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Northern Iowa/Michigan St. Preview 3/26
#199387 03/26/10 08:33 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,243
Cleveland, Ohio
yoder12 Offline OP
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Northern Iowa (30-4) vs. Michigan State (26-8)



Friday, March 26th, 9:37 p.m. (et)


FACTS & STATS: Site: Edward Jones Dome (39,647) -- St. Louis, Missouri. Television: CBS. NCAA Tournament Record: UNI 3-5, MSU 50-22. Series Record: First-ever meeting.

GAME NOTES: Making their first-ever Sweet 16 appearance, the ninth-seeded Northern Iowa Panthers take on the fifth-seeded Michigan State Spartans tonight in the NCAA Tournament's Midwest Regional at the Edward Jones Dome. The victor will move on to the regional finals on Sunday against the winner of the Ohio State/Tennessee matchup.

The Panthers shook up the NCAA Tournament last Saturday, as they knocked off the No.1 overall seed in the event with a 69-67 decision over Kansas on Saturday. UNI, which pulled out a late 69-66 win over UNLV in the first round, hadn't won an NCAA Tournament game in 20 years prior to this year's run. The Panthers, carrying their highest seed ever in this event, have now won a school-record 30 games on their way to the program's first-ever Sweet 16 appearance.

The Spartans meanwhile, are in familiar territory, as they are appearing in the Sweet 16 for the ninth time in 13 seasons. MSU is 6-2 in the Sweet 16 under head coach Tom Izzo and that includes wins in six of its last seven bouts in this round. Getting to this stage wasn't easy however, as the Spartans had to hold off 12th-seeded New Mexico State (70-67) in the first round before pulling out a dramatic 85-83 win over fourth-seeded Maryland on Sunday.

Tonight's game marks the first-ever meeting between MSU and UNI on the hardwood.

Timely shooting and tough defense lifted UNI to the major upset of Kansas, as the Panther drained nine three-pointers and limited the Jayhawks' potent attack to just 67 points in the win. With the Panthers hanging onto a one- point lead, Ali Farokhmanesh calmly drained a three-pointer with 35 seconds left to prevent a comeback, while UNI forced 15 Kansas turnovers. Farokhmanesh, who finished with 16 points, has proven too be one of the most clutch shooters in the tourney, as he also hit the game-winning trey with 4.9 seconds remaining against UNLV in the first round. Jordan Eglseder added 14 points and five boards in the win over Kansas, and the seven-foot center paces UNI with 12.0 ppg and 7.3 rpg for the season. Adam Koch and Kwadzo Ahelegbe check in with 11.6 and 10.6 ppg, respectively, for UNI, which ranks second in the nation in scoring defense (55.0 ppg).

Replacing injured star Kalin Lucas, Korie Lucious drained a three-pointer at the buzzer, giving the Spartans a dramatic 85-83 win over Maryland. Lucious took over after Lucas went down with a foot injury and he finished with 13 points for MSU, which had blown a 16-point second-half advantage. Unfortunately, the win was bittersweet, as Lucas has a ruptured Achilles tendon in his left foot and will miss the remainder of the tournament. That is not only a big loss due to the fact Lucas leads the team in scoring (14.8 ppg) and assists (4.0 apg), but because he is also the team's leader. Durrell Summers is one player who will be asked to pick up the slack and he did so against Maryland, matching his career-high with 26 points. He had 40 points through the first two rounds and is now averaging 10.7 ppg for the season. With Lucas out, that leaves Raymar Morgan as the team's top scorer at 11.6 ppg, and he had 17 points and nine boards in the win over Maryland. Draymond Green, a reserve that can do it all, should also see an increase in time and he turns in 9.8 ppg, 8.1 rpg and 3.1 apg for the season.

The Spartans are going to be without their top player, so that obviously hurts and gives the Panthers an even better chance. Still, MSU matches up pretty well with UNI and should prevail late in what will likely be a defensive battle tonight.

Predicted Outcome: Michigan State 65, Northern Iowa 62

Re: Northern Iowa/Michigan St. Preview 3/26
yoder12 #199388 03/26/10 08:33 PM
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Overall Team Offense

The Michigan St Spartans are ranked 22 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 47.3% while attempting 56.8 shots per game. The Spartans shooting percentages include 68.4% for free throw percentage and 34.3% for three point percentage so far this season.

The Northern Iowa Panthers are ranked 182 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 43.0% while attempting 49.9 shots per game. The Panthers shooting percentages include 76.1% for free throw percentage and 35.6% for three point percentage so far this season.


Home and Away


The Michigan St Spartans are 15-2 at home this season, and 14-5 against 12-3 opponents.

At home the Spartans are averaging 74.2 scoring, and holding teams to 61.9 points scored on defense.

The Northern Iowa Panthers are 9-3 while on the road this season, 18-3 against conference opponents, and 12-1 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Panthers are averaging 60.1 scoring, and holding teams to 54.5 points scored on defense.

Re: Northern Iowa/Michigan St. Preview 3/26
yoder12 #199389 03/26/10 08:34 PM
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Trends - No. 9 Northern Iowa vs No. 5 Michigan St

ATS Trends

Northern Iowa

Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Panthers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Panthers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Panthers are 54-24 ATS in their last 78 games as an underdog.
Panthers are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games overall.
Panthers are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.


Michigan St

Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Spartans are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Spartans are 21-6-2 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games.
Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Missouri Valley.
Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Spartans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Spartans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.


OU Trends

Northern Iowa

Under is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Under is 11-1 in Panthers last 12 neutral site games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 non-conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 9-3 in Panthers last 12 Friday games.
Under is 21-7 in Panthers last 28 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 20-7 in Panthers last 27 neutral site games.
Under is 21-8 in Panthers last 29 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Panthers last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 37-16-1 in Panthers last 54 games as an underdog.


Michigan St

Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 vs. Missouri Valley.
Over is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 neutral site games.
Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 Friday games.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.
Over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 games following a ATS win.


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