Indiana @ Minnesota

Over is 6-0 in Lynx last 6 home games.
Over is 5-0 in Fever last 5 road games.
Over is 6-0 in Lynx last 6 games as a home favorite.
Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Lynx are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Fever last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Fever last 4 games as a road favorite.


Los Angeles @ Portland

Fire are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Fire are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Sparks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Fire are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Fire last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 games as a road favorite.
Sparks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Over is 12-3-1 in Fire last 16 games as a home underdog.


Connecticut @ Dallas

Over is 5-0 in Sun last 5 games as a favorite.
Sun are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Sun last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-0 in Sun last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 10-1 in Sun last 11 road games.
Over is 10-1 in Sun last 11 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Sun last 6 overall.
Sun are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


Toronto @ Golden State

Over is 8-0 in Tempo last 8 road games.
Over is 8-0 in Tempo last 8 games as a road underdog.
Valkyries are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Tempo last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-1 in Tempo last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in Valkyries last 6 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Valkyries last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 5-1 in Tempo last 6 games following a straight up loss.

MLB Trends

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.

PHILADELPHIA @ BALTIMORE
Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

ST. LOUIS @ TORONTO
Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
Under is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Over is 7-0-1 in Scherzers last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

MIAMI @ NY METS
Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games.
Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. National League East.
Under is 8-0 in Mets last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

PITTSBURGH @ CINCINNATI
Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.

CHI. WHITE SOX @ TAMPA BAY
Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 home games.
Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a home favorite.
Rays are 5-0 in Jaxs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League Central.
Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

ARIZONA @ CLEVELAND
Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TEXAS @ HOUSTON
Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0-1 in Lamberts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.

NY YANKEES @ CHI. CUBS
Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts overall.

KANSAS CITY @ COLORADO
Over is 5-0-1 in Lugos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 6-0 in Freelands last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 6-0 in Lugos last 6 interleague starts.
Over is 4-0-1 in Lugos last 5 interleague starts.
Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.

MILWAUKEE @ LA ANGELS
Brewers are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. National League Central.
Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Over is 8-0 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.

DETROIT @ ATHLETICS
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE
Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 5-0-2 in Kirbys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts on grass.
Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Home team is 5-0 in Wolfs last 5 games behind home plate.

SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO
Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.

BOSTON @ LA DODGERS
Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Red Sox are 5-0 in Bennetts last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Early college football spreads:
— Baylor vs Auburn (-7)
— Boston College @ Cincinnati (-7.5)
— Tulane @ Duke (-10)
— Wyoming @ Colorado State (-4)
— Liberty @ James Madison (-6.5)
— Arkansas State @ Memphis (-10.5)

************************************

College football knowledge
— Under Kirby Smart, Georgia Bulldogs are:
22-36-1 ATS as a home favorite.
22-16 ATS as a road favorite.

— In his career, Texas coach Steve Sarkisian is:
10-5 ATS as a home underdog.
10-20 ATS as a road underdog.

— Last six years, Alabama is 28-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer is 7-1 ATS as an underdog.

— Since 2016, Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Sooners lost their last four bowl games, giving up 32 ppg.

— Under coach Elko, Texas A&M is 7-17 ATS as a favorite.
Last four years, Aggies are 4-15 ATS in non-conference games.

— Last three years, Tennessee is 9-14-1 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Josh Heupel is 25-11 ATS in non-conference games.

— Home team won/covered last six LSU-Ole Miss games.
New LSU coach/former Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin brings his Tigers back to Oxford September 19th, which should be good theater.

— Under Shane Beamer, South Carolina is 16-9 ATS as a favorite.
Road team covered last eight Georgia-South Carolina games.

SHARP-MONEY REPORT
Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx — Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026

Latest market picture:
Spread: Minnesota Lynx -5.5
Moneyline: Minnesota around -205 / Indiana around +170
Total: 191.5 range

Injury / Lineup Update
Indiana Fever
Caitlin Clark — Likely to play (listed Probable/GTD, back)
Aliyah Boston — probable
Damiris Dantas — out


Minnesota Lynx
Napheesa Collier active and expected to play

Her return is a major reason Minnesota’s defensive and rebounding numbers improved.
Important: No major last-minute scratch has appeared that would completely change the matchup.

Sharp Money Read
Ticket vs. Money (market interpretation)

Public tendency:
Many casual bettors like Minnesota because:
9-game winning streak
Home court
Collier return

Sharp angle:
Professionals are more interested in Indiana +5.5 because:
Clark is expected to play
Fever offense travels well
Number is high enough to create value
The current line holding around Lynx -5.5 suggests the market respects Indiana.

Reverse Line Movement Check
Current signal:
Mild Indiana support

That means:
If public money is naturally attracted to Minnesota, but the line does not climb to -6.5/-7, that indicates resistance.
Books are not aggressively pushing Minnesota higher.
This is the type of setup where sharps often take the underdog.

Sportsbook Liability
Most likely:
Books are comfortable with Minnesota ML.
A Minnesota cover would likely satisfy casual favorite bettors.
A Fever cover (or outright win) would hurt books more if public parlays include Lynx.

Liability lean: Slightly toward Indiana +5.5 / Fever ML risk.

Best value

1/ Indiana +5.5
2/ Indiana ML small sprinkle
3/ Under 191.5

The biggest danger to the Fever ticket: Minnesota dominates the paint and Collier has a 25+ point game.
The biggest danger to Minnesota: Clark controls pace, hits early threes, and turns this into a track meet.