Season Record 3-1 +170 Streak: Win 3
9/28/25 10:02 AM NFL Lines Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions Spread Detroit Lions 0 (-10) 9/28/25 1:05 PM NFL Lines Indianapolis Colts @ Los Angeles Rams Spread Indianapolis Colts +13.5 (+3.5) 9/28/25 1:25 PM NFL Lines Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Spread Kansas City Chiefs +12.5 (+2.5)
I looked at many different options for this week and normally I would post on Sunday but I think it's a good idea to lock this in early.
Detroit PK - All you need is a win by the Lions at home vs the Browns. Yes, I'm fully aware of what they did at HOME vs the Packers but let's address that for a moment. GB had the ball over 8.5 more minutes, they killed themselves with untimely penalties, 14 to be exact for 75 yards. Do you think if the Browns put up the same amount of total yards (221) at Detroit they stand a chance to win SU? GB had their bad game of the early season and they allowed CLV to hang around and they deserved to lose. It wasn't that CLV went crazy and scored 40 points, they had 13 all in the fourth qtr. I wouldn't even touch them at +20 as tempting as it sounds......... Detroit makes the most sense all around here.
IND +13.5.... Yes IND travels out west for a road game, but if you've ever paid attention to the crowds at LAC/LAR games, a huge amount is for the road team and not a big HF advantage. This game is basically a toss up between what I think are two even teams. A true neutral field has them at PK or -1 either way. Let's add into the devastating way LAR lost. Up 26-7 and they gave up 26 points in a row to lose 33-26. What makes this worse is they should've won. That blocked FG/Scoop and Score is really major blow to the psyche of the team. There will be a lingering effect. It's typically always negative and rarely positive.
Daniel Jones I'll give him credit, he has played like an MVP or at least Comeback Player of the Year, maybe both........ If Taylor can make his way to find room to run, I can see IND winning SU. I'll gladly take the 13.5 that will likely drop by Sunday.
KC +12.5 - Is BAL 13 points better than KC on the road? If your answer is NO, then this is an easy one. It's hard to fathom one of these teams will be 1-3 after this game barring a tie. Who needs the game more? KC does. BAL has a much easier path to win the AFC North than KC to win the AFC West right now. Unless something out of the norm happens, this will be a tight game in the 4th quarter. It might be even a last possession type game. These teams do not blow each other out and I'll take Mahomes and company plus the generous 12.5.........
See you at the cashiers cage!!!
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