Padres +127

Just not liking Sheehan here he has been very inconsistent and his ERA vs SD is over 5 on the side we have King who just threw 7 shutout inns vs ATL plus he is 3-0 with an ERA of 2.15 vs LAD so I am taking the nice price here with the PADRES

South Africa +0.75. I’ll take a shootout South Africa to send this thing into extra time as I don’t think Canada is a team that can win my margin, let alone in a knockout round game at home where they will be facing a ton of pressure. That South African win vs Korea should also give them boatloads of confidence

padres +122

The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Padres following a win.
The Padres have won eight of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a win.
The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games at Petco Park against opponents that held a winning record

lots of runs for la yesterday, usually doesn’t bode well the next day, dogs barking 🐕

Canada under 2.5

Canada was strong vs Qatar, but other than that game they have played cautiously. South Africa also plays a slow pace and looks for countere. Now that this is knockout stage look for that to effect the pace as well for lower goals. All of south Africa's games have been two goals or less

MLB:

Chicago White Sox-135 110pm

Chicago White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Chicago White Sox is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against Kansas City.
Chicago White Sox is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home.
Chicago White Sox is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
Chicago White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games this season.
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago White Sox.

Chicago Cubs +1/+114
Cubs starter Rolison is 5-1 with a 1.82 ERA
Bullpens close to equal and neither has much of a rest advantage over the other
Teams have almost equal on base percentage but Cubs have better slugging percentage
Cubs are 22-21 on the road, I'll take a chance with a run and plus money

Reds/Pirates over 8.5
Todays pitching matchup of Singer (Cin) vs Keller (pitt) is average compared to the last few days.
Yesterday of Jones/Burns and day before of Skenes/ Abbot produced Overs in both games.
Singer 3-6 with 4.81 ERA and Whip of 1.53, 1-5 in the month of May/June with ERA over 5, 0-4 on road and 0-1 in day games
Keller 5-5 with 4.89 ERA and Whip of 1.32, 0-3 in month of June with 6.75 ERA
Take the over

MLB:

920 Chi. White Sox -143


Chi. White Sox are 5-1 as a home favorite
Chi. White Sox are 28-13 at home
KC is 9-15 as a road dog
KC is 15-28 on the road

Orioles -1.5 +100...The Orioles lost yesterday but they have a huge pitching advantage today. Bradish has been lights out recently and Littell for the Nationals has a 6.35 ERA and they have a bad bullpen

Phillies ML -150.

Since May 23, 2026, the Phillies have gone 15-1 on the ML (93.75%, +13.63u, 48.71% ROI) as -135 or longer favorites.
Since April 12, the Mets have gone 1-19 on the ML as underdogs against NL teams with an O/U above 7.

Phillies ML
I LIKE LUZARDO here against the Mets who are 3-7 last 10. Mets doing a bullpen game. This team is a mess and Phillies are hot and I think they win their division and pass braves

canada under 2.5 and under 1 1H

KNock out round different you have the extra 30 minutes if game close bear end you dont get the frantic pace at game end you get in group play

Rays F5 -.5 -140

Drew Rasmussen holds a commanding advantage in today's matchup, boasting a 2.62 ERA and a 22.3% K-BB% that significantly outclasses Merrill Kelly’s 5.71 ERA and struggling 3.9% K-BB% rate. This disparity in baseline performance creates a high-probability scenario for the Rays to lead through the first five frames, as Rasmussen effectively limits baserunners and contact quality while Kelly continues to labor against opposing lineups.

Take Astros over Tigers hunter Brown hasnt allow over 1 run in any of his appearances