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I know it shouldn't bother me but these are the WNBA loses that really piss me off, they were covering literally the whole game--it was 61-61 and it's now 61-77 with 20 seconds to go.

I always find it difficult to find motivation the next day after a loss like this, might just take the weekend off.

I gotta stop following these online and just look at the score the next morning.

:blah: :blah: ok I'm through with my little temper tantrum, lets get back to winning some money.

ytd 1-2, -1.2

May 22nd, 2010

San Antonio Silver Stars pk -106 over Los Angeles Sparks

I think this line is a combination of LA getting a little too much respect and SA not getting enough. These two teams always seem to play each other close and I expect tonight will be a grind as well, but in the end SA has home court and a few more weapons on offense than LA does. Silver Stars win this by 4-6 points.

lets get back on the winning track!

gl

ytd 2-2 -0.2 units

Nice win with SA last night although they almost blew it in the 4th which may have caused me to go postal but luckily they came through with an 88-81 victory.

4 games on the schedule today but I don't have a play. Not sure what to expect from Washington @ Connecticut- Washington's bubble is going to burst eventually and it will probably be today but I can't in any way justify laying -3 with Connecticut.

Atlanta @ New York is another interesting matchup, Atlanta certainly has played very well so far this season but there is something about the home court that NY has that makes this a pass for me.

Chicago @ Indiana is a return match from their OT game last night, I am tempted to take Indiana -4 for the 1st half as I think they are starting to put it together but again it's way too early in the season to force a play :)

Tulsa @ Minnesota should be an up and down game as they played to 154 points in Tulsa last week, there is no question that Minnesota is the better team but laying 7 on them is not a situation I want to be in, especially in the WNBA where 4th Quarter 'collapses' happen too frequently especially with the bigger spreads...

so it seems I'll be on the Sidelines this sunday, no games on Monday then 2 on Tuesday night.

I can't resist this 2nd half play, it could be a major trap but at home I have to believe Indiana wins this game.

Indiana Fever -6 -105 over Chicago Sky (2nd half)

gl!

Nice win with Indiana yesterday.

Since 2H have such a small time window I'm going to keep that record separate.

PG = 2-2, -0.2
2H = 1-0, +1.0

ytd 3-2, +0.8 units


2 games on Tuesday, looking at my first total play.

ytd 3-2 +0.8 units

May 25th, 2010

Washington Mystics/Seattle Storm OVER 143 -107 {1 Unit}

This line opened at 147 and has been dropping ever since, doubt it will fall much more than this, think we see upwards of 150 scored tonight. Looking to get 78-80 posessions with about a combined 93% efficency and we'll get this over... just have to hope Washington doesn't throw up a < 10 point Q..

gl!

Nice win last night, took a large 4thQ but both teams did as I wanted and a total of 158 was scored.

ytd 4-2 +1.8

no games today but looking at the 2 tomorrow, right now Minnesota is getting 6.5 @ Connecticut, I think they may win that one straight up, still have a few stats to review before I pull the trigger there

in the other game Seattle is giving 3.5 @ Chicago, what is interesting here is Seattle play at home last night and now travels east to start their road trip, this has been a huge letdown spot for them before and I think it will be again, going to let the line move but looking at a play on Chicago just because of the travel spot Seattle is in...

I haven't made any official plays yet but will post when I do

ytd 4-2 +1.8

May 27th, 2010

Minnesota +6 -109 over Connecticut

Quite disappointed I missed +6.5 with Minnesota although I don't think I'll need any points tonight, also missed +4 with Chicago and don't feel confident enough to take them at +2.5 so only 1 play tonight, hopefully Minnesota comes through.

gl!

ytd 4-3 +0.71

Total embarrassment last night, Minnesota's defense is way worse than I had originally thought, Connecticut's Efficiency was 125% last night, that's the highest showing of any team, 13% higher than when Phoenix scored 110 points against Tulsa.. Best thing to do is forget about last night and move onto tonight

