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 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
138TH KENTUCKY DERBY
PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS 1 Daddy Long Legs Colm O'Donoghue Aidan O'Brien 30-1 2 Optimizer Jon Court D.na 50-1 3 Take Charge Indy Calvin Borel Pat Byrne 15-1 4 Union Rags Julien Leparoux Michael Matz 9-2 5 Dullahan Kent Desormeaux Dale Romans 8-1 6 Bodemeister Mike Smith Bob Baffert 4-1 7 Rousing Sermon Jose Lezcano Jerry Hollendorfer 50-1 8 Creative Cause Joel Rosario Mike Harrington 12-1 9 Trinniberg Willie Martinez Bisnath Parboo 50-1 10 Daddy Nose Best Garrett Gomez Steve Asmussen 15-1 11 Alpha Rajiv Maragh Kiaran McLaughlin 15-1 12 Prospective Luis Contreras Mark Casse 30-1 13 Went the Day Well John Velazquez Graham Motion 20-1 14 Hansen Ramon Dominguez Mike Maker 10-1 15 Gemologist Javier Castellano Todd Pletcher 6-1 16 El Padrino Rafael Bejarano Todd Pletcher 20-1 17 Done Talking Sheldon Russell Hamilton Smith 50-1 18 Sabercat Corey Nakatani Steve Asmussen 30-1 19 I'll Have Another Mario Gutierrez Doug O'Neill 12-1 20 Liaison Martin Garcia Bob Baffert 50-1
Also-Eligible: My Adonis Elvis Trujillo Kelly Breen
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
James Scully
My strategy is simple: I'll Have Another is my top pick, but I will play both I'll Have Another and Creative Cause to win, keying each one on top in the exotics. In the trifecta, Union Rags will be included in second spot with 10 horses on the bottom.
$100 bankroll:
$25 win 19 (I'll Have Another)
$25 win 8 (Creative Cause)
$1 Exacta part-wheel: 8,19 over 3,4,5,6,8,10,11,14,15,19 ($18)
$1 Trifecta part-wheel: 8,19 with 4,8,19 with 3,4,5,6,8,10,11,14,15,19 ($32)
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
KY Derby Past Performances Brisnet(FREE) KY Derby Brisnet PP
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
KY Derby PP's Daily Racing Form (FREE) DRF KY DERBY PP
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,589 Omaha, Nebraska
2012 Bad Man Champion
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2012 Bad Man Champion
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,589 Omaha, Nebraska |
My synopsis on the Derby.
Kentucky Derby #138...Post time 5:24 cst on the 1st Saturday of May. They say that "The winner comes out of the Wood". Today is no exception. My top pick is Gemologist, unbeaten in 5 races and last 4 on dirt. Finished 1st in both tries on the same track last fall. This horse knows how to win. Beyers improving each and every race. Has the stamina to get the job done. I'll go with Daddy Nose Best for 2nd. One of only 4 horses with a 100 or more Beyer. Although I'm not a fan of him coming out of Sunland, (sorry Mine that Bird), he did race at Churchill last fall and won. This horse is a jouneyman that is peaking right now. Doesn't suck to have the best jockey aboard either. Union Rags did not give his best effort in the Florida Derby. I'm thinking Matz just wanted to keep him fresh and not use him up. Got beat by a head to Hansen in the Juvenile last fall at this same track. Wouldn't be surprised if this horse wins it. Other horses I'm considering for nice prices are, Alpha (who ran 2nd to Gemologist), Creative Cause, who finished 3rd to Hansen and Union Rags in the Juvenile. Has registered a 102 Beyer 2 races back and lost by a nose to I'll Have Another in the San Anita Derby. I'll also try Sabercat, who might catch them all deep in the stretch.
1st Gemologist 2nd Daddy Nose Best 3rd Union Rags 4th Alpha 5th Creative Cause 6th Sabercat
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Jim Hurley Churchill Downs race 1: 5-2-3 race 2: 1-10-7-6 race 3: 5-10-7-2 race 4: 4-8-12-10 race 5: 6-3-10-9 race 6: 10-4-2-7 race 7: 6-4-5-3 race 8: 3-5-4-7 race 9: 3-6-7-8 race 10: 2-4-67 race 11: 11-4-16-6 race 12: 10-5-3-1 race 13: 5-1-3-8
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
Ats Lock Club Churchill Downs race 1: 5-2-3-1 race 2: 4-6-10-7 race 3: 2-3-7-10 race 4: 10-5-8-4 race 5: 3-6-10-9 race 6: 2-4-10-11 race 7: 4-6-5-1 race 8: 7-9-5-4 race 9: 3-1-7-8 race 10: 4-5-8-2 race 11: 3-10-6-4-8 race 12: 3-2-5-1 race 13: 3-4-1-10
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
Marilyn Toney -Churchill
Race 1
# 2 - Atigun # 3 - Afford # 1 - Point Taken # 5 - Politicallycorrect
Race 2
# 7 - Speargun # 10 - Vasten # 5 - Easy Vice # 2 - Big Ring
Race 3
# 10 - Windsurfer # 5 - Golden Ticket # 7 - Z Dager # 6 - Scorcher
Race 4
# 8 - Souper Spectacular # 5 - Vertiformer # 9 - Derby Kitten # 10 - Crimson China
Race 5
# 3 - Mile High Magic # 6 - Thermal Cat # 11 - Jimmer # 12 - Jagati
Race 6
# 4 - Bridgetown # 2 - Great Attack # 11 - Chamberlain Bridge # 10 - Great Mills
Race 7
# 6 - Amazombie # 1 - Smiling Tiger # 4 - Shackleford # 7 - Gantry
Race 8
# 9 - La Reine Lionne # 7 - Aruna # 4 - Tapitsfly # 3 - Maketing Mix
Race 9
# 6 - Groupie Doll # 1 - Magical Feeling # 7 - Switch # 8 - Musical Romance
Race 10
# 9 - Al Khali # 8 - Turbo Compressor # 1 - Little Mike # 2 - Turallure
Race 11
# 8 - Creative Cause # 6 - Bodemeister # 14 - Hansen # 4 - Union Rags
Race 12
# 5 - De Price # 2 - Bet the Power # 7 - Night Vision # 3 - Shrill
Race 13
# 1 - Dynamical # 5 - Parabellum # 4 - Z Camelot # 8 - Flapsup
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 Re: 2012 KY Derby
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 283,689 Likes: 3203 Time to play the Game |
Jill Byrne - Churchill
Race 11 – JILL'S SELECTIONS – 4-15-3-6-10
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