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10/18 Statistical Advantages
#976529 10/12/26 12:19 AM
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Re: 10/18 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #976745 10/13/26 04:01 AM
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NFL TRENDS

HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE

Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 vs. AFC.

TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS

Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 vs. AFC.

CAROLINA @ PHILADELPHIA

Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 road games.
Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. NFC.
Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games overall.

PITTSBURGH @ TAMPA BAY

Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Under is 3-0-1 in Steelers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 6.
Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Under is 4-1-1 in Steelers last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 11-1 in Steelers last 12 games in Week 6.
Over is 7-1 in Steelers last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 home games.

BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND

Over is 8-0 in Ravens last 8 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games on grass.
Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games as an underdog.
Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC North.

NEW ORLEANS @ N.Y. GIANTS

Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games in October.
Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CHICAGO @ ATLANTA

Over is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-0 in Bears last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Bears are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games overall.
Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

N.Y. JETS @ NEW ENGLAND

Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 vs. AFC East.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Patriots last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC East.
Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

ARIZONA @ L.A. RAMS

Under is 6-0-1 in Rams last 7 games in Week 6.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as an underdog.
Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games in October.
Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. NFC West.

L.A. CHARGERS @ KANSAS CITY

Under is 7-0 in Chargers last 7 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City.
Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games in Week 6.
Under is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. AFC West.
Under is 7-1 in Chargers last 8 games overall.
Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

BUFFALO @ LAS VEGAS

Over is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Las Vegas.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

DALLAS @ GREEN BAY

Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games on grass.
Over is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games as a road underdog.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!
Re: 10/18 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #977034 Yesterday at 03:27 AM
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Texans vs Jaguars (-7) @ London)
Texans (1-4)
Houston won last week, after losing by 5-14-2-4 points.
Last four weeks, Houston ran ball for less than 80 yards.
Stroud is 32-25 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 36-26 in as an NFL head coach.
Ryans took over defensive play calling last week.

Texans are 8-9 ATS last 17 games as an underdog.
Houston is 4-8-1 ATS last 13 AFC South games.
Houston is 9-8 ATS in its last 17 games coming off a win.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
Last three games, Texans are +5 in turnovers.

Jaguars (4-1)
Jacksonville allowed 17 or fewer points in their wins.
Jaguars are +5 in turnovers this season.
QB Lawrence is 40-45 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 17-6 as an NFL head coach.

Under Coen, Jaguars are 9-3 ATS as a favorite.
Jaguars are 13-4-1 ATS last 18 AFC South games.
Jaguars are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games in England.
Opponents have converted only 20 of 58 third down plays.

Houston won 13 of last 16 series games (5-3 in last eight).
Six of last eight meetings stayed under the total.

Ravens (-5.5) @ Browns
Ravens (4-1)
Baltimore QB Jackson (ankle) is a ??? (check status)
Ravens are 2-0 on road, 41-23 at Colts/30-23 at Falcons
Baltimore scored 41-34-24-30 points in their wins, 17 in the loss.
Backup QB Huntley is 8-10 as an NFL starter; Jackson is 82-37.
Minter is 4-1 as an NFL head coach.

Ravens are 17-11 ATS last 28 games as a road favorite.
Baltimore is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
Ravens are 1-7 ATS last eight games coming off a win.
Last three weeks, Ravens gained 378-384-391 total yards.
Opponents’ team total is over 4-1 this season.

Browns (3-2)
Cleveland’s three wins are by 4-4-3 points.
Browns scored 10-12 points in losses, 23-21-27 in wins.
QB Watson is 41-38 as an NFL starter (12-12 with Cleveland)
Monken is 3-2 as an NFL head coach.

Browns are 9-17-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Browns are 7-1 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Cleveland was held under 275 total yards in four of five games.
Browns went over their team total three of last four games.
Cleveland is 7-6 ATS in last 13 AFC North games.

Baltimore won 8 of last 12 series games.
Ravens are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Cleveland.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Panthers @ Eagles (-1.5)
Panthers (2-2)
Carolina scored 34-32 points in wins, 37-18 in losses.
Panthers ran the ball for 68-98 yards in their road games.
QB Young is 16-33 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 17-24 as a head coach.

Under Canales, Panthers are 19-14 ATS as an underdog.
Under Canales, Panthers are 7-8 ATS as a road underdog.
Carolina has thrown ball for 301.3 yards/game.
Panthers covered three of last four post-bye games.

Eagles (2-3)
Last three weeks, Eagles were held to 248-172-232 total yards.
Last two weeks, Eagles were outscored 43-3 in second half.
QB Hurts is 65-32 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 66-33 as an NFL coach.

