This is how I'm playing swing state wagering. Obviously there's no handicapping or trends I can post. It's all about current polling and just a historical overview.
I'll put this out front for transparency, I'm a Trump supporter and I've been a State Delegate for Trump.
I've looked at this objectively and I have a few thoughts that will sum up how to make some money.
Pretty much it looks like it's going to come down to Pennsylvania on who wins the election. I don't have any scenario where the winner of Pennsylvania loses.
I've followed odds for weeks at Bovada, Everygame, Sportsbook and Betonline.
My action is spread amongst all four of these books based on odds offered. I'll just say in advance I have a lot of money invested in this and stand to win or lose quite a bit.
So here's my plays for you...... I'm not telling you to over bet but take a normal position.
AZ -320 at Sportsbook lines range to -400
GA -225 at Sportsbook lines range to -250
NC -205 at Betonline lines range to -230
PA -125 at Bovada lines range to -140
NV -160 at Bovada lines range to -175
For President Trump at Bovada -150 lines range to -160
With the President bet, you can do one of a few things, you can lay the line for him/Republican to win the President or you can just double up on PA at a lower price. The reason I say this goes back to my opener that PA is going to be the piece of the puzzle that will determine it all.
There is a prop I posted in another area regarding Trump and how many swing states he will win. At the time, I had a good inclination he could win them all. While I think it's still a possibility, I believe the right play would be to bet on 4 or 5 of the states.
WI and MI are potential issues right now. if you toss in PA, that leaves you at 4 but if PA goes to Trump then it's 5.
At 4 you get +500
At 5 you get +425
At 6 you get +500
That's the way I'd play it equal wager on the three gets you profit. | 
