ADDITIONAL CFB TRENDS
Friday’s games
Toledo @ Michigan State (-10)
Toledo
Toledo has had five straight winning seasons.
Their coach bolted to UConn.
New coach Jacobs was 94-23 as a I-AA coach
Toledo has 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets have 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Whoever starts at QB is inexperienced.
Since 2021, Toledo is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Rockets are 4-1 ATS last five games vs Big 18 teams.
Last three years, Rockets are 10-5 ATS in non-conference games.
7 of Toledo’s last 8 road openers went over the total.
Michigan State (3-5, 0-5)
Spartans have had four straight losing seasons.
New coach Fitzgerald was 110-101 at Northwestern
MSU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Spartans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Milivojevic started four games last year.
Last two years, Spartans were 1-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Fitzgerald is 23-38 ATS as a home favorite.
Spartans are 1-5 ATS in last six non-league games.
Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in last eight games vs MAC teams.
These teams haven’t met in the last 30 years.
Fresno State @ USC (-22.5)
Fresno State
Fresno had winning seasons four of last five years.
Bulldogs have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Fresno has 56 starts returning on offensive line.
Fresno’s center is a transfer from USC.
Soph QB Martin is a transfer from Maryland.
Since 2017, Fresno is 14-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Overall, Fresno is 18-9 ATS last 27 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 non-conference tilts.
Coach Entz was USC’s linebackers coach in 2024.
USC (1-0)
Under Riley, USC is 36-18 SU, 24-29-1 ATS
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Trojans have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Maiava threw for 3,711 yards last season.
LW, Trojans (-35.5) led San Jose 28-0 at the half, won 42-26.
Under Riley, USC is 14-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 10-6-1 ATS in non-conference games.
Last 3+ years, USC is minus-3 in turnovers (+22 in 2022)
USC is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in last five meetings (last one, 2022)