It’s hard to imagine the Patriots being a 7-point underdog, especially at home in the second half of the season. But this isn’t the New England team of the last two decades with Tom Brady around to help carry the team through its injury woes. This is a subpar team that isn’t likely to put up much of a fight against a team as good as Baltimore is.

Baltimore is 13-5-1 ATS over its last 19 games.
New England is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games vs Baltimore.
The UNDER is 4-1 in New England’s last 5 home games.