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2/27 Statistical Advantages #472535 02/25/20 03:15 AM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game	Welcome to Statistical Advantages at Freaks Forum Here are other areas of the forum to take part in. Click the link to take you there. Bet The Housefont> <--Your predictions on today’s card. The Paid Professionalsfont> <-- Selections from Paid Handicappers. Free Service Playsfont> <-- Free Selections from Various Handicappers. Selection Centralfont> <-- Your season long betting threads. Can you beat the numbers? Get off the sidelines and into the action. Become a member today Click Here FREAK A post a day and your access will stay!

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Re: 2/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #472913 02/27/20 06:35 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game	NEW YORK (17 - 41) at PHILADELPHIA (36 - 23) - 2/27/2020, 7:05 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. Head-to-Head Series History PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 11-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons 7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons SACRAMENTO (24 - 33) at OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 22) - 2/27/2020, 8:05 PM Top Trends for this game. OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. Head-to-Head Series History SACRAMENTO is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons 5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons PORTLAND (26 - 33) at INDIANA (34 - 24) - 2/27/2020, 8:05 PM Top Trends for this game. PORTLAND is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season. PORTLAND is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog this season. PORTLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. PORTLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. INDIANA is 182-141 ATS (+26.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996. PORTLAND is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History PORTLAND is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons PORTLAND is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons LA LAKERS (44 - 12) at GOLDEN STATE (12 - 46) - 2/27/2020, 10:35 PM Top Trends for this game. GOLDEN STATE is 70-89 ATS (-27.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 57-77 ATS (-27.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons 5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: 2/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #472915 02/27/20 06:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game	CHICAGO (27-28-0-8, 62 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (40-18-0-5, 85 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game. Head-to-Head Series History TAMPA BAY is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons TAMPA BAY is 5-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units) TORONTO (33-23-0-8, 74 pts.) at FLORIDA (33-24-0-6, 72 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM Top Trends for this game. TORONTO is 33-31 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season. TORONTO is 34-39 ATS (-25.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 27-28 ATS (-16.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 26-27 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA is 5-10 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Head-to-Head Series History FLORIDA is 6-4 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons FLORIDA is 6-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units) NY RANGERS (34-24-0-4, 72 pts.) at MONTREAL (29-27-0-9, 67 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM Top Trends for this game. NY RANGERS are 102-118 ATS (-53.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996. NY RANGERS are 34-28 ATS (+66.3 Units) in all games this season. NY RANGERS are 16-12 ATS (+33.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season. NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games this season. NY RANGERS are 15-8 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season. NY RANGERS are 26-24 ATS (+55.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 29-36 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games this season. MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season. MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-8.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season. MONTREAL is 6-12 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MONTREAL is 16-40 ATS (+65.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History MONTREAL is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons MONTREAL is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units) DALLAS (37-20-0-6, 80 pts.) at BOSTON (39-13-0-12, 90 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM Top Trends for this game. DALLAS is 39-51 ATS (-22.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+10.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 24-16 ATS (+41.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season. DALLAS is 19-11 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BOSTON is 304-253 ATS (-110.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996. BOSTON is 125-115 ATS (-71.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons 5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units) VANCOUVER (34-22-0-6, 74 pts.) at OTTAWA (21-31-0-12, 54 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM Top Trends for this game. VANCOUVER is 414-395 ATS (-119.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996. VANCOUVER is 34-28 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season. VANCOUVER is 15-10 ATS (+26.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season. VANCOUVER is 17-10 ATS (+6.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season. OTTAWA is 127-120 ATS (-20.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996. OTTAWA is 5-19 ATS (+36.0 Units) second half of the season this season. Head-to-Head Series History VANCOUVER is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons VANCOUVER is 4-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units) MINNESOTA (30-25-0-7, 67 pts.) at DETROIT (15-46-0-4, 34 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM Top Trends for this game. MINNESOTA is 24-28 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 10-14 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 17-11 ATS (+34.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 15-50 ATS (-65.4 Units) in all games this season. DETROIT is 8-36 ATS (+70.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season. DETROIT is 5-33 ATS (+67.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season. DETROIT is 7-31 ATS (+67.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season. DETROIT is 467-383 ATS (+64.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History DETROIT is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units) CALGARY (33-25-0-6, 72 pts.) at NASHVILLE (31-23-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM Top Trends for this game. CALGARY is 5-10 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season. NASHVILLE is 425-449 ATS (-73.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996. CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season. NASHVILLE is 31-31 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season. NASHVILLE is 10-13 ATS (-8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season. Head-to-Head Series History CALGARY is 5-3 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units) WASHINGTON (39-18-0-6, 84 pts.) at WINNIPEG (32-27-0-6, 70 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM Top Trends for this game. WASHINGTON is 156-103 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 42-30 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. WINNIPEG is 2-8 ATS (-7.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season. Head-to-Head Series History WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons WASHINGTON is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units) NY ISLANDERS (35-20-0-7, 77 pts.) at ST LOUIS (37-17-0-10, 84 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM Top Trends for this game. NY ISLANDERS are 2-9 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season. ST LOUIS is 56-38 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 31-20 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 87-65 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 22-13 ATS (+35.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 50-33 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 24-14 ATS (+38.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 7-13 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season. Head-to-Head Series History NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units) NEW JERSEY (25-27-0-10, 60 pts.) at SAN JOSE (26-33-0-4, 56 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 10:38 PM Top Trends for this game. SAN JOSE is 82-83 ATS (-4.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAN JOSE is 22-36 ATS (-21.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. SAN JOSE is 59-61 ATS (-45.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996. SAN JOSE is 4-10 ATS (+4.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season. SAN JOSE is 239-167 ATS (-44.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996. Head-to-Head Series History SAN JOSE is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons SAN JOSE is 3-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units) A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: 2/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #472916 02/27/20 06:41 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game	7 p.m. ET: Indiana (18-9) at Purdue (14-14) This Big Ten showdown is currently the most heavily bet game on a jam-packed slate. Both teams are trending in opposite directions. Indiana has won two straight and three of its last four, most recently beating Penn State 68-60 as a 1-point favorite. Meanwhile, Purdue has dropped four straight, including a 71-63 loss to Michigan as a 4-point favorite. This line opened with Purdue listed as a 7-point home favorite. Pros and Joes are in agreement and both think this line is too high. The line hasn't fallen yet, but the juice is trending toward Indiana with some books listing the Hoosiers + 7 at -115, signaling a possible drop to 6.5. Indiana has value as conference road dog. Ken Pom has Purdue winning this game by 5 points (67-62). This is a revenge spot for Indiana, who lost to Purdue 74-62 on their home court back on Feb. 8. 11 p.m. ET: Arizona State (19-8) at UCLA (17-11) This late-night Pac-12 showdown features two red-hot teams going head-to-head. Arizona State has won seven straight while UCLA has won five in a row. UCLA is coming off a massive upset win over Colorado 70-63 at 10-point dogs. This line opened with UCLA listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Despite a slight majority of bets laying the points with the streaking Bruins, we've seen this line either stay the same or fall to 3 at some shops. This sharp line freeze and reverse line movement signals wiseguy money siding with the road conference dog at + 3.5. The last time these teams played Arizona State crushed UCLA 84-66 back on February 6. Ken Pom has UCLA winning this game by 1 point (71-70). A post a day and your access will stay!

