I’m teasing the Bills to a cushion of +4.5 against Minnesota & taking the Rams next week on the ML to get revenge against Arizona on the 16th as a parlay. I’m seeing it at -152. Much longer analysis (and some Super Bowl futures) on selections central

Monday Night Football and more.........

Bills -3. It’ll be a tough go around for the bills against this Vikings defense in Minnesota, but eventually I think the dam will break and Josh Allen will be able to make enough plays to win this game by a margin. I think Wentz will be better than Kyler Murray, but at the same time, they don’t have the recipe for keeping Josh Allen off the field and he will always find a way.

Hawks/Lakers over over 236.5
Lakers are the number one scoring team in the NBA averaging 121.9 per game
Both team's scoring defense averages are in the bottom half of the NBA this season
Hawks home games have averaged 244.3 combined points this season

Vikings ml +150

Every favorite except GB, who won as an underdog, won yesterday. Buffalo is 6-1 but they had to out score opponents to win, giving up at least 29 points in 5 of the 7 game. The other two were against pathetic Chargers and 3rd string Ravens QB. Minnesota’s defense is legit and I think that Wentz is a better fit QB for this offense, and could score enough at home on Monday night against a poor Bills defense to pull the second upset win of this week. Good luck.

Take buffalo over 44

Buffalo offense has been scoring at will averaging over 35 points
last 3 games but at same time lack in defense giving up 25 over the same span.
Think Minny will keep close the game close and the game will go over

Cade Cunningham o 25.5 ttl pts -123…rarely does Cunningham have rough back 2 back bad games and he was only 6-14 last night scoring 14 pts in loss to Lakers..looking for Cade to get back on track tonight vs 4-6 Wizrds who have lost 3 in a row

NYI -138

SJ just can’t get out of their own way right now losing 7 of 8 and have had a tough time scoring usually 1 or 2 goals a game on the other hand the Islanders have been scoring but have had a hard time winning very often but more often than the Sharks usually getting 3 to 4 goals a game but I think the difference here is Sorokin who is 5-0 vs the Sharks so I am taking the Islander in this one

Vikings +3

The Bills defense is poor. They’re in the bottom 10% of EPA, and at the back almost at the “back of the pack” in
passing yards allowed. Minnesota’s pass defense is one of the best.
The Bills offensive line could be tested this evening and will struggle.

James Cook OVER 88.5 rushing yards

The Vikings have the number 1 passing defense only giving up 155 yards per game. So I think the Bills are going to game plan to run Cook tonight. Cook has been very good this year with averaging over 5 yards per carry. After the first two games of the year where he didn't fare well, he's for 135, 154, 75, 111, 95, and 80 yards. Keep in mind that 75 yard game he did that on 12 carries with a healthy 6+ yards per carry. He's also ran for a TD in their past 6 games. I think the strategy and the tempo of the game will get him the carries.

Vikings ML
Can the Bills run continue? Allen is MVP level this year..
Vikings D is the best in the league..Flores has a monster and in the dome.
1st against the pass...2nd against the run...1st in points allowed...2nd in 3rd down conversions..
Can Wentz unlock this offense with Jefferson, Addison, Jones and others...
If Wentz doenst turn it over, Vikings can win this game with their weapons..

NBA

LA Lakers +2.5

LA Lakers are 8-3 ATS this season
LA Lakers are 2-0 as a Road Dog this season
Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Lakers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Atlanta is 4-7 ATS this season
Atlanta is 1-4 as a Home Favorite

Vikings un45.5 the total is low for a reason this will be a playoff type atmosphere take the under

cook anytime TD


MInnesota pass defense is elite and Uf Bills want to score tonight they will be trying to run it in either allen or Cook.

i think threat of allen always opens it up for Cook.

Cleveland -8.5 -110....The Cavs got beat up by the Knicks Saturday and I think they'll take it out on the Hornets who have only won 3 games this year

NHL:

NY Rangers/Edmonton Over 6.5

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Edmonton.
Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Oilers last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Pacific.
Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Oilers last 5 games as a home favorite.