Eagles are 10-11 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
Eagles are 8 for their last 36 on third down.
Over is 4-1 in their opponents’ team total.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-15 ATS in games coming off a loss.

Eagles won eight of last 11 series games.
Panthers are 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Philly.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Bears (-1.5) @ Falcons
Bears (3-2)
QB Williams (hamstring) might be back here (check status)
Chicago scored 59-27-23 points in wins; 3-7 in losses.
Bears ave up 478-428 yards in their two road games.
Ben Johnson is 15-9 as an NFL head coach.
QB Bagent is 3-3 as an NFL starter; Williams is 18-20.

Under Johnson, Chicago is 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Johnson, Chicago is 5-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Bears gained 375+ yards in their wins, 297-246 in losses.
Bears team total is under 3-1 last four games.
Chicago’s last four games stayed under the total.

Falcons (3-2)
Atlanta scored 35-45 points in their wins, 13-3-23 in losses
Falcons QB Penix Jr (ribs) is banged up (check status)
Falcons were minus-6 in turnovers in their losses.
Penix Jr is 6-9 as an NFL starting QB.
Stefanski is 48-61 as an NFL head coach.

Falcons ran ball for 242-205 yards in wins, 120-157-110 in losses.
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
Stefanski is 7-8-1 ATS as a home underdog as a head coach.
Falcons last three games went over the total.
Atlanta is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.

Chicago won four of last six series games.
Bears are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Atlanta.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.

Saints (-1.5) @ Giants
Saints (1-4)
New Orleans lost last three games, giving up 35-45-23 points.
Saints are minus-6 in turnovers in their 1-4 start.
Saints have scored 43 points in 1st half, 75 in 2nd half/OT
QB Shough is 6-8 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 7-15 as a head coach.

Saints are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Saints are 7-16 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
New Orleans has been outscored 67-33 in first half of games.
Saints were held under 100 yards rushing in four of five games.
Saints are 7-16 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.

Giants (3-1-1)
Giants won/covered all three of their home games.
Giants scored 6 TD’s, tried 8 FG’s on their last 24 drives.
Backup QB Winston is 38-53-1 as an NFL starter.
Harbaugh is 196-125-1 as an NFL head coach.

Giants are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
QB Winston was on the Saints from 2020-23 (6-4 as a starter)
Giants are 31-57 on 3rd down this season.
Last four games, opponents’ team total is 3-1 over.

New Orleans won eight of last eleven series games.
Saints won three of their last five visits to the Garden State
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Jets @ Patriots (-7.5)
Jets (2-3)
Jets gave up 10-12 points in wins, 20-31-23 in losses.
Jets’ losses were by 3-7-11 points.
Geno Smith is 44-60 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 55-17 as a head coach.

Jets are 7-12-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Jets are 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Jets are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC East road games.
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1
Four of their five games stayed under the total.

Patriots (3-2)
Patriots scored 20-29-45 points in wins, 10-6 in losses.
NE held four of five opponents under 100 yards rushing.
QB Maye is 23-15 as an NFL starter
Vrabel is 76-54 as an NFL head coach

Patriots are 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Under Vrabel, NE is 12-6 ATS in games coming off a win.
Patriots are minus-5 in turnovers this season.
Opponents team total: under 4-1

New England won 22 of last 25 series games.
Jets are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Foxboro.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.

Steelers (-2.5) @ Buccaneers
Steelers (3-2)
Steelers are 3-0 SU at home, 0-2 on the road
Steelers were held under 100 yards rushing in both their losses.
Last three weeks, Pittsburgh gained 411-361-352 total yards.
Rodgers is 177-106-1 as an NFL starter.
McCarthy is 188-125-2 as a head coach.

Steelers are 6-7 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
Steelers are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Last three Pittsburgh games went over the total.

Buccaneers (1-4)
Tampa Bay lost its first four games, by 6-4-7-3 points.
Bucs won LW, are now 3-11 SU/1-13 ATS in their last 14 games.
QB Daniels is 1-1 as an NFL starter.
Bowles is 63-81 as a head coach, 37-40 with Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay ran ball for 241 yards in last week’s win.
Tampa Bay is 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a home underdog.
Bucs are 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a win.
Buccaneers held last four opponents under 90 yards rushing.
Last three Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

Pittsburgh won six of last seven series games.
Steelers covered their last four visits to Tampa Bay.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


God bless all our first responders and all the special medical professionals who dedicate their lives to saving and caring for us all!

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