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Final Four Betting Trends & Notes

The Final Four teams in the 2010 NCAA Basketball Tournament might not be the exact grouping that you or I had projected, but nonetheless, there is plenty of drama and intrgiue concerning the matchups.na in ’04 semifinals.na)
• #2 Seeds are 1-7 ATS off a DD ATS win (West Virginia)
• Teams off BB SU dog wins are 2-8 ATS (Butler)
• ACC teams are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS since 2002 (Duke)
• Big East teams are 0-3 ATS since 2004 (West Virginia)
• Teams with the greater win percentage are 8-2 ATS L5Y (Butler and Duke)
• Returnees from last year in this round are 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS (Michigan St)

CHAMPIONSHIP NOTES

• #1 Seed favs are 6-1 ATS
• #2 Seeds are 0-5 ATS off an ATS win
• #5 or worse Seeds are 0-3 SU & ATS
• Favorites of 5 < pts are 10-1 ATS
• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final 4 round are 4-1 ATS
• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 0-4 SU & ATS
• Teams off 5 straight Tourney ATS wins are 4-1 ATS
• Teams that have scored the most points in the tourney are 14-5 SU and 12-7 ATS
• Underdogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 1-5 ATS
• Big East teams are 3-0 ATS
• ACC teams are 9-2 ATS
• Big 10 teams are 1-6 ATS

COACH ME UP

• Butler’s Brad Stevens: 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS as an NCAA tourney favorite… 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS versus Big 10 opponents… 41-2 SU at home, including 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS versus Big 10 opponents.na’s Mike Krzyzewski: 39-4 SU versus .750 or less opponents and 14-11 SU versus greater than .750 foes, including 7-12-1 ATS as a favorite in this tourney… 5-1 SU and 4-2 in Final Four games and 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in NCAA championship games.

• Michigan State’s Tom Izzo: 10-0 SU and 6-4 ATS versus Horizon League competition… 21-5 ATS versus opponent off SU and ATS win in this tourney… 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS in Final Four and 1-1 SU and ATS in championship games in this event.

• West Virginia’s Bob Huggins: 9-7 SU and ATS versus ACC opposition, including 3-1 SU and ATS in this tourney… 1-5 ATS as a dog in this tourney… 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS versus .718 or less opponents –but- 8-13 SU and 6-15 ATS versus .724 or greater foes in this tourney.

There you have it, trends and notes of teams and coaches for the NCAA Final Four and out games played the last 20 years. I hope you’ve enjoyed the tournament as much as I have. I’ll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends. Until then, enjoy the rest of the ‘Dance’.

Duke entices early bettors in Final Four

Butler favored to beat Michigan State, face Duke or West Virginia in championship game

Duke is college basketball's closest equivalent to the New York Yankees.na is nothing short of revered.na already is drawing that kind of support this week at the Hilton, where the majority of the early money has come in on the Blue Devils as 2.na.na or West Virginia, they are going to take Duke seven times out of 10," Seba said.na game will be Saturday's second semifinal, following the early game between Butler and Michigan State.na-bias, well, Seba doesn't have one.na game); total three-point shots made (over/under 11.na game); and a handful of player props.

Sherman said he remembered some of the free-throw props being popular during last year's Final Four. This year the Hilton posted a prop asking gamblers whether or not Michigan State's Durrell Summers would miss a free-throw in the game against Butler.

The "yes" is at a price of +140 (risking $1 to win $1.40) and the "no" is at -160 (risking $1.60 to win $1). Summers is an 80 percent free-throw shooter and averages about two per game.

"There will be a lot of ooh-ing and aah-ing whenever he gets to the free-throw line," Sherman said. "People like stuff with the names they recognize."

NCAAB WRITE-UP


Final Four games

Butler is at home; its only six miles from Hinkle Fieldhouse to Lucas Oil Stadium, but Michigan State won a national title in Indy in 2000, so Izzo probably feels at home too.na is in first Final Four since '04; Huggins is in first one since '92 with Cincinnati.na 73-67 in second round game back in '08, when Duke was #2 seed, WVa #7.na played 4th-hardest schedule, WVa faced the #2 schedule, so both team are battle-tested.na is 2-1 vs Big East teams, losing at Georgetown by 12, beating St John's (80-71), UConn (68-59). Duke is on 8-game win streak, Mountaineers won last 10 (were an underdog in three of the ten) games. In its seven postseason games, West Virginia is allowing an average of just 55.9 ppg. Darryl Bryant not expected to be in lineup (foot) but Mountaineers beat Kentucky without him.

What bettors need to know

Michigan State vs.na rode a 31-game surge at the time.na

West Virginia Mountaineers vs.na Blue Devils (-2.na coach Mike Krzyzewski.na’s own Jon Scheyer.na team with any of the most talented Krzyzewski has ever coached, but these Blue Devils are not relying on basketball skills alone to get the job done.na’s past three NCAA victories.na has held three of its four NCAA Tournament opponents to fewer than 60 points (Baylor scored 71). The Blue Devils have not allowed more than 74 points since giving up 89 to Georgetown on January 30.na dispatched the Huskies 68-59, beat St.na (15-22 O/U). The under is 7-1 in WVU’s last eight overall and 4-1 in Duke’s last five overall.