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9/27 Statistical Advantages
#972106 09/21/26 04:45 AM
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Re: 9/27 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972455 09/23/26 12:45 AM
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NFL TRENDS

KANSAS CITY @ MIAMI
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-0 in Chiefs last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 3-0-1 in Dolphins last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 home games.
Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3.
Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 games in Week 3.
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 road games.

CAROLINA @ CLEVELAND
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 road games.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3.

TENNESSEE @ N.Y. GIANTS
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Game starts in 4 days 16 hours
Over is 8-0 in Titans last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games in Week 3.
Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

NEW ENGLAND @ JACKSONVILLE
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.
Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Jaguars last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

L.A. CHARGERS @ BUFFALO
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Under is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 vs. AFC.
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games following a straight up loss.

N.Y. JETS @ DETROIT
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games in Week 3.
Over is 7-2 in Lions last 9 games overall.

HOUSTON @ INDIANAPOLIS
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Under is 4-0-2 in Texans last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Texans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 road games.
Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Colts last 6 games in Week 3.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as an underdog.

SEATTLE @ WASHINGTON
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Over is 8-0 in Commanders last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 6-0-1 in Commanders last 7 games as a home underdog.
Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Commanders last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games as a road favorite.

CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH
Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET

Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 vs. AFC North.
Under is 3-0-1 in Steelers last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 3-0-1 in Steelers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Steelers last 7 home games.
Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO
Sep 27 • 4:05 PM ET

49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games as a favorite.
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.

MINNESOTA @ TAMPA BAY
Sep 27 • 4:05 PM ET

Vikings are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Vikings are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games as a favorite.
Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a straight up win.

BALTIMORE @ DALLAS
Sep 27 • 4:25 PM ET

Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 8-2 in Ravens last 10 games as an underdog.
Over is 8-2 in Ravens last 10 games on grass.

LAS VEGAS @ NEW ORLEANS
Sep 27 • 4:25 PM ET

Saints are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games as a home favorite.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Saints are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

L.A. RAMS @ DENVER
Sep 27 • 8:20 PM ET

Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Rams are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 9/27 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #972624 Yesterday at 03:34 AM
Joined: Apr 2023
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Lake Grove
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NFL TRENDS

Panthers (-1.5) @ Falcons
Panthers (1-1)
Carolina lost 59-37 in Week 1, won 34-3 in Atlanta LW.
Panthers were minus-2 in turnovers in Week 1, +5 last week.
QB Young is 15-32 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 16-23 as a head coach.

Last 4+ years, Panthers are 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Canales, Panthers are 9-9 ATS in road games.
Carolina is 8-12 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Carolina is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games vs AFC teams.

Browns (1-1)
Cleveland lost 34-10 at Jacksonville, won 23-19 at Tampa Bay.
Browns gained only 272-267 yards in the two games.
QB Watson is 39-37 as an NFL starter (10-11 with Cleveland)
Monken is 1-1 as an NFL head coach.

Browns are 7-16-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Last four years, Browns are 11-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Cleveland is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
Browns are 3-8 ATS in last eleven games vs NFC teams.

Browns won three of last four series games.
Panthers lost 26-20/24-23 in last two visits to Cleveland.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Bengals (-3.5) @ Steelers
Bengals (1-0)
Bengals beat Tampa Bay 33-27 in opener, won 20-6 at Houston.
Bengals gave up only 89-60 rushing yards in those games.
Burrow is 50-35-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 59-65-1 as a head coach.

Last three years, Cincinnati was 1-6 ATS as road favorites.
Cincinnati is 24-13 ATS ln its last 37 road games.
Bengals are 22-10-1 in last 33 games coming off a win.
Last 8 years, Bengals are 12-11-1 ATS in AFC North road games.

Steelers (1-1)
Steelers beat Falcons in opener 20-13, lost 20-3 at New England LW.
Pittsburgh is 5-25 on 3rd down so far this season.
Rodgers is 175-105-1 as an NFL starter.
McCarthy is 186-124-2 as a head coach.

Steelers have one offensive TD on 23 drives.
Last four years, Steelers were 22-20-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, Steelers were 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Pittsburgh is 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.

Steelers won five of last seven series games.
Bengals are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 7-5 in last dozen meetings.

Texans (-2.5) @ Colts
Texans (0-2)
Houston lost 36-31 to Buffalo, 20-6 to Bengals, both at home.
Last four years, Houston is 0-8 ATS in Weeks 1-2 (1-2-1 Week 3).
Stroud is 31-23 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 35-24 in as an NFL head coach.

Texans are 13-17-1 ATS last 31 games as a favorite.
Houston is 4-3-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Houston is 11-9 ATS in its last 20 games coming off a loss.
Texans are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road openers.
Houston is 10-5 ATS last fifteen AFC South road games.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten road openers.

Colts (0-2)
Colts lost opener 41-23, lost 33-30 in OT at Kansas City.
Colts allowed 506-523 total yards in those games.
Jones is 33-52 as an NFL starter (8-7 with Colts).
Steichen is 25-28 SU as a head coach

Under Steichen, Colts are 15-17 ATS as an underdog.
Colts are 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Colts are 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 AFC South home games.
Overall, Indy is 0-9 SU/4-5 ATS in its last nine games.

Houston is 6-1-1 SU in last eight series games.
Texans covered four of last six visits to Indy.
Under is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.

Chiefs (-11.5) @ Dolphins
Chiefs (2-0)
Chiefs won opener 31-10, won 33-30 in OT last week.
Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in last nine road openers.
Mahomes is 114-35 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 309-174-1 as an NFL head coach

Chiefs are 18-27 ATS in last 45 games coming off a win.
Chiefs are 10-18-2 in last 30 games as a road favorite.
Chiefs outgained first two opponents, 915-455.
Kansas City has 7 TD’s, 5 field goals on 21 drives this year.