May 28th, 2010

Washington/LA UNDER 151.5 -103

I have this line between 143 and 145 so I think there is enough value to take the under, I really don't think LA will push the pace tonight and Washington should be more than happy to slow it down, figuring about 32 per quarter which allows for a 50+ point 4Q and we can still nab this under.. lets get it

gl

2H

San Antonio -5 -110 over NY

Think this is a very good bet, still think SA can cover the 6.5 game spread so getting them -2 is a sweet deal ;)

gl

ytd 4-5 -1.42

Bad 0-2 day yesterday but I really don't feel either loss was a "bad play". San Antonio had their chances to beat NY but couldn't grab a defensive rebound to save their life as they were at <40% rebounding..

The loss on the Washington/LA under was a hard one as the tempo was slow- both teams only got 74 possessions but LA shot the ball much better than I expected them to (effective was over 52%).. even with that the game only went over by 6 points and it's the 48 point 3Q to blame for that.

in the end a loss is a loss, the goal is to learn something from each loss and move on.

2 games today but no feeling on either so I'll pass today and look ahead to Sunday.

ytd 4-5 -1.42

San Antonio -1.5 -104 over Seattle

Perhaps I'm over-valuing San Antonio early in the season but at home I think they can take care of Seattle today.

gl

down 32 in the 3rdQ.... yeah I'd say I've over-valued San Antonio quite a bit!

only thing I can do at this point is laugh, erase it from memory and come back strong in June!

ytd 4-6 -2.46

LA Sparks +5.5 -102 over Phoenix

To be honest I think LA is going to win SU tonight but taking the points as I think it will be very similar to their first game of the season where Phx hit 2 ft's with under 2 seconds to go to win the game by 1-- it'll be decided late so I'm taking the points

gl

adding:

LA Sparks +1.5 -109 over Phoenix 1st Quarter

So technically this becomes the first 2 unit play of the season but I'm okay with that, I think 1Q's are something I'm going to focus on more this season, (hopefully) there will be some value there.

LA is 4-1 in 1stQ's this season while Phoenix is 1-3-1 SU (1-4 spread) and 0-3 at home, I think just like opening night LA came come out with a strong start and have the lead at the end of the 1stQ.

gl!

Very nice double win last night, it's such a confidence boost to have a game go exactly how I thought it would, LA missed a shot with 3 seconds left that would have won it, they went back and forth all game and it was actually a very well played game.

Hopefully this is the start of a big winning streak, I could certainly use one.. back in a little while with today's plays.

ytd 6-6 -0.46

Washington Mystics -0.5, -120 over Atlanta 1ST QUARTER

Atlanta has come back down to earth after their amazing 6-0 start losing a road game at Seattle and then a pitiful showing last night at home against Chicago, now they are back on the road in Washington.

If we take an in depth look at Atlanta we see their 6-0 start was a bit of a smoke and mirrors act, they are 3-5 in the 1Q,3Q & 4Q this season with the 2Q being their strong at 5-2-1

I'm counting too on the travel factor tonight as Washington has been at home and waiting while Atlanta has gone from Seattle back home and now to Washington, I expect another slow start from Atlanta and hopefully Lindsay Harding doesn't turn it over 10 times in the 1st and when the smoke clears Washington will have the lead.

gl

2nd half play:

Tulsa Shock +2.5 -105 over Chicago 2ND HALF

think this should be a pk for the 2H, I think Tulsa will win the 4thQ and end up covering the 2H line

gl

Ugh. It appears the 2H system needs some work, 12-0 run to start the 4th by Chicago erases a solid 3Q effort by Tulsa.

Nice win with the Washington 1Q, took a 5-0 run in the last 2 minutes to get it but still a good sign for the rest of the season.

Couple games tomorrow pretty sure I'll have at least 1 play.

ytd 7-7 -0.51

ytd 7-7 -0.51

Connecticut Sun -3.5 -109 over San Antonio 1ST HALF

No Becky Hammon, no chance for San Antonio, Connecticut has sputtered in the 1stQ at home this season (2-2) so I prefer to play them first half, they should be up by 8 at halftime.

gl