatigue from Game 1 could slow early tempo.
Conference Finals Game 2 sometimes becomes more defensive.

Still, matchup history strongly points toward another high-scoring game.

Final predicted result
Thunder 118
Spurs 114
Best overall bets
Spurs +6.5
Over 216
Thunder moneyline parlayed with Over
Strong prop angle
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 28.5 points
Expected major usage increase after Game 1.

De'Aaron Fox is officially listed as questionable tonight for the San Antonio Spurs in Game 2 against the Oklahoma City Thunder because of right ankle soreness. Multiple reports today say it will likely be a game-time decision.

Game 1 recap and tonight’s matchup:

Key updates:

Fox missed Game 1, but the Spurs still won 122-115 in double overtime.
Reports from shootaround said Fox was present but not taking shots during the media portion.
Spurs coach Mitch Johnson said earlier today: “He will or he won’t,” showing the team still isn’t certain about his availability.

If Fox plays:

San Antonio’s offense becomes much harder to defend because Fox can attack OKC’s perimeter defense and create easier looks for Victor Wembanyama.
His pace and transition game are especially dangerous against OKC.

If Fox sits:

Expect bigger roles again for Dylan Harper and Stephon Castle.
The Spurs may slow the tempo and rely heavily on Wembanyama half-court creation.

Current betting market leans toward OKC bouncing back at home, but many bettors still like Spurs +points after stealing Game 1.