Home Forums Thread Like Summary - NFLX Systems’ Plays

I’ve researched a number of preseason systems based on results back to the 2021 season which was the first year that the NFL went to a 3-week preseason.

I then weighted the results such that each previous year’s results are worth 90% of the subsequent year. So, 2025’s are worth 1.0, 2024 0.9, 2023 0.81 and so on.

I will post and track the results here.

Play on Team off a Win by 20+ Points

SF/LAC +1’

5-year record is 14-6 (70%), weighted is 11.9-4.5 (72.6%).

It has gone 8-1 over the last two years.

Yes, they were the play. I got the +1.5 earlier in the week. But, a bad loss either way.

For Friday 8/21:

Play on Team off a Win by 20+ Points (0-1)

GB/DEN -6

5-year record is 14-6 (70%), weighted is 11.9-4.5 (72.6%).
It has gone 8-1 over the last two years.


If a Team Scored Less than 10 Pts then Play the Over in their Next Game (1-0)

This one hit last night with the LV/HOU over (but I didn’t post or play that one – bummer).

GB/DEN ov 41

5-year record is 21-14 (60%), weighted is 17.3-11.2 (60.6%)
It has gone 10-6 over the last two years.


Play on Away Team off a Double-Digit Loss (0-0-1)

This also applied to the Raiders last night, which I graded as a push as my primary book, BetOnline, went to LV -2 right before kick.

+6 GB/DEN

5-Year: 20-9 (69.0%) Weighted: 16.4-7.0 (70.0%) 7-1 last 2 years


Play on Team of S/U Loss if Dog of 3.5 or More

+6 GB/DEN

5-Year: 21-13 (61.8%) Weighted: 16.6-10.0 (62.3%) 6-3 last 2 years


So conflicting trends on the side in GB/DEN so I have not played anything on that game yet. I did play over 41.