Pick: Buffalo Bills -3.5 at Minnesota Vikings

Why it Wins: Buffalo's offense ranks near the top of the league in success rate on early downs, keeping them ahead of the chains and out of predictable passing situations. Facing a Minnesota defense that leans heavily on aggressive blitz schemes, Allen's quick-release efficiency against pressure will allow the Bills to sustain long scoring drives, pull away in the second half, and cover the road spread.

Overall Record: 13-15

3-2 +0.80 units

No official plays tonight. Pizza money small plays I'm considering still. Jefferson, I expect to have a much better showing tonight as Wentz can at least get the ball down the field some, Murray was playing extremely poorly and was inaccurate on most throws. Over 80ish yards seems doable. Lean to Vikings +3.5 which is gone now, with that defense you just want to avoid the big turnovers, and you'll be in every game. Allen over 6.5 rush attempts also might be worth a small play.

Good luck to everyone.

Pick: Houston Rockets -4.5 vs. Denver Nuggets

Why it Wins: Houston continues to lock down teams at home, boasting one of the league's top defensive ratings and elite offensive rebounding metrics. Denver enters this road matchup on the back end of a demanding road trip, where their transition defense and bench unit have surrendered huge scoring runs. Houston's athleticism and depth inside turn this into a comfortable home win.

Overall Record: 13-15

Pick: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline vs. New York Rangers 

Why it Wins: Edmonton's 5v5 high-danger chance generation at home remains staggering, leading to relentless pressure in opponent zones. The Rangers have relied heavily on high-end goaltending to mask defensive breakdowns in slot coverage. Expect the Oilers' top two lines to capitalize on high-volume shots and seal the win on home ice.

Overall Record: 13-15

Pick: Atlanta Hawks vs. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 236.5

Why it Wins: Both Atlanta and Los Angeles play at a top-10 pace in possession count per 48 minutes. Neither perimeter defense excels at containing dribble penetration, leading to heavy 3-point volume and frequent transition opportunities. Expect a high-tempo shootout at State Farm Arena that comfortably pushes past this total.

Overall Record: 13-15

Pick: Vancouver Canucks -1.5 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (+130)

Why it Wins: Vancouver's lethal power play presents a massive mismatch against a disciplined-but-struggling Philadelphia penalty kill unit. The Flyers' inability to generate sustained inner-slot chances on the road leaves them vulnerable to getting out-chanced by multi-goal margins against top Pacific Division squads.

Overall Record: 13-15

Vikings vs Bills
Bills have offensive line injuries & Min is a heavy blitzing team could make very uncomfortable. Min has a backup qb going tonight that is in the bottom of the league in offense.
My play is Under 45 Total

NBA
Under 219 (-107) WAS / DET
WAS: UNDER IS 7-3 LAST 10 GAMES / UNDER 8-1 LAST 9 GAMES AS AN UNDERDOG

BUF/MIN (over 45) Allen has superb numbers against Florez defenses when Florez was at Miami. MIN defense has been great but also against mostly average QBs. MIN offense, I believe is actually better with Wentz. I see Jefferson getting the ball again. Both teams should score some points tonight.

Buffalo -3

Can't take this Minnesota offense seriously and while Buffalo has their own problems on the defensive side of the ball, I'd rather lay a field goal and have Josh Allen leading my team. Should be a cover with room to spare for the Bills.

Sharks +115 ML, I could see San Jose snapping their 5 game skid here at home against an offensively challenged islanders team who ranks 28th in shots on goal per game and 24th in goals per game

Bills -3. Josh Allen has seen as Bryan for his defense and in his career has averaged over 30 points per game against them. Huge advantage in the quarterback position with Buffalo. Look for them to shine on PrimeTime once again.

NFL Minnesota +3
The Vikings lost their first game of the
Season last week.. Now they are back home
and an underdog. I think they win a tough
game at home tonight