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9/4 Statistical Advantages
#966705 08/23/26 06:44 PM
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Re: 9/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #967921 08/30/26 04:38 PM
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CFB TRENDS WEEK 1

SAN JOSE STATE @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
Sep 04 • 6:30 PM ET

Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Eagles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.
Eagles are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Under is 6-1 in Spartans last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 vs. MAC.
Over is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games as a favorite.

INDIANA STATE @ PURDUE
Sep 04 • 7:00 PM ET
Over is 5-0 in Sycamores last 5 games in September.
Over is 8-1 in Sycamores last 9 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-1 in Sycamores last 8 road games.
Over is 7-1 in Sycamores last 8 games overall.
Over is 7-1 in Sycamores last 8 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 vs. MVC.
Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MVC.
Under is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games as a favorite.

NC A&T @ GEORGIA STATE
Sep 04 • 7:00 PM ET

Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games in September.
Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 road games.
Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Aggies are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 11-5 in Panthers last 16 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Panthers last 7 games as a favorite.

UTEP @ OKLAHOMA
Sep 04 • 8:00 PM ET

Over is 6-0 in Miners last 6 games overall.
Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in Sooners last 5 vs. MWC.
Over is 5-0 in Miners last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Miners last 4 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Miners last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 6-0 in Miners last 6 non-conference games.
Under is 5-0 in Sooners last 5 non-conference games.

LIU @ KANSAS
Sep 04 • 8:00 ET

Under is 6-0-1 in Sharks last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 6-0-1 in Sharks last 7 games as an underdog.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Under is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 road games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 games overall.
Under is 6-0-1 in Sharks last 7 non-conference games.
Sharks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Under is 4-0 in Sharks last 4 games in September.

TOLEDO @ MICHIGAN STATE
Sep 04 • 8:00 PM ET

Rockets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 vs. MAC.
Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games as a road favorite.
Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

MIAMI (FL) @ STANFORD
Sep 04 • 9:00 PM ET

Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Cardinal are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinal last 6 games as a home favorite.
Cardinal are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

FRESNO STATE @ USC
Sep 04 • 9:00 PM ET

Over is 7-0 in Trojans last 7 games as a home underdog.
Bulldogs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games as a road favorite.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #968650 09/04/26 01:13 AM
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ADDITIONAL CFB TRENDS

Friday’s games
Toledo @ Michigan State (-10)
Toledo
Toledo has had five straight winning seasons.
Their coach bolted to UConn.
New coach Jacobs was 94-23 as a I-AA coach
Toledo has 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets have 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Whoever starts at QB is inexperienced.

Since 2021, Toledo is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Rockets are 4-1 ATS last five games vs Big 18 teams.
Last three years, Rockets are 10-5 ATS in non-conference games.
7 of Toledo’s last 8 road openers went over the total.

Michigan State (3-5, 0-5)
Spartans have had four straight losing seasons.
New coach Fitzgerald was 110-101 at Northwestern
MSU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Spartans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Milivojevic started four games last year.

Last two years, Spartans were 1-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Fitzgerald is 23-38 ATS as a home favorite.
Spartans are 1-5 ATS in last six non-league games.
Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in last eight games vs MAC teams.

These teams haven’t met in the last 30 years.

Fresno State @ USC (-22.5)
Fresno State
Fresno had winning seasons four of last five years.
Bulldogs have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Fresno has 56 starts returning on offensive line.
Fresno’s center is a transfer from USC.
Soph QB Martin is a transfer from Maryland.

Since 2017, Fresno is 14-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Overall, Fresno is 18-9 ATS last 27 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 non-conference tilts.
Coach Entz was USC’s linebackers coach in 2024.

USC (1-0)
Under Riley, USC is 36-18 SU, 24-29-1 ATS
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Trojans have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Maiava threw for 3,711 yards last season.

LW, Trojans (-35.5) led San Jose 28-0 at the half, won 42-26.
Under Riley, USC is 14-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 10-6-1 ATS in non-conference games.
Last 3+ years, USC is minus-3 in turnovers (+22 in 2022)

USC is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in last five meetings (last one, 2022)


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/4 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #968652 09/04/26 01:22 AM
Joined: Apr 2023
Posts: 2,999
Likes: 75
Lake Grove
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MLB TRENDS

DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
Sep 04 • 2:10 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0-1 in Mizes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 7-0 in Monteros last 7 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-2 in Mizes last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
Over is 3-0-2 in Muchlinskis last 5 games behind home plate.

MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI
Sep 04 • 6:10 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
Reds are 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts vs. National League Central.

ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA
Sep 04 • 6:40 PM ET

Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 home Games
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts as an underdog.
Phillies are 6-0 in Sanchezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

LA ANGELS @ PITTSBURGH
Sep 04 • 6:45 PM ET

Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. National League Central.
Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Over is 2-0-2 in Pirates last 4 overall.
Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Over is 2-0-2 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.

BOSTON @ BALTIMORE
Sep 04 • 7:05 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
Red Sox are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Baltimore.
Under is 6-1-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

CHI. CUBS @ MIAMI
Sep 04 • 7:10 PM ET

Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Marlins are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League East.
Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

SAN FRANCISCO @ NY METS
Sep 04 • 7:10 PM ET

Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 overall.
Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 on grass.
Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a home favorite.

DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
Sep 04 • 7:15 PM ET

Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as an underdog.

MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX
Sep 04 • 7:40 PM ET

Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Over is 9-1 in White Sox last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.

TAMPA BAY @ TEXAS
Sep 04 • 8:05 PM ET

Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 on grass.
Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on grass.

ARIZONA @ HOUSTON
Sep 04 • 8:10 PM ET

Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

TORONTO @ KANSAS CITY
Sep 04 • 8:10 PM ET

Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.

ST. LOUIS @ COLORADO
Sep 04 • 8:40 PM ET

Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 home games.
Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog.
Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games as a home underdog.
Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 overall.

NY YANKEES @ SAN DIEGO
Sep 04 • 9:40 PM ET

Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. American League East.
Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

WASHINGTON @ LA DODGERS
Sep 04 • 10:10 PM ET

Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Over is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings.
Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-5-1 in Nationals last 21 road games.

ATHLETICS @ SEATTLE
Sep 04 • 10:10 PM ET

Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League West.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 on grass.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!

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