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Gopherman, NOHAIR
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Original Post (Thread Starter)
11/26 Bet The House #836981 11/18/2024 11:17 PM
by FREAK
FREAK

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Re: 11/26 Bet The House #839021 Nov 26th a 04:51 PM
by Flyball
Flyball
Ticket for today Champions League. 1st 2 matches starts in 1 hour.

AC Milan
Atletico Madrid (+0.5)
Manchester City

Odd together: -143
Stake: 2% (adjusted to odd to win 2%)


Both 3 teams are in desperate position and needs today all 3 points. Milan and Atletico are much better and much more valued teams. Even 10 to 30 times more valued then their opponents. Luckily not have too big absences. Milan without Morata is the biggest miss, but still there are a lot of great players at Milan and they should crush the Slovan Bratislava, which is the worst team this year in Champions League. 30 times less valued then Milan. Atletico have a tougher opponent. Sparta Praga in this part of Europe is great team. Very valued team for this part of Europe. They are not naive. That's why some draw could happens here. While they are missing a lot of their first starters. Atletico is ofcourse much stronger team, just Le Normand is some important absence today. They will for sure start game with their pace, cos they are stronger team and this European pace Sparta will hardly handle for the whole match. This is impossible against Diego Simeone. The joke is over. Atletico has 2 Wins and 2 Losts. Without all 3 points today, they will be in very bad positions even for wild card match to be part of seeded teams. What else to be top8 which this year qualifies directly in the knock-out phase.

And now about City. They have 5 losts in a row in all competitions together. For this 1.2 billions € worth team is such result a complete disgrace. Ofcourse this bad run have to stop at some point. Even with this bad run, they are still great team. Actually not all loses was deserved loses, they were mostly better team in the match. But ofcourse at the end only result matters. At home field I think they will be still the old good City team, which not afraid of anything. It's the opposite. Their opponents afraid of them to play on Manchester City stadium. Luckily City not have too big absences today. Yes Rodri and Ruben Dias are important players, but to be just 10th on the table. Not in Top8, this all alarms now bells at this club. Without all 3 points today, they will be in very hard position to qualify for top8 team. Their opponent, Feyenoord is not naive team, are actually good team. They have some good results this year in Champions League. But City is still too big opponent for them, also have bigger squad problems then the City. City despite of bad run, they usually take 3 points against such 5 or less valued teams. City have problems when playing with very good teams, like Tottenham and Sporting are. While Feyenoord is not in that range.
1 member likes this
Re: 11/26 Bet The House #839076 Nov 26th a 09:49 PM
by pickempete
pickempete
CFB
304 Akron/Toledo Over 49
On my spreadsheet I have a situation where the Over is 12-6 | 66.7% this year.
Play Akron/Toledo Over
1 member likes this
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