NFL

Ravens-4

The Ravens are rolling along a four-game winning streak, and their offense is clicking with the second-highest EPA per play. I trust Lamar Jackson to take care of the offense and win the time-of-possession battle for a fifth consecutive game to extend the winning streak and cover the number. BOL2A

Baltimore Ravens -3 (-138) bought down 0.5 Pts

The Ravens have won the last five meetings between these two teams, most recently in week 8 of the 2022 season.
In the final season of Tom Brady, the Ravens beat the home team 27-22

The Ravens were 4.5-point favorites on the road, before reopening at -4 after last week’s games.
Bucs money quickly poured into the market, pushing the odds down to -3.5 on the Ravens at the start of the week, where they’ve remained.

The Ravens’ record against the NFC is well-publicized, with the Ravens proving two years ago that they can beat a much better Bucs defense.

Baltimore are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

The public betting has 74% on the BAL money line and 69% on BAL -3.5. I will go with the public on this game.