***Betting based on Sagarin*** Bills -6.5 Rams +4.5 Bucs -7 (bought 1)
Since 2002, Wild Card teams with a higher Strength of Schedule (using Sagarin’s Ratings) went a remarkable 47-25 straight up and 47-22-3 ATS (68.5% winners) regardless of point spread and location.
Even more amazing is that teams with a SOS advantage of 10 or better went 29-7 SU, 28-6-2 ATS (82% winners). Apples to all 3 teams
Taking it step further, underdogs with a better SOS went 19-17 SU, 26-10 ATS (72% winners). Applies to Rams.
Wild Card Matchups (SOS) Indianapolis (32) at Buffalo (13) -6.5 LA Rams (10) +4.5 at Seattle (23) Tampa Bay (9) -8.5 at Washington (26) Baltimore (28) -3.5 at Tennessee (29) Chicago (22) at New Orleans (14) -9.5 Cleveland (31) at Pittsburgh (27) -4 |