Dallas @ Seattle Dallas -4
Total 218.na
Milwaukee -10 to -9.na 41-38 Overall and 27-12 At Home
NO is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.na [+4.na [+1.na 107-97 at Milwaukee.na (2) 8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS and 10-4 Over (199.na on 6-2 Su run and are 7-3 Su their last 10.na playing well enough.na won by +10 last time New Orleans visited.
Don't think -10 offers that much value in terms of risky/reward.
Passing on Side and Total.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Portland @ Denver Denver -4 to -3.5
Total 184 to 183.5
Portland 41-38 Overall and 16-24 Away
Denver 41-38 Overall and 27-12 At Home
POR is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games.
POR's last three overall have played under.
The last five meetings have played over.
DEN is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
DEN is 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall.
DEN's last four overall have played over
Home/Away:
Portland [-4.2 margin] 88.1 points on 44.0 FG%
Denver [+6.6 margin] 100.4 points on 45.1 FG%
Last 5:
Portland [0.0 margin] 84.2 points on 45.4 FG%
Denver [+5.0 margin] 106.2 points on 47.2 FG%
Denver leads Season Series 3-0:
Denver 107-98 at Portland...went Over
Denver 116-97 at Denver.....went Over
Denver 106-95 at Portland...went Over
Season Series Average Total: 206.3
Portland 4-2 Su run and 6-4 Su their last 10.
Denver on 3-1 SU run and 5-5 SU their last 10.
The team that losses this one is pretty much going to be out of it.
So expecting a very competitive game. Denver won all 3 meetings and are 27-12 at Home.
Last time these starting line ups met, Portland stuggled with Freethrows(missed 10) and
3's (4 for 12). Think that Portland can win this game straight up. It will important for them
to go to their strength inside vs. taking a lot of 3's. Portland is good with tips.
SO would prefer the guards to drive it to the hoop. Like them step in and hit high %shots they can make
rather than take a lot of long 3's. Missed long shots tend to lead to fast breaks which
would be helping the Nuggets. With Ratliff patroling inside should help prevent a lot
of easy layups by Anthony and Lenard.
Portland can still make the Playoffs, they just need to take it one game at a time.
GO BLAZERS!
Taking Portland in a 4.5 teaser with Utah
Portland +8.5 and Utah -1.5-----------------------------------------------------------------
Houston @ Utah Utah -6.5/-6/
Total 171 to 170.5
Houston 44-35 Overall and 17-22 Away
Utah 41-38 Overall and 27-12 At Home
HOU is 11-7 ATS playing with zero days of rest.
Over is 9-2-1 in HOU's last 12 overall.
Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
Utah is 27-13-1 ATS playing with one day of rest.
Utah is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Under is 12-5 in Utah's last 17 overall.
Home/Away:
Houston [-0.8 margin] 88.6 points on 43.3 FG%
Utah [+3.1 margin] 90.3 points on 44.4 FG%
Last 5:
Houston [+0.8 margin] 98.4 points on 48.6 FG%
Utah [-1.4 margin] 90.6 points on 46.5 FG%
Houston leads Season Series 2-1:
Houston 84-63 at Houston......went Under
Houston 107-101 at Houston....went Over
Utah 83-76 at Utah............went Under
Series Average Total: 164.6 Average Total
Day's Of Rest:
Houston 12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS and 10-8 Over (180.6 Average Total)
Utah (1) 23-18 SU, 27-13-1 ATS and 23-18 Under (180.7 Average Total)
Houston has won back-to-back after losing 5 SU in a row (4-6 SU their last 10)
Utah 6-4 Su their last 10.
Houston has clinched a Playoff berth, so they really don't need this game.
Utah on the other hand, will be coming to play.
Home/Away records favor Utah. (25-14 to 17-22)
Home Team has won the last 4 meetings.
Don't like the -6, so...
Going do a 4.5 Teaser: Utah -1.5 with Portland +8.5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
best of luck today everyone,baz
<img border="0" title="" alt="[Smile]" src="images/icons/smile.gif" />
<small>[ April 10, 2004, 05:07 PM: Message edited by: bazanster2 ]</small>