Re: 2/27 Statistical Advantages FREAK #472917 02/27/20 06:43 PM
Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game FREAK OP Owner
OP FREAK Owner Joined: Dec 2000 Posts: 271,781 Likes: 2503 Time to play the Game	8 p.m. ET: Washington Capitals (39-18-6) at Winnipeg Jets (32-27-6) The Capitals hold a distinct advantage in several key statistical categories. Washington is + 29 in goals for vs goals against while Winnipeg is just + 1. The Caps are also the best road team in the NHL (21-9-2). The Jets are a mediocre 16-14-3 at home. This line opened with Washington listed as a moderate -140 road favorite and the line is creeping up to -150. Non-division road favorites are 112-76 (60%) this season. If they are also coming off a win they improve to 73-41 (64%). The Caps just beat the Jets are home 4-3 two days ago. We've also seen some smart money hit the over. It opened at 6.5 and the juice is -120 to the over, signaling liability on a seven-goal game or more. 10:30 p.m. ET: New Jersey Devils (25-27-10) at San Jose Sharks (26-33-4) This late night non-conference matchup is being largely overlooked because it features two cellar-dwelling teams. But sharps have immediately located an edge. The Devils are playing well as of late and have won three games in a row. Meanwhile, the Sharks have traded away several players and have lost five straight. New Jersey is -40 in goals for vs goals against while San Jose is -47. the line opened with San Jose listed as a -150 home favorite and New Jersey a + 135 dog. We've seen the line fall to Sharks -140 and Devils + 130, signaling pro money siding with the road dog. Because this game is so obscure, it's safe to assume that only pros are betting it. As a result, the line move to New Jersey is indicative of true smart money. Non-conference road dogs are 123-151 (45%) this season but have profited roughly + 14 units due to the plus money dog payouts. A post a day and your access will stay!

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