NCAAF TRENDS
Wake Forest @ SMU (-1.5)
Wake Forest (8-1, 5-1)
Wake Forest won/covered its last five I-A games.
Deacons only loss: 33-20 at home to Miami.
Deacons have 3 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Wake Forest has 25 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Lopez has 23 starts (South Alabama/UNC)
In his career, coach Dickert is 8-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, coach Dickert is 15-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dickert, Wake is 6-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dickert, Wake is 11-3 ATS in ACC games.
Under is 4-2 in their last six I-A games.
SMU (7-2, 5-2)
SMU won won five of its last six games.
Mustangs gave up 30-41 points in their two losses.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Jennings has 26 career starts.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 23-19-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 15-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Mustangs are 20-12 ATS in last 32 conference games.
Last two games, SMU threw ball for 350-351 yards.
SMU is 15-11 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Wake Forest (+3.5) beat SMU 13-12 at home last year.
ACC home favorites are 12-13 ATS.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State (-3)
Cincinnati (5-4, 2-4)
Cincinnati lost four of last five games, after a 4-0 start.
Cincinnati gave up 34-45-49-31 points in their losses.
Bearcats have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Bearcats have 118 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Senior QB French started 26 games at Georgia Southern.
Cincinnati is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 14-22-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 12-19-2 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Satterfield is 42-48-4 ATS in conference games.
Five of their last seven games went over the total.
Iowa State (4-5, 2-4)
Iowa State lost three of its last four games.
Last five games, Iowa State allowed 491.4 yards/game.
Cyclones have 2 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Cyclones have 15 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Raynor started 13 games at Arkansas State.
Iowa State is 12-6-2 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Rogers is 4-1-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.
Iowa State is 3-4-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Iowa State won two of three series games.
Big X home favorites are 16-15 ATS
Kansas State @ TCU (-4.5)
Kansas State (4-5, 1-5)
Wildcats lost five of last six games, after a 3-0 start.
K-State is 0-3 on road, losing by 5-3-11 points.
Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 50 returning starts on the OL, from various places.
Senior QB Johnson has 25 career starts.
K-State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games overall.
K-State is 7-2-1 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
Wildcats are 9-15-1 ATS in last 25 Big X games.
K-State is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
TCU (4-5, 2-4)
TCU lost four of last six games (losses by 1-7-4-8 points).
Six of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Craig started 11 games at Harvard last year.
Under Dykes, TCU is 15-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 36-29 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 20-20-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 50-52-2 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 12-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Kansas State won six of last seven series games.
Wildcats are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to TCU.
Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Big X home favorites are 16-15 ATS
Tennessee (-1.5) @ Texas A&M
Tennessee (7-2, 4-2)
Tennessee won four of its last five games.
Vols gave up 17 or fewer points in six of their seven wins.
Tennessee has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Vols have 94 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB McIntyre is the starter now.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 9-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 16-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 24-24-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 21-24-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Heupel is 32-37-1 ATS in conference games.
Six of last seven Tennessee games stayed under the total.
Texas A&M (4-5, 1-5)
A&M’s SEC losses are by 10-29-21-11-8 points.
A&M is 0-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Aggies have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
A&M has 81 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB Reed has 21 career starts.
In his career, Elko is 9-8 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, A&M is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Aggies are 14-22-3 ATS in last 37 conference games.
In his career, Elko is 19-20 ATS in conference games.
A&M is 5-16 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Four of last five A&M games stayed under the total.
Teams split last four series games.
This is Vols’ first visit to A&M since 2016.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
SEC home underdogs are 8-8 ATS.
Missouri @ Georgia (-16.5)
Missouri (6-3, 3-3)
Mizzou is 6-0 when it runs for 139+ yards.
Tigers’ losses were by 7-28-14 points.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Tigers have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simmons started two games at Ole Miss.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 17-17-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-12 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 22-17-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 30-25-1 ATS in SEC games.
Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
Georgia (8-1, 6-1)
Five of Georgia’s six SEC wins were by 19+ points.
Dawgs’ only loss: 27-24 at home to Auburn.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 66 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Stockton has 14 career starts.
In his career, Smart is 56-43 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 16-25-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
In his career, Smart is 24-38-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Georgia gained 440+ total yards in seven of nine games.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
Georgia won last 10 series, but is 2-7 ATS in last nine.
Mizzou covered five of last six visits to Georgia.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
SEC home favorites are 14-13 ATS
USC @ Indiana (-9.5)
USC (7-2, 4-2)
USC is 1-2 when they score less than 30 points.
Trojans’ losses are by 14-17 points.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Trojans have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Maiava threw for 3,711 yards last season.
Under Riley, Trojans are 3-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Riley is 6-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Riley, USC is 16-27 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 40-50-1 ATS in conference games.
USC is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games coming off a win.
Last four USC games stayed under the total.
Indiana (8-1, 5-1)
Hoosiers held 7 of 9 opponents to less than 19 points.
Indiana’s only loss: 19-15 to Ohio State.
Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hoover started 31 games at TCU.
Hoosiers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 11-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his I-A career, Cignetti is 18-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In 38 games under Cignetti, Indiana is +40 in turnovers.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-11 ATS in Big 18 games.
Last four Indiana games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Big 18 home favorites are 9-21 ATS
Michigan @ Oregon (-10.5)
Michigan (5-4, 2-4)
Michigan’s fired its offensive coordinator this week.
In their losses, Wolverines scored 19-14-6-6 points.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Carr is 63-94/641 passing this season,
Since 2020, Michigan is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Whittingham is 28-18 ATS as a road underdog.
