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St Mary's/Baylor Preview 3/26
#199384 03/26/10 08:32 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,243
Cleveland, Ohio
yoder12 Offline OP
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Saint Mary's-CA (28-5) vs.na.

The Gaels continued their solid play in a second-round meeting against Villanova, as Saint Mary's upended the second seed in the South Region by a seven-point margin. The Gaels shot a solid 50.0 percent from the floor and connected on 20-of-26 attempts from the foul line. Once again the team relied on the inside presence of Omar Samhan, who poured in 32 points, to go along with seven rebounds. The backcourt tandem of Mickey McConnell and Matthew Dellavedova also got involved, as McConnell tallied 15 points, while Dellavedova posted 14 points. Samhan, who has dominated in the two tournament matchups, is currently pacing the Gaels with 21.5 ppg, 10.9 rpg and 97 blocks. McConnell has been a tremendous floor general throughout the season, and comes into this contest averaging 14.0 ppg, to go along with a team-high 172 assists. Dellavedova has distributed 146 assists on the season and is netting 12.3 ppg for Saint Mary's, which as a whole is producing an impressive 79.4 ppg. The Gaels are shooting a respectable 48.8 percent from the floor on the year, and come into this matchup netting an outstanding 41.1 percent from behind the arc.

Baylor led by as many as 14 points in the first half against Old Dominion, and never looked back, as the Bears defeated the Monarchs in second-round action by an eight-point margin. LaceDarius Dunn overcame six turnovers by pouring in 26 points, to go along with six rebounds. Josh Lomers added 14 points and eight rebounds, while Tweety Carter dished out eight assists, to go along with 12 points. Dunn is clearly the best scoring option for Baylor, as the guard is averaging an impressive 19.4 ppg. Dunn has been very dangerous from behind the arc throughout the season and is netting 42.0 percent of his attempts from long range. Carter has been a tremendous floor general, as the guard has distributed a team-best 181 assists, to go along with a 15.1 ppg.Taking control of the play in the paint has been Ekpe Udoh, who is posting 13.9 ppg, to go along with team highs in rebounds (9.7 rpg) and blocks (128). As a whole, the Bears are producing a respectable 77.3 ppg, behind an equally impressive 48.9 percent shooting effort.

The Gaels have put forth a tremendous effort in this tournament, and they should play well again this evening. However, the Bears are simply too tough, and should move into the next round in a hard-fought battle.

Predicted Outcome: Baylor 77, Saint Mary's-CA 74

Re: St Mary's/Baylor Preview 3/26
yoder12 #199385 03/26/10 08:32 PM
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Cleveland, Ohio
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Overall Team Offense

The Baylor Bears are ranked 11 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 48.4% while attempting 56.2 shots per game. The Bears shooting percentages include 73.1% for free throw percentage and 38.2% for three point percentage so far this season.

The St. Mary's Gaels are ranked
10 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 48.4% while attempting 57.5 shots per game. The Gaels shooting percentages include 76.3% for free throw percentage and 41.0% for three point percentage so far this season.

Home and Away

The Baylor Bears are 15-1 at home this season, and 12-6 against 15-1 opponents.

At home the Bears are averaging 79.9 scoring, and holding teams to 63.1 points scored on defense.

The St. Mary's Gaels are 8-2 while on the road this season, 13-3 against conference opponents, and 15-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Gaels are averaging 76.0 scoring, and holding teams to 69.1 points scored on defense.

Re: St Mary's/Baylor Preview 3/26
yoder12 #199386 03/26/10 08:32 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,243
Cleveland, Ohio
yoder12 Offline OP
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Trends - No. 10 St. Mary's vs No. 3 Baylor

ATS Trends

St. Mary's

Gaels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Gaels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Gaels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Gaels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Gaels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Gaels are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Gaels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Gaels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Gaels are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as an underdog.


Baylor

Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Bears are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Friday games.


OU Trends

St. Mary's

Over is 4-0-1 in Gaels last 5 Friday games.
Under is 5-1 in Gaels last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.
Under is 8-2 in Gaels last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 9-3 in Gaels last 12 overall.
Over is 19-7 in Gaels last 26 non-conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Gaels last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 10-4-1 in Gaels last 15 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.


Baylor

Over is 6-0 in Bears last 6 Friday games.
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 11-1 in Bears last 12 games following a ATS win.
Over is 14-2 in Bears last 16 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 16-5 in Bears last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 non-conference games.


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