Dolphins (0-2)
Miami lost 27-13 in Las Vegas, 35-13 at San Francisco.
Dolphins gained only 259-284 yards in the two games.
QB Willis is 3-5 as an NFL starter.
Hafley is 0-2 as an NFL head coach (22-26 at BC).

Last two years, Miami was 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Dolphins are 16-19-1 ATS in last 36 games coming off a loss.
Miami is 8-6 ATS in last fourteen home openers.
Over is 13-4 in their last 17 home openers.

Chiefs won last four series games (3-1 ATS).
Chiefs won three of last four visits to Miami.

Chargers @ Bills (-7)
Chargers (0-2)
Chargers were upset in first two games, both 26-14 at home.
Chargers are minus-3 in turnovers this season.
QB Herbert is 52-48 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 71-38-1 as an NFL head coach.

Chargers are 4-3 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Overall, Bolts are 0-5 SU/ATS in their last five games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six road openers.

Bills (2-0)
Longer week for Buffalo after winning on Thursday last week.
Bills won opener 36-31 @ Houston, beat Detroit 41-31.
QB Allen is 98-46 as an NFL starter
Joe Brady is 2-0 as an NFL head coach.

Last 4+ years, Bills are 18-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Buffalo is 9-5 ATS in their last 14 home openers.
Bills are 16-19-1 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Buffalo allowed 257-289 passing yards in their first two games.

Chargers won six of last nine series games.
Chargers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Buffalo.
Three of last four series games went over the total.

Jets @ Lions (-6.5)
Jets (1-1)
Jets won 23-10 at Tennessee, lost 20-17 in OT to Green Bay.
In those games, Jets allowed 195-199 total yards.
Geno Smith is 43-58 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 4-15 as a head coach.

From 2021-24, Glenn was Detroit’s defensive coordinator.
Jets are 7-11 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog
Jets are 12-20-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs NFC teams.

Lions (1-1)
Longer week for Detroit after losing on Thursday last week.
Lions won their opener 31-30 in OT vs New Orleans.
QB Goff is 94-67-1 as an NFL starter, 52-40-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 56-47-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Detroit gave up 469-446 yards in its first two games.
Detroit is 19-14-1 ATS last 34 games as a home favorite
Lions are 12-3 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
Lions are 16-10 ATS last 26 games vs AFC teams.
Over is 9-3 in Detroit’s last 12 games.

Jets won four of last six series games.
Jets won/covered last three visits to Detroit.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Seahawks (-7) @ Commanders
Seahawks (2-0)
Seahawks beat New England 13-10, won 31-7 at Arizona.
Seattle have allowed only two TD’s on 18 drives this year.
Backup QB Lock is 11-18 as an NFL starter
MacDonald is 29-10 as a head coach

Seattle is 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
Seahawks held their first two opponents to 277-151 total yards.
Seahawks are 13-3 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Overall, Seattle is 7-0 SU/6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games.

Commanders (0-2)
Washington lost 24-22 at Philly, 37-20 at Dallas.
Commanders are 1-5 ATS in last six road openers.
Backup QB Mariota is 37-47 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 65-62 as an NFL head coach.

Commanders are 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Commanders are 4-10 ATS in last 14 home openers.
Under is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
Washington is 19-27-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.

Teams split their last ten meetings.
Seahawks are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Washington.

Titans @ Giants (-2.5)
Titans (0-2)
Tennessee lost 23-10 to Jets, 24-20 to Eagles.
Titans OC Daboll was HC of Giants from 2022-25.
Robert Saleh is 20-38 as an NFL head coach.
Saleh coached in this stadium when he was HC of the Jets.
QB Ward is 3-16 as an NFL starter.

Last three years, Titans were 7-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Tennessee is 10-17-1 ATS in last 28 games as an underdog.
Titans are 3-7-1 ATS in last eleven games vs NFC teams.
Tennessee is 9-17-1 in last 27 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road openers.

Giants (1-1)
Short week for Giants after their Monday night loss in LA.
Giants were outgained 481-182 Monday night.
Backup QB Winston is 36-53 as an NFL starter.
Harbaugh is 194-125 as an NFL head coach.

Last three years, Giants were 1-3 ATS as a favorite.
Giants are 12-7-1 ATS last 20 games vs AFC teams.
Giants are 12-15 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.
Giants were 9-11 on 3rd down in opener, 3-14 last week

Titans won five of last seven series games.
Tennessee won its last three visits here, by 3-19-17 points.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Weather is Northeast Sunday is supposed to be rainy/cruddy.

Patriots @ Jaguars (-3)
Patriots (1-1)
Patriots lost opener 13-10 at Seattle, beat Steelers 20-3.
NE has allowed only two TD’s on 20 drives.
QB Maye is 21-14 as an NFL starter
Vrabel is 74-53 as an NFL head coach

Patriots are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
NE is 16-13-2 ATS in its last 31 games coming off a win.
Patriots held their first two opponents to 285-235 yards.
Opponents have converted only 4 of 23 third down plays.

Jaguars (1-1)
Jacksonville won its opener 34-10, lost 20-13 at Denver LW.
Jaguars are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
QB Lawrence is 37-45 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 14-6 as an NFL head coach.

Under Coen, Jaguars are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Coen, Jaguars are +15 in turnovers.
Jaguars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.
Opponents have converted only 5 of 19 third down plays.

New England won nine of last eleven series games.
Patriots won two of last three visits to Jacksonville.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!

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