Michigan is 5-12 ATS in last 17 conference games.
In his career, Whittingham is 102-88-1 in conference games.
Michigan is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Seven of their nine games stayed under the total.
Oregon (6-3, 3-2)
Oregon scored 31-15-10 points in its three losses.
Ducks allowed 200.7 rushing yards/game in their three losses.
Oregon has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Backup QB Raiola had 22 starts at Nebraska.
Last three games, Ducks gained 426-441-395 total yards.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 17-13 ATS overall as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 30-20 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 27-19 ATS in conference games.
Over is 5-3 in last eight Oregon games.
Oregon won/covered last three meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 9-21 ATS
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma (-2.5)
Ole Miss (6-3, 4-3)
Ole Miss is 0-3 when they score less than 31 points.
Ole Miss gave up 52-34-42 points in their losses.
Rebels have 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Rebels have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Chambliss started 13 games last year.
Ole Miss is 2-8 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Last week was first time Rebels gained less than 363+ total yards.
Rebels are 23-26 ATS in last 48 SEC games.
Ole Miss is 5-3 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Four of Rebels’ last six games went over the total.
Oklahoma (5-4, 3-3)
Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS TY in games following a win.
Last three games, Sooners ran ball for 148 yards/game.
Oklahoma has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Sooners have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mateer has 24 career starts.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 21-21-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Venables, Sooners are 18-22-1 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma is 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Six of their nine games stayed under the total.
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma last two years, 26-14/34-26
SEC home favorites are 14-13 ATS
Florida @ Kentucky (-3)
Florida (5-4, 3-4)
Gators lost last two games, scoring 8-7 points.
Florida is 0-4 when they score less than 27 points.
Florida has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Philo (9 TDs, 5 INTs) is the starter.
Gators are 15-12 ATS last 26 games as an underdog.
In his career, Sumrall is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Sumrall is 28-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Florida is 19-19 ATS in last 38 SEC games.
Last four Florida games stayed under the total.
Kentucky (7-2, 6-2)
Kentucky won six of its last seven games.
Kentucky’s losses: 45-17 Alabama/34-6 Tennessee.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wildcats have 89 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB Minchey was a backup at Notre Dame.
Wildcats are 17-10 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Kentucky is 13-11 ATS last 24 games coming off a loss.
Last 5+ years, Kentucky is 26-21 ATS in SEC games.
Wildcats are 3-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last three Kentucky games stayed under the total.
Kentucky won/covered four of last five series games.
Gators are 2-3 SU/0-5 ATS in last five visits to Kentucky.
Last three meetings went over the total.
SEC home favorites are 14-13 ATS.
Texas @ LSU (-4.5)
Texas (7-2, 4-2)
Texas won its last three games, 34-27/31-3/34-20.
Last six games, Texas is minus-6 in turnovers
Longhorns have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 15 career starts.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 3-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 20-25 ATS as an underdog.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 52-55-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 23-27-1 ATS in conference games.
Under is 5-3 in Longhorns’ last eight games.
LSU (6-3, 3-3)
LSU ran for less than 100 yards in three of last four games.
In their three losses, LSU allowed 32-35-31 points.
LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
LSU has 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Leavitt started 20 games at Arizona State.
LSU is 16-10-1 ATS last 27 games as a home favorite.
In his college career, Kiffin is 43-38-1 ATS as a home favorite.
LSU is 9-13 ATS in its last 21 SEC games.
In his college career, Kiffin is 60-55-3 ATS in conference games.
In his college career, Kiffin is 27-22 ATS in games coming off a loss.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
SEC home favorites are 14-13 ATS.
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State (-3.5)
Texas Tech (8-1, 5-1)
Texas Tech won last two games, scoring 34-53 points.
Tech’s only loss: 37-24 at Cincinnati.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Red Raiders have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Castellanos has thrown nine TD’s, only one INT.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 8-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 6-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Tech is 27-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Last three games, Tech gave up 427-429-582 total yards.
Seven of their last eight games went over the total.
Oklahoma State (6-3, 4-2)
OSU won six of last eight games, scoring 32+ points in all eight.
Cowboys threw for 300+ yards the last eight games.
Cowboys have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cowboys have 56 returning starts on OL, mostly transfers.
Soph QB Mestemaker started 14 games at North Texas.
Cowboys are 12-11 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Morris is 12-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Cowboys are 23-13 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Oklahoma State gained 499+ total yards in seven of last eight games.
Cowboys’ last six I-A games went over the total.
Last two years, Tech beat OSU, 42-0/56-48
Red Raiders covered five of last six visits to Stillwater
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Big X home favorites are 16-17 ATS.
Utah (-1.5) @ Arizona
Utah (9-0, 6-0)
Utah’s Big X wins were by 14-17-3-8-24-8 points.
Utah gained 409+ yards in eight of the nine games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Utah is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
Utah is 13-5 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Eight of their nine wins are by 8+ points.
Utes ran for 200+ yards in four of six Big X games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Arizona (7-2, 4-2)
Wildcats won last five games, all by 10+ points.
Arizona’s only loss was 28-17 at BYU.
Arizona has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Wildcats have 61 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Fifita has 23 career starts
Arizona is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 10-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Arizona is 11-14 ATS in its last 25 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 43-36-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 9-17 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Three of their last four games went over the total.
Arizona beat Utah last two years, 23-10/42-18
Utes are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Arizona.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Big X home underdogs are 7-5 ATS.
Last edited by Nicky; 18 hours ago.