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1st inning system 9/16/07
#116780 09/16/07 05:29 AM
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 103
Pittsburgh
JV Squad
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JV Squad
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 103
Pittsburgh
2-1 Saturday. Not a bad bounce back. Florida comes thru for those on method 2 and 3. Pitts in cold spell, they were the most consistent team all year with 99 games where a run was scored in the 1st inning. Hopefully they will get back on track.

Method 1 (Bet every game to win 1 unit) 2-1 yesterday (74-36 since 1st email on this system 8/7)


Detroit/ Twins YES score 1st inning to win 1 unit

Pitts/ Astros YES score 1st inning to win 1 unit

Florida/ Rockies YES score 1st inning to win 1 unit


Method 2 (Bet only after a team does not have run scored in previous game. Using original 1st inning wagering method 1 unit- 2 unit) 2-1 +2 units yesterday (22-2 since 1st email)

Pitts/ Houston YES score 1st inning to win 1 units

Method 3 (Use original 1-2-4 unit strategy--cover juice on any loss) 74-2 since 1st email on 8/7.

Detroit/ Twins YES score 1st inning to win 1 unit

Pitts/ Astros YES score 1st inning to win 4 units

Florida/ Rockies YES score 1st inning to win 1 unit


Lets make money and email me anytime.
Re: 1st inning system 9/16/07
Bookie Buster #116793 09/16/07 10:11 AM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,124
Likes: 2803
Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Time to play the Game
Question on Method 2. If Pittsburgh hasn't scored a run in the last 2 games, why would we bet them in Method 1, 2, and 3.

Also would the Method 2 bet be for more than 1 unit, and if not, why bet it twice for the same amount. If I am understanding this correctly.

We would be betting Pittsburgh in Method 1 for 1 unit, Method 2 for 1 unit and Method 3 to win 4 units.

So essentially we are betting x to cover at least 6 units plus juice lost. In my estimate it's at least to win 10 units on Sunday?

Or am I just fuxed up !!! LOL


A post a day and your access will stay!






Re: 1st inning system 9/16/07
FREAK #116837 09/16/07 06:51 PM
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 103
Pittsburgh
JV Squad
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JV Squad
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 103
Pittsburgh
You need to pick Just 1 Method to bet on not all 3.

Here is more info:

The first thing to do is pick a method you are comfortable with and also determine YOUR value of 1 unit.

Method 1-- simply bet 1 unit on each of the teams to score a run in the 1st inning for ALL of their games independently. For the season this method is 263-136 66%. Assuming each loss is at -125 juice, a $100 bettor is up $9300 ($26,300 - $17,000)

Method 2--you wait until any 1 of the 3 teams does not have a run scored in their previous game. The next game you bet to win 1 unit that there will be a run scored. If that losses, you bet to win 2 units plus any juice you lost on the previous game. You are looking to profit 1 unit. If the 1st or 2nd game wins, it is considered a system win. If both games lose you are down 3 units plus juice and it is considered a system loss. This system is for those who do not want to bet every game but still looking for consistent winners. Current streak for method 2 is at 29 straight winners since 7/19.

Method 3--You will wager on EVERY game for all 3 teams. We are looking to profit 1 full unit on every game these teams have at least 1 run scored in the 1st inning. In order to do this we apply a progressive betting strategy. Wager to win 1 unit game 1---if game 1 losses wager 2 units game 2---if game 2 losses bet 4 units game 3. IMPORTANT--you need to wager enough to cover juice on a previous loss (IE--game 1 losses at -130, you would bet to win 230 on game 2). This methods RESETS itself to a 1 unit wager after every win and after 3 losses in a row by any team. Each team is independent--meaning it does not matter the outcome of the other 2 teams or what time their game starts.
This system now has won 263 times profitting 1 unit and lost just 7 times for a 97.4% effective rate. A system loss is actually 7 units plus the juice on each loss which at an average of -125 per game is approx. 11 units. I will post an example series below. So we have 263 wins ytd and 7 losses at 11 units apiece for a total of 77 units lost. YTD profit (263-77) is 186 units. $100 unit bettor would be up $18,600 for the season.

Example series:
Game 1 goes off at -125 to win 100 and losses. Game 2 goes off at -125. You need to wager enough to cover game 1 and the $25 juice lost. You need to wager $282 to win $225. Game 2 losses. You are now down -125 from game 1 and -282 for game 2 for a total of $407. Game 3 goes off at -125. You need to wager $634 to win $507. If game 3 losses you are now down -125 (game 1)+ -282 (game 2) + -634 (game 3) for a total of -$1041. So a system loss of 3 games in a row would total appox. 11 units lost. A win in game 1, 2, or 3 should ALWAYS profit 1 full unit.


Lets make money and email me anytime.

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