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7/25 trends
#174495 07/25/09 04:59 PM
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Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

NY Mets at Houston

The Astros look to take advantage of a New York team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games as a road underdog.na
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 14.na (Gallardo) 14.na (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+125); Over
Game 959-960: San Diego at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 14.155; Washington (Martin) 13.198
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Under
Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 15.931; Arizona (Davis) 14.810
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Over
Game 963-964: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.341; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.436
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-160); Under
Game 965-966: Florida at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Vandenhurk) 15.123; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 16.319
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-1165); Over
Game 967-968: Oakland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.567; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 18.016
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-250); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-250); Over
Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.452; Toronto (Tallet) 14.928
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Over
Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.686; Detroit (Jackson) 15.610
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under
Game 973-974: Cleveland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 15.490; Seattle (Bedard) 14.860
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+165); Over
Game 975-976: Minnesota at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.273; LA Angels (Palmer) 16.105
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over
Game 977-978: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.940; Boston (Lester) 16.148
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-205); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-205); Under
Game 979-980: Texas at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 14.958; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.720
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105); Over


Re: 7/25 trends
K #174496 07/25/09 05:00 PM
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs.na
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. WASHINGTON
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. KANSAS CITY
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Kansas City
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

10:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. LA DODGERS
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games


Re: 7/25 trends
K #174497 07/25/09 05:00 PM
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Tommy Hanson (Atlanta Braves)

Think of the 22 year old’s recent, 10-day stint down in the Single-A Carolina League like taking a high performance car into the shop: a powerful engine sometimes needs a tuneup.

After racking up a record of 4-0 in his first six games, Hanson (5-0, 3.00 ERA) struggled in a 7-6 loss to Colorado, prompting a procedural move to demote him and help the team adjust its roster and add another reliever. During the time in the minors he faced no batters, but worked off the mound with pitching coach Roger McDowell at Turner Field.

And the move has helped Hanson get his mojo back. In his most recent start, an 11-3 win over San Francisco, he allowed just three runs on five hits over seven innings and struck out 11 batters.

"I think this is the best my arm's felt," Hanson told the Associated Press. "I felt like I was running out of gas but I wanted to battle through. I always want to stay in the game."

Edwin Jackson (Detroit Tigers)

The right-hander appears to finally be reaching his potential. The 25 year old entered the season with opponents batting better than .271 BA against him in more than 100 games. But as he's improved his command, his numbers have gotten dramatically better. Opponents are batting a miniscule .212 BA against him this year and Jackson is third in the AL with a 1.08 WHIP (walks + hits over innings pitched).

Jackson has yielded three or fewer earned runs in every start since May 5, including just six total in 20.1 innings this month. In his most recent outing, a 2-1 loss to the Yankees, Jackson went seven innings, allowing only a pair of solo home runs.

"Strikeouts will come, but you want quick outs all the time," Jackson told the Associated Press. "You have to pitch to contact."


Slumping

J.D. Martin (Washington Nationals)

The best news Martin had to take away from his first career start last week, was that there's plenty of room for improvement.

The 26 year old was hammered in his major league debut, yielding five runs on eight hits over just four innings. On the plus side, he did record his first major league strikeout. But only one.

The light-hitting Padres aren’t as talented as his first opponent – the Mets – but let’s just try to see if Martin can make it past the fourth.

"My cutter was spinning a little bit," Martin told the Washington Times. "But besides that, besides my balls being up a little bit, I felt OK.”

Gio Gonzalez (Oakland Athletics)

Things can’t get a whole lot worse for the left-hander.

The 23 year old was pitching so poorly that when he was demoted to the bullpen, yielding a run in only one inning was enough to get him put back in the rotation. But he should have stayed with the relievers.

Gonzalez (1-2, 9.33) was tagged for 11 earned runs on 11 hits in just 2 2-3 innings against the Twins. During that debacle, he also gave up four home runs and walked four.


Re: 7/25 trends
K #174506 07/25/09 06:11 PM
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Time to play the Game
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Time to play the Game
CINCINNATI (44 - 51) at CHICAGO CUBS (49 - 45) - 1:05 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs.na (48 - 48) - 7:05 PM
TOMMY HANSON (R) vs.na is 37-27 (+9.na is 9-16 (-13.na is 15-26 (-14.na is 2-2 (+0.na since 1997
HANSON is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 9.na HOCHEVAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.na HOCHEVAR vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.


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Re: 7/25 trends
FREAK #174507 07/25/09 06:11 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,209
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Time to play the Game
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Time to play the Game
National League

CINCINNATI at CHICAGO CUBS, 1:05 PM ET
CUETO: CIN 75-97 vs.na, 7:05 PM ET
HANSON: ATL 2-14 Away after scoring 9+ runs
GALLARDO: MIL 15-5 Under playing with double revenge

SAN DIEGO at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
STAUFFER: SD 4-17 in July
MARTIN: WAS 5-15 revenging loss as home favorite

PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA, 8:10 PM ET
OHLENDORF: 8-1 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
DAVIS: 5-15 TSR this season

SAN FRANCISCO at COLORADO, 8:10 PM ET MLB
SANCHEZ: SF 19-2 Under after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
DE LA ROSA: COL 23-9 revenging BB home losses

FLORIDA at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
VANDENHURK: FLA 6-2 at LA Dodgers
KURODA: 1-6 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200

American League

OAKLAND at NY YANKEES, 1:05 PM ET
GONZALEZ: OAK 67-36 Under off an Over
PETTITTE: NYY 14-0 at home after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games

TAMPA BAY at TORONTO, 1:07 PM ET
PRICE: TB 35-14 if bullpen allowed no runs last game
TALLET: TOR 12-18 after scoring 2 runs or less

CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT, 4:10 PM ET FOX
FLOYD: 12-3 TSR off BB team losses
JACKSON: DET 14-4 Under in July

CLEVELAND at SEATTLE, 4:10 PM ET
SOWERS: 2-17 TSR as road underdog
BEDARD: SEA 4-23 after allowing 9+ runs

MINNESOTA at LA ANGELS, 4:10 PM ET FOX
BLACKBURN: 11-1 TSR off BB team losses
PALMER: LAA 15-4 Over in July

BALTIMORE at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
GUTHRIE: BAL 3-19 as an underdog of +150 or more
LESTER: 24-5 TSR as home favorite

TEXAS at KANSAS CITY, 7:10 PM ET
HOLLAND: TEX 17-5 Under after scoring 2 runs or less
HOCHEVAR: KC 0-14 off BB games w/ 1 or less extra base hits


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